30 Sep 2026 at 10:39:51 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 597.46 ENA at 0.266$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2995 (12.59 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2526 (5.04 %)

ENA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 10:39 → 22:30 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.266$

Qty 597.4621 ENA

Size 158.9249$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2995 (+12.59%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.2526 (-5.04%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.05% / -0.084$ MAE -2.98% MFE +3.80% 0.8R expires 30 Sep 22:39 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167479)
#2 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7459

Quality Score
0.839
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
74.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 10:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.50×ATR
4h clear 2.82×ATR
1d near 0.08×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4467
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.9%
Impulse : +0.01
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 40.4%
1h 56.1%
4h 73.7%
24h 50.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% -0.14%
4h 52.6% +1.01%
24h 38.6% +0.01%
Dispersion : 0.176
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 10:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6150
Score SMA
0.7374
Rank
#32 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6220
Rank Norm SMA
0.8343
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7341 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.20% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 3.6211% · dist_ema21: 18.571%
Force Relative 25% 0.6341 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.40% · rs_3d: -7.06% · beta_24h: 0.973
Volume 20% 0.4590 rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: 0.276 · trend: 72.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9628 ADX: 55.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.8393
Score SMA
0.5883
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7459
Rank Norm SMA
0.6019
Calculé le
30/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7368 r1h: 5.757% · r4h: 7.166% · r1d: 7.45% · r3d: 1.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1177% · dist_ema21: 8.698%
Force Relative 25% 0.8510 rs_1h: 6.498% · rs_4h: 5.921% · rs_1d: 6.92% · rs_3d: 1.93% · beta_24h: 0.565
Volume 20% 0.9855 rvol_20: 4.15× · zscore_50: 2.782 · trend: 110.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7228 ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 27.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.375% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5961
Score SMA
0.6319
Rank
#19 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6961
Rank Norm SMA
0.6847
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6849 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.122% · r1d: 0.64% · r3d: -6.93% · ema21_slope: -0.1998% · dist_ema21: 0.662%
Force Relative 25% 0.6411 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.377% · rs_1d: 1.15% · rs_3d: -5.75% · beta_24h: 1.562
Volume 20% 0.4047 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.532 · trend: -18.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5933 ADX: 36.2 (trend) · Chop: 64.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6044 ATR%: 4.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.038% (0.0134)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.248% 0.3R -2.335% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +3.301% 0.7R -2.335% 0.5R 1.4× 24
4h +3.801% 0.8R -2.335% 0.5R 1.6× 48
8h +3.801% 0.8R -2.981% 0.6R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +3.801% 0.8R -2.981% 0.6R 1.3× 144
24h +4.692% 0.9R -3.951% 0.8R 1.2× 288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.94
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.57 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.49 bull_high +1.97% -0.35 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.33 bull_medium_confirmed +1.04% +0.77 30/09 09:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 36% mid — — 0.61 range_medium +0.08% +0.22 30/09 10:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177584
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
mid 15b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.592

—

near 0.1ATR

0.99 value -4.47 ATR inside #97270 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
4h
182573
↑ up bull_high
60%
early 4b 0.2ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.713

—

—

1.30 above_value -2.64 ATR — #99490 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:16
1h anchor
183407
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 1b 3.4ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.520

—

—

4.15 value +1.08 ATR — #99892 30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:11
15m
183569
↑ up bull_high
55%
mid 1b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.734

—

—

3.54 value +1.08 ATR — #99892 30/09 10:15
upd 30/09 10:32
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 15b — 5.082×ATR p74 +1.485×ATR p70
4h ↑ up early 4b — 1.249×ATR p0 +0.17×ATR p9
1h ↑ up late 1b — 3.758×ATR p78 +3.419×ATR p100
15m ↓ down mid 1b — 2.622×ATR p58 +0.799×ATR p58

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8374
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.56×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.25261003
  5. tp_price: 0.29947493
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.83735510230065
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-01T02:39:43.363399
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.83735510230065
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0539
  14. obi_top10 : 0.021
  15. micro_price : 0.26638885
  16. spread_pct : 0.01877
  17. mid_price : 0.266405
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.055
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0244
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7000
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.26282
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.24388
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.25335
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790647200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790776800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5596
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    37
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8374
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790773200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.26282
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.9459
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4297
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00739972
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.9459
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4297

Signaux confirmants (8)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 10:39 0.26600000 0%
2 10:50 0.26600000 0%
3 11:01 0.26600000 0%
4 11:13 0.26598000 -0.008%
5 11:24 0.26598000 -0.008%
6 11:35 0.26598000 -0.008%
7 11:46 0.26839000 +0.898%
8 11:57 0.26839000 +0.898%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7000ms Confidence avant OB : 84% → 84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.054
avg 0.055 ± 0.024
OBI Top 10 0.021

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2664
Micro Price
0.2664
Spread
0.0188%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.266 0.2526 0.2995 2.5 0.2106
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.266
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.2995

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.266 = -0.0134

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.266 - 0.2995 = -0.0335

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0335 / -0.0134 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.9249 100 597.4621 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0134

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0134 = -597.01

Taille de position USD = -597.01 x 0.266 = -158.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -597.01 avec un stoploss a 0.2526

Avec un position size USD de -158.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -597.01 x -0.0134 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -597.01 x -0.0335 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -597.01
  • Taille de position USD -158.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
12.59 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.04 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-0.084 $ -0.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9812 % 59.18 % 29
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.266 0.2526 0.2995 2.5 0.2106
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.266
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.2995

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.266 = -0.0134

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.266 - 0.2995 = -0.0335

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0335 / -0.0134 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.038% (0.0134)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.248% 0.3R -2.335% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +3.301% 0.7R -2.335% 0.5R 1.4× 24
4h +3.801% 0.8R -2.335% 0.5R 1.6× 48
8h +3.801% 0.8R -2.981% 0.6R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +3.801% 0.8R -2.981% 0.6R 1.3× 144
24h +4.692% 0.9R -3.951% 0.8R 1.2× 288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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