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Short Trade on 2Z

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30 Sep 2026 at 11:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2464.04 2Z at 0.0633$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06654 (5.12 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.0633$

Qty 2464.0404 2Z

Size 155.9639$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 155.97$

SL 0.06654 (-5.12%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR

Status win PnL +2.09% / +3.26$ MAE -1.86% MFE +2.53% 0.5R expires 30 Sep 14:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167582)
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0587

Quality Score
0.388
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.36×ATR
4h near 0.18×ATR
1d clear 2.94×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4469
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.0%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 75.0%
1h 1.8%
4h 21.4%
24h 19.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 85.7% +0.21%
4h 30.4% -0.97%
24h 19.6% -2.02%
Dispersion : 0.198
Universe : 56 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.7061
Rank
#39 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5366
Rank Norm SMA
0.6931
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6868 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644%
Force Relative 25% 0.5774 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086
Volume 20% 0.6656 rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7531 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3881
Score SMA
0.5825
Rank
#74 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0587
Rank Norm SMA
0.6018
Calculé le
30/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3213 r1h: -1.186% · r4h: -0.889% · r1d: -7.25% · r3d: -4.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2154% · dist_ema21: -2.146%
Force Relative 25% 0.3543 rs_1h: -0.192% · rs_4h: -0.789% · rs_1d: -7.32% · rs_3d: -3.57% · beta_24h: 0.855
Volume 20% 0.3110 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.214 · trend: -21.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5351 ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.912% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4411
Score SMA
0.6651
Rank
#61 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2485
Rank Norm SMA
0.7451
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5681 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.439% · r1d: -7.85% · r3d: -6.68% · ema21_slope: 0.1640% · dist_ema21: -2.641%
Force Relative 25% 0.4619 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.184% · rs_1d: -7.34% · rs_3d: -5.50% · beta_24h: 2.520
Volume 20% 0.1665 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -42.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4746 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5069 ATR%: 4.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.119% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.910% 0.2R -1.452% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +1.112% 0.2R -1.863% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +2.526% 0.5R -1.863% 0.4R 1.4× 36
4h +4.861% 1.0R -1.863% 0.4R 2.6× 48
8h +8.160% 1.6R -1.863% 0.4R 4.4× 96
12h +10.419% 2.0R -1.863% 0.4R 5.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.43
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.55 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.2ATR — 0.32 bull_high +1.97% -0.58 30/09 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.30 range_medium +0.03% -0.52 30/09 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.2ATR 0.51 range_medium +0.14% -0.10 30/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177664 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
mid 3b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.678

—

near 0.2ATR

1.73 value -2.13 ATR — #97299 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
182662 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
early 7b -0.7ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.574

near 0.2ATR

—

0.27 value -3.96 ATR — #99520 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:21
1h anchor
183830 		↔ neutral bear_high
53%
mid 12b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.458

—

—

1.05 value -3.73 ATR — #100078 30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:11
15m
183749 		↓ down bear_high
50%
early 1b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.439

—

near 0.2ATR

0.37 above_value -3.62 ATR — #99920 30/09 10:45
upd 30/09 11:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 2.621×ATR p4 +1.443×ATR p72
4h ↓ down early 7b — 2.251×ATR p11 -0.672×ATR p43
1h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.765×ATR p62 -1.182×ATR p59
15m ↑ up early 1b — 1.7×ATR p3 -0.381×ATR p19

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0665427
  2. atr: 0.00108223
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T18:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.2814
  4. confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0633 0.06654 0.03491
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0633
  • Stop Loss: 0.06654
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06654 - 0.0633 = 0.00324

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0633 - = 0.0633

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0633 / 0.00324 = 19.537

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
155.9639 100 2464.0404 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00324

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00324 = 2469.14

Taille de position USD = 2469.14 x 0.0633 = 156.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 2469.14 avec un stoploss a 0.06654

Avec un position size USD de 156.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2469.14 x 0.00324 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2469.14 x 0.0633 = 156.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 156.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2469.14
  • Taille de position USD 156.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 156.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 19.537

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 155.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.12 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.26 $ 2.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8626 % 36.39 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0633 0.06654 0.03491
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0633
  • Stop Loss: 0.06654
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06654 - 0.0633 = 0.00324

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0633 - = 0.0633

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0633 / 0.00324 = 19.537

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.119% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.910% 0.2R -1.452% 0.3R 0.6× 12
2h +1.112% 0.2R -1.863% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +2.526% 0.5R -1.863% 0.4R 1.4× 36
4h +4.861% 1.0R -1.863% 0.4R 2.6× 48
8h +8.160% 1.6R -1.863% 0.4R 4.4× 96
12h +10.419% 2.0R -1.863% 0.4R 5.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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