Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.13 ZEC at 1446.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1595.3484 (10.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1386.6806 (4.12 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 0.13 ZEC at 1446.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1595.3484 (10.31 %) & Stop Loss: 1386.6806 (4.12 %)
Position
Entry 1446.3$
Qty 0.1342 ZEC
Size 194.0712$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1595.3484 (+10.31%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1386.6806 (-4.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3483
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 30/09 10:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 91.2% |
| 1h | 64.9% |
| 4h | 24.6% |
| 24h | 56.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 91.2% | +0.47% |
| 4h | 21.1% | -1.16% |
| 24h | 36.8% | +0.44% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5903 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: 2.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5293 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 1.313 · trend: 35.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9448 | ADX: 56.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3668 | r1h: -2.481% · r4h: -0.126% · r1d: -0.39% · r3d: -11.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0114% · dist_ema21: 0.354% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3469 | rs_1h: -1.488% · rs_4h: -0.026% · rs_1d: -0.47% · rs_3d: -10.17% · beta_24h: 1.849 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8501 | rvol_20: 3.12× · zscore_50: 1.196 · trend: 77.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6112 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 44.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.978% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3478 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.835% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -14.25% · ema21_slope: -0.5526% · dist_ema21: -3.189% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3167 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.090% · rs_1d: -1.20% · rs_3d: -13.07% · beta_24h: 3.043 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2101 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.581 · trend: -34.13% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6517 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7355 | ATR%: 3.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.614% | 0.6R | -2.372% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -3.533% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -3.533% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.56 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.87 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.38 | range_medium | +0.03% | -0.00 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_medium | +0.48% | +0.03 | 30/09 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177666 |
↑ up | bull_high |
69%
|
early 3b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.700 |
— — |
1.30 | below_value | -4.84 ATR | — | #97300 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
182665 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
31%
|
late 21b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.748 |
— — |
0.67 | below_value | -5.61 ATR | — | #99521 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:21
|
|
1h
anchor
183831 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
58%
|
early 1b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.606 |
near 0.1ATR — |
3.12 | below_value | -4.32 ATR | — | #100079 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:11
|
|
15m
184069 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
51%
|
early 7b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.659 |
— — |
0.68 | below_value | -4.32 ATR | — | #100079 |
30/09 11:30
upd 30/09 11:48
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.074×ATR | p0 | +0.195×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 4.993×ATR | p87 | -0.793×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.247×ATR | p35 | +0.205×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.12×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1494.2
147
0.5041
0.5796
0.3462
0.2265
0.4442
1
0.1426
0.5338
0.5832
0.5964
0.5121
0.2153
0.0677
-0.0058
0.3333
0.1331
-0.5306
0.35
0.65
1
2
1
0.547
0.5358
4.0874
0.5
2.3908
4.4835
-0.5306
0.0665
0.2784
0.7
-0.0354
0.4705
0.514
0
0.2153
-8.6272
2.3668
1
1
0
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1390.2
1494.2
1494.2
1390.2
1427.1
1390.2
1408.65
0.7935
1489.6
1445
1467.3
0.887
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1446.3 | 1386.6806 | 1595.3484 | 2.5 | 1251.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1386.6806 - 1446.3 = -59.6194
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1446.3 - 1595.3484 = -149.0484
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -149.0484 / -59.6194 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 194.0712 | 100 | 0.1342 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -59.6194 = -0.13
Taille de position USD = -0.13 x 1446.3 = -188.02
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.13 avec un stoploss a 1386.6806
Avec un position size USD de -188.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.13 x -59.6194 = 7.75
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.75$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.13 x -149.0484 = 19.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.38$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.31 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1649 % | 125.29 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1446.3 | 1386.6806 | 1595.3484 | 2.5 | 1251.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1386.6806 - 1446.3 = -59.6194
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1446.3 - 1595.3484 = -149.0484
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -149.0484 / -59.6194 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.614% | 0.6R | -2.372% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -3.533% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -3.533% | 0.9R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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