Long Trade on AR (BosPullback)
With 47.3 AR at 4.338$ per unit. Take profit: 4.7604 (9.75 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1685 (3.9 %)
Long Trade on AR (BosPullback)
With 47.3 AR at 4.338$ per unit. Take profit: 4.7604 (9.75 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1685 (3.9 %)
Position
Entry 4.3376$
Qty 47.3009 AR
Size 205.1723$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 4.7604 (+9.75%)
TP $ 20$
SL 4.1685 (-3.9%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2646
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 30/09 10:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 91.2% |
| 1h | 64.9% |
| 4h | 24.6% |
| 24h | 56.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 91.2% | +0.47% |
| 4h | 21.1% | -1.16% |
| 24h | 36.8% | +0.44% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6710 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.26% · r3d: -10.53% · ema21_slope: 3.7241% · dist_ema21: 9.345% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4903 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.46% · rs_3d: -9.59% · beta_24h: 2.344 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3267 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.105 · trend: 50.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9142 | ADX: 49.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3707 | r1h: -2.577% · r4h: 0.012% · r1d: -1.78% · r3d: -13.05% · ema21_slope: 0.0290% · dist_ema21: -0.323% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3115 | rs_1h: -1.584% · rs_4h: 0.112% · rs_1d: -1.85% · rs_3d: -12.20% · beta_24h: 1.772 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6334 | rvol_20: 2.33× · zscore_50: 0.783 · trend: 16.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5488 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.853% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3904 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.408% · r1d: -2.50% · r3d: -11.34% · ema21_slope: -0.4403% · dist_ema21: -2.757% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3482 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.337% · rs_1d: -1.98% · rs_3d: -10.16% · beta_24h: 2.662 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1429 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.857 · trend: -64.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2814 | ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 79.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6099 | ATR%: 4.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -0.984% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -6.554% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.32 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.73 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.16 | range_medium | +0.03% | +0.12 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_medium | +0.48% | +0.04 | 30/09 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177575 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
early 9b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.823 |
— — |
0.46 | below_value | -4.91 ATR | — | #97268 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
4h
182567 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
51%
|
mid 16b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.631 |
near -2.3ATR — |
0.16 | below_value | -5.33 ATR | — | #99488 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:15
|
|
1h
anchor
183801 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
57%
|
early 1b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.602 |
near 0.0ATR near -0.6ATR |
3.08 | below_value | -3.85 ATR | — | #100049 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:10
|
|
15m
184039 |
↑ up | range_high |
37%
|
early 8b -0.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.819 |
— — |
1.16 | below_value | -3.85 ATR | — | #100049 |
30/09 11:30
upd 30/09 11:46
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.284×ATR | p0 | +0.581×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 5.114×ATR | p73 | -0.798×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.932×ATR | p20 | +0.22×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.192×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
4.446
147
0.5504
0.542
0.3126
0.1885
0.4142
1
0.1962
0.5363
0.6823
0.7137
0.4867
0.1724
0.0483
0.0003
0.3333
0.003
-0.3637
0.6
0.4
1
2
1
0.623
0.4942
3.6148
0.5
1.6574
3.9035
-0.3637
0.2445
0.2664
0.7
0.1406
0.4133
0.5662
0
0.1724
-10.0886
2.101
1
0
0
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4.1775
4.446
4.446
4.1775
4.2918
4.1775
4.23465
0.8308
4.401
4.3857
4.39335
0.5893
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3376 | 4.1685 | 4.7604 | 2.5 | 3.9296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.1685 - 4.3376 = -0.1691
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3376 - 4.7604 = -0.4228
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4228 / -0.1691 = 2.5003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 205.1723 | 100 | 47.3009 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1691 = -47.31
Taille de position USD = -47.31 x 4.3376 = -205.21
Donc, tu peux acheter -47.31 avec un stoploss a 4.1685
Avec un position size USD de -205.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -47.31 x -0.1691 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -47.31 x -0.4228 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.75 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.9 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.503 % | 141.16 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3376 | 4.1685 | 4.7604 | 2.5 | 3.9296 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.1685 - 4.3376 = -0.1691
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3376 - 4.7604 = -0.4228
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4228 / -0.1691 = 2.5003
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -0.984% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -6.554% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.085% | 0.0R | -7.223% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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