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Long Trade on BERA

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30 Sep 2026 at 12:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BERA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 408.7 BERA at 0.261$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2671 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.241 (7.52 %)

BERA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 12:15 → 18:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2606$

Qty 408.7046 BERA

Size 106.4921$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2671 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.66$

SL 0.241 (-7.52%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.33

Status loss PnL -1.98% / -2.11$ MAE -3.91% MFE +2.43% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 18:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167651)
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9141

Quality Score
0.746
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.07×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 7.82×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4473
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 64.9%
1h 64.9%
4h 24.6%
24h 56.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.2% +0.10%
4h 21.1% -1.16%
24h 36.8% +0.44%
Dispersion : 0.197
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6601
Score SMA
0.5343
Rank
#23 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7317
Rank Norm SMA
0.5472
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8478 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.76% · r3d: -1.19% · ema21_slope: 1.4452% · dist_ema21: 10.137%
Force Relative 25% 0.7314 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.57% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 1.315
Volume 20% 0.5309 rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 0.876 · trend: 15.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7784 ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7457
Score SMA
0.6046
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9141
Rank Norm SMA
0.6431
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9544 r1h: 1.982% · r4h: 6.717% · r1d: 17.24% · r3d: 10.80% · ema21_slope: 0.4260% · dist_ema21: 5.398%
Force Relative 25% 0.9092 rs_1h: 1.586% · rs_4h: 6.427% · rs_1d: 15.94% · rs_3d: 11.17% · beta_24h: 0.184
Volume 20% 0.6339 rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 1.746 · trend: 82.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6236 ADX: 39.3 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9639 ATR%: 3.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8088
Score SMA
0.6382
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9563
Rank Norm SMA
0.7384
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8173 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.717% · r1d: 17.24% · r3d: 10.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1519% · dist_ema21: 10.713%
Force Relative 25% 0.9489 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 6.427% · rs_1d: 15.94% · rs_3d: 11.17% · beta_24h: 2.282
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.53× · zscore_50: 3.170 · trend: 217.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7450 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4991 ATR%: 4.503% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.521% (0.0196)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.429% 0.3R -1.193% 0.2R 2.0× 12
2h +2.429% 0.3R -3.051% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +2.429% 0.3R -3.672% 0.5R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.429% 0.3R -3.906% 0.5R 0.6× 72
8h +2.429% 0.3R -3.906% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +2.429% 0.3R -5.276% 0.7R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.02
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.45 bull_high +12.90% +0.96 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.42 bull_high +1.97% +0.41 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% early — near -0.1ATR 0.35 range_medium +0.03% +0.73 30/09 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -1.9ATR 0.33 range_medium +0.48% +0.29 30/09 11:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177639 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
mid 13b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.633

—

—

1.65 above_value +1.94 ATR — #97288 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
182627 		↑ up bull_high
51%
early 8b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.611

—

—

3.06 value +2.13 ATR — #99508 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:19
1h anchor
183820 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
early 3b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.671

—

near -0.1ATR

1.25 value +0.87 ATR — #100068 30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:11
15m
184058 		↑ up bull_high
60%
late 17b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.636

—

near -1.9ATR

0.42 value +0.87 ATR — #100068 30/09 11:30
upd 30/09 11:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 3.387×ATR p57 +1.078×ATR p50
4h ↑ up early 8b — 3.258×ATR p48 +0.939×ATR p57
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.705×ATR p11 +1.071×ATR p55
15m ↑ up late 17b — 4.077×ATR p85 +1.801×ATR p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.24098596
  2. tp_price: 0.267074
  3. atr: 0.00782961
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T22:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.8955
  4. delta_2h: 0.2109
  5. extension_atr: 1.64
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9141
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2606 0.241 0.2671 0.33 0.2377
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2606
  • Stop Loss: 0.241
  • Take Profit: 0.2671

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.241 - 0.2606 = -0.0196

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2606 - 0.2671 = -0.0065

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0065 / -0.0196 = 0.3316

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
106.4921 100 408.7046 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0196

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0196 = -408.16

Taille de position USD = -408.16 x 0.2606 = -106.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -408.16 avec un stoploss a 0.241

Avec un position size USD de -106.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -408.16 x -0.0196 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -408.16 x -0.0065 = 2.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -408.16
  • Taille de position USD -106.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3316

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.66 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.52 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-2.11 $ -1.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9064 % 51.94 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2606 0.241 0.2671 0.33 0.2377
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2606
  • Stop Loss: 0.241
  • Take Profit: 0.2671

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.241 - 0.2606 = -0.0196

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2606 - 0.2671 = -0.0065

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0065 / -0.0196 = 0.3316

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.521% (0.0196)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.429% 0.3R -1.193% 0.2R 2.0× 12
2h +2.429% 0.3R -3.051% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +2.429% 0.3R -3.672% 0.5R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.429% 0.3R -3.906% 0.5R 0.6× 72
8h +2.429% 0.3R -3.906% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +2.429% 0.3R -5.276% 0.7R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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