Short Trade on POL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1756.72 POL at 0.113$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1106 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.118 (4.06 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 12:15:11
hyperliquid
POL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 12:15
→ 18:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1134$
Qty 1756.7206 POL
Size 199.2999$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1106 (+2.47%)
TP $ 4.92$
SL 0.118 (-4.06%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 0.61
Status
win
PnL
+1.68%
/ +3.34$
MAE -0.79%
MFE +2.28%
0.6R
expires
30 Sep 18:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167638)
#64 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 12:00
score du 30/09/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2548
Quality Score
0.435
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
941,458 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 12:01
30/09 12:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#64 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.49×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.32×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4473
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
28.1%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
btc_led_risk_on
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 64.9% |
| 1h | 64.9% |
| 4h | 24.6% |
| 24h | 56.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.2% | +0.10% |
| 4h | 21.1% | -1.16% |
| 24h | 36.8% | +0.44% |
Dispersion :
0.197
Universe :
57
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 12:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5718
Score SMA
0.5625
Rank
#44
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3184
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.50% · r3d: -2.54% · ema21_slope: 1.0821% · dist_ema21: 8.896% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6100 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.30% · rs_3d: -1.60% · beta_24h: 1.246 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4387 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.392 · trend: 29.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6818 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.174% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4352
Score SMA
0.5527
Rank
#64
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2548
Rank Norm SMA
0.5417
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3288 | r1h: -0.772% · r4h: -2.792% · r1d: -4.96% · r3d: -6.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0850% · dist_ema21: -2.749% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2608 | rs_1h: -1.168% · rs_4h: -3.082% · rs_1d: -6.25% · rs_3d: -5.78% · beta_24h: 1.444 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4350 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: -0.019 · trend: 20.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5625 | ADX: 11.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4853
Score SMA
0.5771
Rank
#53
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4667
Rank Norm SMA
0.5461
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4814 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.028% · r1d: -4.21% · r3d: -5.42% · ema21_slope: 0.0097% · dist_ema21: -2.023% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4345 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.001% · rs_1d: -5.18% · rs_3d: -4.73% · beta_24h: 2.060 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3631 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.109 · trend: -20.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5323 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7983 | ATR%: 3.605% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.056%
(0.0046)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.194% | 0.1R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.138% | 0.3R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.275% | 0.6R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -1.111% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -1.111% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.19
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.82 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.27 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.46 | range_medium | +0.03% | -0.32 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.52% | -0.22 | 30/09 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177596 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
50%
|
early 29b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.548 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | +0.06 ATR | — | #97273 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:26
|
|
4h
182585 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
early 5b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.444 |
— — |
0.67 | above_value | -0.68 ATR | — | #99494 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:17
|
|
1h
anchor
183807 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
55%
|
mid 1b -1.6ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.556 |
near -0.5ATR — |
2.09 | value | -1.78 ATR | — | #100055 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 11:10
|
|
15m
184125 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
50%
|
late 9b -1.4ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.578 |
— — |
0.09 | value | -1.78 ATR | — | #100055 |
30/09 11:45
upd 30/09 12:02
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 29b | — | 3.717×ATR | p33 | +1.01×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.349×ATR | p16 | -0.056×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.423×ATR | p74 | -1.638×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 7.124×ATR | p96 | -1.374×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.11800394
- tp_price: 0.11061375
- atr: 0.00182158
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T22:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 74
- total: 78
- score: 0.3288
- delta_2h: -0.0804
- extension_atr: -1.44
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2648
- confidence: 0.948
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:15 | 0.11345000 | +0.044% |
| 2 | 13:15 | 0.11390000 | +0.441% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1134 | 0.118 | 0.1106 | 0.61 | 0.09616 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1134
- Stop Loss: 0.118
- Take Profit: 0.1106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.118 - 0.1134 = 0.0046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1134 - 0.1106 = 0.0028
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0028 / 0.0046 = 0.6087
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199.2999 | 100 | 1756.7206 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0046
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0046 = 1739.13
Taille de position USD = 1739.13 x 0.1134 = 197.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 1739.13 avec un stoploss a 0.118
Avec un position size USD de 197.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1739.13 x 0.0046 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1739.13 x 0.0028 = 4.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1739.13
- Taille de position USD 197.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6087
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 4.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.06 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.34 $ | 1.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7937 % | 19.57 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1134 | 0.118 | 0.1106 | 0.61 | 0.09616 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1134
- Stop Loss: 0.118
- Take Profit: 0.1106
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.118 - 0.1134 = 0.0046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1134 - 0.1106 = 0.0028
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0028 / 0.0046 = 0.6087
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.056%
(0.0046)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.194% | 0.1R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.138% | 0.3R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.275% | 0.6R | -0.794% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -1.111% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.275% | 0.6R | -1.111% | 0.3R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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