30 Sep 2026 at 13:44:42 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 546.88 ENA at 0.267$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3038 (13.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2526 (5.46 %)

ENA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 13:44 → 01:40 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2672$

Qty 546.878 ENA

Size 146.1368$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3038 (+13.7%)

TP $ 20.02$

SL 0.2526 (-5.46%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.51

Status win PnL +2.29% / +3.35$ MAE -3.42% MFE +3.64% 0.7R expires 01 Oct 01:44 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167786)
#4 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9148

Quality Score
0.717
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
78.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 13:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 75 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.73×ATR
4h clear 1.43×ATR
1d near 0.08×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 12:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4479
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 47.4%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 8.8%
1h 31.6%
4h 33.3%
24h 84.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.6% -0.13%
4h 38.6% -0.65%
24h 68.4% +2.51%
Dispersion : 0.151
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 13:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6150
Score SMA
0.7374
Rank
#32 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6220
Rank Norm SMA
0.8343
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7341 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.20% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 3.6211% · dist_ema21: 18.571%
Force Relative 25% 0.6341 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.40% · rs_3d: -7.06% · beta_24h: 0.973
Volume 20% 0.4590 rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: 0.276 · trend: 72.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9628 ADX: 55.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.7167
Score SMA
0.5911
Rank
#4 / 75
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9148
Rank Norm SMA
0.6080
Calculé le
30/09/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7620 r1h: 0.884% · r4h: 3.610% · r1d: 9.37% · r3d: -1.55% · ema21_slope: 0.2728% · dist_ema21: 5.106%
Force Relative 25% 0.7087 rs_1h: 0.621% · rs_4h: 4.689% · rs_1d: 7.80% · rs_3d: -1.48% · beta_24h: 1.064
Volume 20% 0.4811 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.198 · trend: 83.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7645 ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7656
Score SMA
0.6378
Rank
#3 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8742
Rank Norm SMA
0.6997
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7935 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.091% · r1d: 7.78% · r3d: -1.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1516% · dist_ema21: 5.233%
Force Relative 25% 0.7950 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.801% · rs_1d: 6.49% · rs_3d: -1.34% · beta_24h: 1.729
Volume 20% 0.8765 rvol_20: 2.68× · zscore_50: 2.941 · trend: 49.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6807 ADX: 37.0 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5138 ATR%: 4.459% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.464% (0.0146)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.726% 0.1R -1.759% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.726% 0.1R -2.388% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.726% 0.1R -3.196% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.835% 0.2R -3.417% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +3.642% 0.7R -3.417% 0.6R 1.1× 144
24h +4.222% 0.8R -7.972% 1.5R 0.5× 288

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.57 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.49 bull_high +2.22% +0.03 30/09 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.35 range_medium +0.67% +0.57 30/09 12:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.2ATR — 0.63 range_low +0.53% +0.49 30/09 13:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177584
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
mid 15b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.592

—

near 0.1ATR

0.99 value -4.47 ATR inside #97270 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
4h
184235
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
early 5b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 34% 0.714

—

—

2.68 above_value -0.14 ATR — #100206 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:15
1h anchor
184659
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
59%
mid 1b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.818

—

—

1.06 above_value +0.16 ATR — #100437 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 13:10
15m
184814
↑ up bull_high
55%
early 2b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.619

near 0.2ATR

—

0.10 above_value +0.16 ATR — #100437 30/09 13:15
upd 30/09 13:32
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 15b — 5.082×ATR p74 +1.485×ATR p70
4h ↑ up early 5b — 2.202×ATR p10 +1.193×ATR p59
1h ↑ up mid 1b — 1.537×ATR p2 +1.521×ATR p78
15m ↓ down early 2b — 1.404×ATR p3 +0.431×ATR p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8265
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.25259151
  5. tp_price: 0.30379122
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.82654510230065
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-01T05:44:34.457944
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.82654510230065
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.056
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0957
  15. micro_price : 0.26675151
  16. spread_pct : 0.014997
  17. mid_price : 0.26674
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0693
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0078
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6964
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.26282
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.24388
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.25335
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790647200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790787600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.4971
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    40
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8265
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790773200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.26282
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.875
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    4
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.5801
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00758489
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.875
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5801

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:44 0.26722000 +0.007%
2 13:55 0.26722000 +0.007%
3 14:09 0.26328000 -1.467%
4 14:22 0.26328000 -1.467%
5 14:34 0.26328000 -1.467%
6 14:45 0.26465000 -0.954%
7 14:56 0.26465000 -0.954%
8 19:09 0.26654000 -0.247%
9 19:20 0.26654000 -0.247%
10 19:31 0.26654000 -0.247%
11 19:42 0.26376000 -1.287%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6964ms Confidence avant OB : 83% → 83%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.056
avg -0.069 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 -0.096

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2667
Micro Price
0.2668
Spread
0.0150%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2672 0.2526 0.3038 2.51 0.1852
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2672
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.3038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.2672 = -0.0146

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2672 - 0.3038 = -0.0366

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0366 / -0.0146 = 2.5068

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
146.1368 100 546.878 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0146

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0146 = -547.95

Taille de position USD = -547.95 x 0.2672 = -146.41

Donc, tu peux acheter -547.95 avec un stoploss a 0.2526

Avec un position size USD de -146.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -547.95 x -0.0146 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -547.95 x -0.0366 = 20.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -547.95
  • Taille de position USD -146.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5068

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
13.7 % 20.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.46 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.35 $ 2.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4169 % 62.53 % 21
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2672 0.2526 0.3038 2.51 0.1852
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2672
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.3038

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.2672 = -0.0146

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2672 - 0.3038 = -0.0366

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0366 / -0.0146 = 2.5068

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.464% (0.0146)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.726% 0.1R -1.759% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.726% 0.1R -2.388% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.726% 0.1R -3.196% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.835% 0.2R -3.417% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +3.642% 0.7R -3.417% 0.6R 1.1× 144
24h +4.222% 0.8R -7.972% 1.5R 0.5× 288

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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