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Long Trade on ETHFI

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30 Sep 2026 at 14:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_score)

With 149.08 ETHFI at 0.784$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7306 (6.85 %)

ETHFI LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.7843$

Qty 149.0819 ETHFI

Size 116.9219$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 116.92$

SL 0.7306 (-6.85%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.76% / -3.23$ MAE -3.96% MFE +1.33% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167862)
#3 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7409

Quality Score
0.777
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 14:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.85 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.85 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.70×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.28×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 13:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4481
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.2%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 62.1%
1h 5.2%
4h 13.8%
24h 77.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.6% +0.05%
4h 27.6% -1.33%
24h 63.8% +1.57%
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6777
Score SMA
0.5381
Rank
#18 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7927
Rank Norm SMA
0.2326
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9190 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.09% · r3d: 6.04% · ema21_slope: 0.9260% · dist_ema21: 13.609%
Force Relative 25% 0.8699 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.89% · rs_3d: 6.98% · beta_24h: 1.052
Volume 20% 0.4228 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.688 · trend: -0.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6666 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7770
Score SMA
0.5598
Rank
#3 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7409
Rank Norm SMA
0.5248
Calculé le
30/09/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7059 r1h: 0.583% · r4h: 1.880% · r1d: 4.31% · r3d: 12.60% · ema21_slope: 0.0846% · dist_ema21: 3.004%
Force Relative 25% 0.7448 rs_1h: 0.975% · rs_4h: 2.611% · rs_1d: 3.15% · rs_3d: 13.24% · beta_24h: 1.199
Volume 20% 0.8812 rvol_20: 3.30× · zscore_50: 1.833 · trend: 69.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6607 ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.115% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6901
Score SMA
0.5268
Rank
#6 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8417
Rank Norm SMA
0.3691
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7526 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.289% · r1d: -1.06% · r3d: 10.66% · ema21_slope: 0.3982% · dist_ema21: 4.770%
Force Relative 25% 0.7083 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: -2.36% · rs_3d: 11.03% · beta_24h: 2.262
Volume 20% 0.5727 rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.080 · trend: 26.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7007 ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6763 ATR%: 3.971% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.847% (0.0537)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.335% 0.2R -1.508% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.335% 0.2R -3.959% 0.6R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +1.335% 0.2R -3.959% 0.6R 0.3× 36
4h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 48
8h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.47
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -0.3ATR 0.56 bull_high +12.90% +0.92 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.42 bull_high +2.22% +0.36 30/09 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 36% late — — 0.48 range_medium +0.27% +0.19 30/09 13:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.4ATR 0.52 range_low +0.27% +0.30 30/09 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177580 		↑ up bull_high
59%
mid 13b 1.3ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.679

—

near -0.3ATR

1.19 above_value +2.84 ATR — #97269 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
4h
184233 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
early 6b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.630

—

—

1.75 above_value +3.63 ATR — #100205 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:15
1h anchor
185043 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 3b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.557

—

—

3.30 above_value +4.51 ATR inside #100588 30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 14:11
15m
184968 		↑ up bull_high
56%
early 1b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.856

—

near 0.4ATR

0.14 above_value +4.61 ATR — #100436 30/09 13:45
upd 30/09 14:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 2.842×ATR p0 +1.289×ATR p71
4h ↓ down early 6b — 1.496×ATR p0 +1.086×ATR p59
1h ↑ up late 3b — 1.812×ATR p18 +1.557×ATR p82
15m ↑ up early 1b — 1.001×ATR p3 +0.854×ATR p54

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.73061821
  2. atr: 0.01788726
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7179
  4. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7843 0.7306 0.6524
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7843
  • Stop Loss: 0.7306
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7306 - 0.7843 = -0.0537

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7843 - = 0.7843

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7843 / -0.0537 = -14.6052

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
116.9219 100 149.0819 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0537

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0537 = -148.98

Taille de position USD = -148.98 x 0.7843 = -116.85

Donc, tu peux acheter -148.98 avec un stoploss a 0.7306

Avec un position size USD de -116.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -148.98 x -0.0537 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -148.98 x 0.7843 = -116.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -116.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -148.98
  • Taille de position USD -116.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -116.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -14.6052

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 116.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.85 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-3.23 $ -2.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9589 % 57.82 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7843 0.7306 0.6524
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7843
  • Stop Loss: 0.7306
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7306 - 0.7843 = -0.0537

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7843 - = 0.7843

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7843 / -0.0537 = -14.6052

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.7843
            [stop_loss] => 0.72523
            [rr_ratio] => 13.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.7843
            [stop_loss] => 0.71986
            [rr_ratio] => 12.17
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.7843
            [stop_loss] => 0.71449
            [rr_ratio] => 11.23
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.7843
            [stop_loss] => 0.70375
            [rr_ratio] => 9.74
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.847% (0.0537)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.335% 0.2R -1.508% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.335% 0.2R -3.959% 0.6R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +1.335% 0.2R -3.959% 0.6R 0.3× 36
4h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 48
8h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.335% 0.2R -4.442% 0.7R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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