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Short Trade on LIT

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30 Sep 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 19.82 LIT at 3.953$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3563 (10.21 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.9526$

Qty 19.8153 LIT

Size 78.3221$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 78.32$

SL 4.3563 (-10.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +2.93% / +2.29$ MAE -0.17% MFE +3.59% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167892)
#72 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0891

Quality Score
0.391
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
201.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 14:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#72 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.21 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#72 / 74 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.21 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.96×ATR
4h clear 1.24×ATR
1d clear 3.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4481
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.2%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 62.1%
1h 5.2%
4h 13.8%
24h 77.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.6% +0.05%
4h 27.6% -1.33%
24h 63.8% +1.57%
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4075
Score SMA
0.5207
Rank
#80 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0366
Rank Norm SMA
0.2242
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3850 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.51% · r3d: -18.78% · ema21_slope: 0.6205% · dist_ema21: -13.228%
Force Relative 25% 0.1446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.70% · rs_3d: -17.84% · beta_24h: 0.389
Volume 20% 0.6717 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.844 · trend: 31.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8100 ADX: 43.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.3911
Score SMA
0.4699
Rank
#72 / 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0891
Rank Norm SMA
0.2683
Calculé le
30/09/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2177 r1h: -1.288% · r4h: -0.998% · r1d: -11.46% · r3d: -16.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2805% · dist_ema21: -1.299%
Force Relative 25% 0.2071 rs_1h: -0.895% · rs_4h: -0.267% · rs_1d: -12.61% · rs_3d: -15.75% · beta_24h: 0.811
Volume 20% 0.3541 rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.296 · trend: 12.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6394 ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8805 ATR%: 3.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4015
Score SMA
0.4161
Rank
#71 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0708
Rank Norm SMA
0.1437
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2971 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.955% · r1d: -9.29% · r3d: -13.20% · ema21_slope: -0.6897% · dist_ema21: -6.583%
Force Relative 25% 0.1986 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.665% · rs_1d: -10.59% · rs_3d: -12.83% · beta_24h: 2.648
Volume 20% 0.6914 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.160 · trend: 110.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7957 ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 37.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0505 ATR%: 5.849% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.214% (0.4037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.584% 0.2R -0.172% 0.0R 9.2× 12
2h +3.590% 0.4R -0.172% 0.0R 20.9× 24
3h ★ +3.590% 0.4R -0.172% 0.0R 20.9× 36
4h +3.590% 0.4R -3.729% 0.4R 1.0× 48
8h +3.590% 0.4R -3.729% 0.4R 1.0× 96
12h +3.590% 0.4R -4.091% 0.4R 0.9× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — — bull_high +12.90% -0.97 28/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.33 bull_high +2.22% -0.94 30/09 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
46%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.28 range_medium +0.27% -0.87 30/09 13:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.22 range_low +0.27% +0.14 30/09 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177678 		↑ up bull_high
52%
mid 5b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.588

—

—

2.00 below_value -4.17 ATR inside #97306 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:30
4h
184333 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
46%
mid 4b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.406

—

—

1.84 below_value -2.76 ATR — #100239 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:19
1h anchor
185074 		↓ down bear_high
46%
early 1b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.395

—

—

0.82 below_value -2.86 ATR — #100619 30/09 13:00
upd 30/09 14:12
15m
184998 		↔ neutral bear_high
48%
mid 4b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.560

—

—

0.84 below_value -2.77 ATR — #100469 30/09 13:45
upd 30/09 14:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 3.47×ATR p44 -1.219×ATR p67
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.727×ATR p0 -1.189×ATR p67
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.38×ATR p2 -0.429×ATR p23
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.651×ATR p57 -0.466×ATR p26

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.35632748
  2. atr: 0.13457583
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 75
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2831
  4. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9526 4.3563 3.0885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9526
  • Stop Loss: 4.3563
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3563 - 3.9526 = 0.4037

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9526 - = 3.9526

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9526 / 0.4037 = 9.7909

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
78.3221 78.3221 19.8153 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4037

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4037 = 19.82

Taille de position USD = 19.82 x 3.9526 = 78.34

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.82 avec un stoploss a 4.3563

Avec un position size USD de 78.34$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.82 x 0.4037 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.82 x 3.9526 = 78.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 78.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.82
  • Taille de position USD 78.34
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 78.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.7909

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 78.32 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.29 $ 2.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.172 % 1.68 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9526 4.3563 3.0885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9526
  • Stop Loss: 4.3563
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3563 - 3.9526 = 0.4037

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9526 - = 3.9526

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9526 / 0.4037 = 9.7909

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.214% (0.4037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.584% 0.2R -0.172% 0.0R 9.2× 12
2h +3.590% 0.4R -0.172% 0.0R 20.9× 24
3h ★ +3.590% 0.4R -0.172% 0.0R 20.9× 36
4h +3.590% 0.4R -3.729% 0.4R 1.0× 48
8h +3.590% 0.4R -3.729% 0.4R 1.0× 96
12h +3.590% 0.4R -4.091% 0.4R 0.9× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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