Long Trade on PURR

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 16:21:40 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PURR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1225.82 PURR at 0.149$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1654 (10.93 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1426 (4.36 %)

PURR LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 16:21 → 04:20 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1491$

Qty 1225.8169 PURR

Size 182.7448$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1654 (+10.93%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.1426 (-4.36%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 2.51

Status win PnL +6.41% / +11.7$ MAE -0.00% MFE +9.05% 2.1R expires 01 Oct 04:21 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168020)

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8674

Quality Score

0.690

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

80 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 16:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

80 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.36 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

80 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.36 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.20×ATR
4h	clear	0.91×ATR
1d	near	-1.05×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4490

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 16.7%

Impulse : -0.13

Participation : alt_capitulation

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	80.0%
1h	70.0%
4h	8.3%
24h	41.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	85.0%	+0.15%
4h	16.7%	-2.10%
24h	41.7%	-0.81%

Dispersion : 0.183

Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 16:16 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5439

Score SMA

0.6096

Rank

#55 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3415

Rank Norm SMA

0.4651

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7331	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.31% · r3d: 7.53% · ema21_slope: 1.3625% · dist_ema21: 7.954%
Force Relative	25%	0.5456	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.50% · rs_3d: 8.47% · beta_24h: 1.482
Volume	20%	0.2983	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.350 · trend: 26.69%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8525	ADX: 47.1 (trend) · Chop: 43.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.311% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.6897

Score SMA

0.5381

Rank

#3 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8674

Rank Norm SMA

0.4992

Calculé le

30/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6727	r1h: -1.058% · r4h: 2.433% · r1d: 7.88% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: 0.2595% · dist_ema21: 3.139%
Force Relative	25%	0.6456	rs_1h: -0.655% · rs_4h: 3.068% · rs_1d: 7.86% · rs_3d: 1.29% · beta_24h: 1.408
Volume	20%	0.5594	rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 39.70%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6979	ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 37.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.208% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.6356

Score SMA

0.5211

Rank

#8 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6277

Rank Norm SMA

0.4234

Calculé le

30/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7826	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.433% · r1d: 7.88% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1687% · dist_ema21: 5.260%
Force Relative	25%	0.7478	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.068% · rs_1d: 7.86% · rs_3d: 1.29% · beta_24h: 2.224
Volume	20%	0.3173	rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.028 · trend: -21.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4859	ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 68.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.4901	ATR%: 4.530% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.360% (0.0065)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+4.406%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.406%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+5.674%	1.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+5.674%	1.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h ★	+9.048%	2.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+16.264%	3.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	288

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.83

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	near -1.1ATR	0.44	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.88	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.35	bull_high	+1.54%	+0.69	30/09 12:00
1h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.39	range_medium	-0.23%	+0.61	30/09 15:00
15m	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 46%	early	near -0.1ATR	—	0.38	range_low	-0.16%	+0.42	30/09 16:00
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177609	↑ up	bull_high	63%	early 13b 0.6ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.662	— near -1.1ATR	0.62	value	+1.73 ATR	—	#97276	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:26
4h 185876	↑ up	bull_high	68%	mid 3b 1.3ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.616	— —	1.00	above_value	+5.23 ATR	—	#100904	30/09 12:00 upd 30/09 16:16
1h anchor 185874	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	68%	mid 4b 1.3ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.608	— —	1.57	above_value	+5.23 ATR	—	#100904	30/09 15:00 upd 30/09 16:16
15m 185977	↑ up	bull_high	66%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.592	near -0.1ATR —	0.50	above_value	+5.23 ATR	—	#100904	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 16:20
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	2.251×ATR	p4	+0.561×ATR	p45
4h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.974×ATR	p3	+1.275×ATR	p75
1h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	2.67×ATR	p57	+1.31×ATR	p73
15m	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.34×ATR	p0	+0.679×ATR	p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.8023
reason: up_bo width=2.80×ATR dur=57b phase=fresh
stop_price: 0.14255374
tp_price: 0.16539564
atr:
score: 0.80234277389586
expires_at: 2026-10-01T08:21:32.393732
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.80234277389586

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : -0.0741
obi_top10 : -0.0973
micro_price : 12.32584643
spread_pct : 0.129976
mid_price : 12.318
bid_wall_price : 12.1
bid_wall_size : 15029.74
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 12.4
ask_wall_size : 20872.32
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.0741
obi_top5_std : 0
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7047
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.147255
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.13848
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.1428675
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790596800
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790798400
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.7968
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
57
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8023
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790784000
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.147255
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.7544
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
4
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.5817
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
7
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
15
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.00313757

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.7544

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.5817

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	16:21	0.14908000	-0.013%
2	16:32	0.14908000	-0.013%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7047ms Confidence avant OB : 80% → 80%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.074

avg -0.074 ± 0.000

OBI Top 10 -0.097

Microstructure

Mid Price

12.3180

Micro Price

12.3258

Spread

0.1300%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

12.1000

Size

15,029.74

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

12.4000

Size

20,872.32

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1491	0.1426	0.1654	2.51	0.09084

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1491
Stop Loss: 0.1426
Take Profit: 0.1654

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1426 - 0.1491 = -0.0065
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1491 - 0.1654 = -0.0163
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0163 / -0.0065 = 2.5077

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
182.7448	100	1225.8169	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0065

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0065 = -1230.77

Taille de position USD = -1230.77 x 0.1491 = -183.51

Donc, tu peux acheter -1230.77 avec un stoploss a 0.1426

Avec un position size USD de -183.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1230.77 x -0.0065 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1230.77 x -0.0163 = 20.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$

Résumé

Taille de position -1230.77
Taille de position USD -183.51
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.06
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5077

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
10.93 %	19.98 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.36 %	7.97 $

PNL	PNL %
11.7 $	6.41

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1491	0.1426	0.1654	2.51	0.09084

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1491
Stop Loss: 0.1426
Take Profit: 0.1654

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1426 - 0.1491 = -0.0065
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1491 - 0.1654 = -0.0163
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0163 / -0.0065 = 2.5077

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.360% (0.0065)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+4.406%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+4.406%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+5.674%	1.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
8h	+5.674%	1.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h ★	+9.048%	2.1R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+16.264%	3.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	288

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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