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Long Trade on STX

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30 Sep 2026 at 17:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 315.69 STX at 0.364$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3392 (6.94 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 17:15 → 20:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3645$

Qty 315.6919 STX

Size 115.0823$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 115.07$

SL 0.3392 (-6.94%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status win PnL +2.03% / +2.34$ MAE -1.48% MFE +5.27% 0.8R expires 30 Sep 20:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168142)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5742

Quality Score
0.821
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 16:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4493
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 85.0%
4h 11.7%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% +0.01%
4h 30.0% -1.62%
24h 45.0% -0.36%
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5378
Score SMA
0.6352
Rank
#65 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2727
Rank Norm SMA
0.6570
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6481 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.45% · r3d: -3.86% · ema21_slope: 1.8693% · dist_ema21: 5.393%
Force Relative 25% 0.4599 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.29% · rs_3d: -3.14% · beta_24h: 1.585
Volume 20% 0.4848 rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 0.326 · trend: 33.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8761 ADX: 45.1 (trend) · Chop: 34.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.315% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.8214
Score SMA
0.5488
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5742
Rank Norm SMA
0.4816
Calculé le
30/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8305 r1h: -0.266% · r4h: 3.040% · r1d: 11.72% · r3d: 5.83% · ema21_slope: 0.5439% · dist_ema21: 6.939%
Force Relative 25% 0.7471 rs_1h: -0.357% · rs_4h: 3.846% · rs_1d: 11.62% · rs_3d: 6.83% · beta_24h: 0.536
Volume 20% 0.8115 rvol_20: 2.37× · zscore_50: 1.674 · trend: 298.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8212 ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 15.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.444% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8407
Score SMA
0.5982
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5862
Rank Norm SMA
0.5566
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7641 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.073% · r1d: 12.30% · r3d: 5.23% · ema21_slope: -0.0524% · dist_ema21: 10.507%
Force Relative 25% 0.9136 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.708% · rs_1d: 12.27% · rs_3d: 6.54% · beta_24h: 2.096
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 8.47× · zscore_50: 5.790 · trend: 253.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6607 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8394 ATR%: 3.482% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.941% (0.0253)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.638% 0.2R -1.482% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +5.268% 0.8R -1.482% 0.2R 3.6× 24
3h ★ +5.268% 0.8R -1.482% 0.2R 3.6× 36
4h +6.711% 1.0R -1.482% 0.2R 4.5× 48
8h +9.852% 1.4R -1.482% 0.2R 6.7× 96
12h +15.073% 2.2R -1.482% 0.2R 10.2× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.15
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.38 bull_high +1.54% +0.45 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.32 range_medium -0.14% +0.85 30/09 16:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.44 range_low -0.13% +0.48 30/09 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
4h
185803 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
late 10b 2.8ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.606

—

—

8.47 above_value +5.45 ATR — #100872 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:13
1h anchor
186258 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
late 1b 2.3ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.573

—

—

2.37 above_value +5.25 ATR — #101106 30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:09
15m
186182 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
early 2b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.494

—

—

0.21 above_value +5.45 ATR — #100872 30/09 16:45
upd 30/09 17:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up late 10b — 4.616×ATR p73 +2.801×ATR p91
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.12×ATR p2 +2.275×ATR p89
15m ↓ down early 2b — 1.048×ATR p3 +0.767×ATR p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.33919884
  2. atr: 0.00844705
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T00:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.8305
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3645 0.3392 0.3477
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3645
  • Stop Loss: 0.3392
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3392 - 0.3645 = -0.0253

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3645 - = 0.3645

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3645 / -0.0253 = -14.4071

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.0823 100 315.6919 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0253

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0253 = -316.21

Taille de position USD = -316.21 x 0.3645 = -115.26

Donc, tu peux acheter -316.21 avec un stoploss a 0.3392

Avec un position size USD de -115.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -316.21 x -0.0253 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -316.21 x 0.3645 = -115.26

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -115.26$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -316.21
  • Taille de position USD -115.26
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -115.26
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -14.4071

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 115.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.94 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.34 $ 2.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4815 % 21.34 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3645 0.3392 0.3477
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3645
  • Stop Loss: 0.3392
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3392 - 0.3645 = -0.0253

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3645 - = 0.3645

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3645 / -0.0253 = -14.4071

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.941% (0.0253)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.638% 0.2R -1.482% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +5.268% 0.8R -1.482% 0.2R 3.6× 24
3h ★ +5.268% 0.8R -1.482% 0.2R 3.6× 36
4h +6.711% 1.0R -1.482% 0.2R 4.5× 48
8h +9.852% 1.4R -1.482% 0.2R 6.7× 96
12h +15.073% 2.2R -1.482% 0.2R 10.2× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

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