30 Sep 2026 at 19:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on BERA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 450.04 BERA at 0.256$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2627 (2.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2385 (6.91 %)

BERA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 19:15 → 01:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2562$

Qty 450.0412 BERA

Size 115.3231$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2627 (+2.54%)

TP $ 2.93$

SL 0.2385 (-6.91%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.37

Status loss PnL -1.66% / -1.91$ MAE -3.65% MFE +0.15% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 01:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168338)
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9454

Quality Score
0.636
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 19:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.42×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 7.82×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4501
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 68.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 55.0%
1h 93.3%
4h 75.0%
24h 60.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 55.0% +0.01%
4h 76.7% +0.61%
24h 60.0% +0.80%
Dispersion : 0.167
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 19:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6601
Score SMA
0.5343
Rank
#23 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7317
Rank Norm SMA
0.5472
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8478 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.76% · r3d: -1.19% · ema21_slope: 1.4452% · dist_ema21: 10.137%
Force Relative 25% 0.7314 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.57% · rs_3d: -0.25% · beta_24h: 1.315
Volume 20% 0.5309 rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 0.876 · trend: 15.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7784 ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6364
Score SMA
0.6080
Rank
#7 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9454
Rank Norm SMA
0.6500
Calculé le
30/09/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7216 r1h: -0.113% · r4h: 0.615% · r1d: 8.24% · r3d: 9.17% · ema21_slope: 0.2850% · dist_ema21: 2.276%
Force Relative 25% 0.7000 rs_1h: -0.035% · rs_4h: 0.905% · rs_1d: 8.11% · rs_3d: 9.74% · beta_24h: 0.195
Volume 20% 0.1986 rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.562 · trend: -22.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6697 ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8071
Score SMA
0.6481
Rank
#2 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.7589
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8090 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.725% · r1d: 10.33% · r3d: 8.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2830% · dist_ema21: 8.929%
Force Relative 25% 0.8188 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.090% · rs_1d: 10.30% · rs_3d: 10.11% · beta_24h: 2.214
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.02× · zscore_50: 4.002 · trend: 240.60%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7550 ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 28.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4640 ATR%: 4.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.909% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.148% 0.0R -1.671% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.148% 0.0R -2.190% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 72
8h +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.148% 0.0R -7.221% 1.1R 0.0× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.08
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.45 bull_high +12.90% +0.96 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.41 bull_high +1.54% +0.74 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.2ATR near -0.4ATR 0.36 range_medium -0.11% +0.26 30/09 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.4ATR 0.26 range_low +0.05% +0.01 30/09 18:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177639
↔ neutral bull_high
54%
mid 13b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.633

—

—

1.65 above_value +1.94 ATR — #97288 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
185906
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
54%
late 10b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.613

—

—

4.02 value +1.39 ATR — #100914 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:17
1h anchor
187081
↑ up bull_high
61%
early 6b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.709

near -0.2ATR

near -0.4ATR

0.21 above_value +1.14 ATR — #101459 30/09 18:00
upd 30/09 19:11
15m
186927
↑ up bull_high
61%
early 3b 0.5ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.662

—

near 0.4ATR

0.15 above_value +0.96 ATR — #101304 30/09 18:30
upd 30/09 18:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 13b — 3.387×ATR p57 +1.078×ATR p50
4h ↑ up late 10b — 4.253×ATR p58 +1.596×ATR p81
1h ↓ down early 6b — 1.337×ATR p5 +0.762×ATR p34
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.209×ATR p0 +0.506×ATR p30

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.23847385
  2. tp_price: 0.26265625
  3. atr: 0.00711046
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T05:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7319
  4. delta_2h: 0.1398
  5. extension_atr: 0.61
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.947
  9. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2562 0.2385 0.2627 0.37 0.1675
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2562
  • Stop Loss: 0.2385
  • Take Profit: 0.2627

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2385 - 0.2562 = -0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2562 - 0.2627 = -0.0065

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0065 / -0.0177 = 0.3672

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.3231 100 450.0412 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0177

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0177 = -451.98

Taille de position USD = -451.98 x 0.2562 = -115.8

Donc, tu peux acheter -451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.2385

Avec un position size USD de -115.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -451.98 x -0.0177 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -451.98 x -0.0065 = 2.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -451.98
  • Taille de position USD -115.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3672

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.54 % 2.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.91 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-1.91 $ -1.66
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6495 % 52.82 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2562 0.2385 0.2627 0.37 0.1675
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2562
  • Stop Loss: 0.2385
  • Take Profit: 0.2627

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2385 - 0.2562 = -0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2562 - 0.2627 = -0.0065

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0065 / -0.0177 = 0.3672

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.909% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.148% 0.0R -1.671% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.148% 0.0R -2.190% 0.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 72
8h +0.148% 0.0R -3.650% 0.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.148% 0.0R -7.221% 1.1R 0.0× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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