30 Sep 2026 at 19:52:27 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ENA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 718.49 ENA at 0.264$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2916 (10.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2526 (4.25 %)

ENA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 19:52 → 07:50 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.2638$

Qty 718.4908 ENA

Size 189.5091$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2916 (+10.54%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.2526 (-4.25%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -1.47% / -2.78$ MAE -3.15% MFE +5.56% 1.3R expires 01 Oct 07:52 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168324)
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8590

Quality Score
0.634
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
90.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 19:46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168324)
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8590

Quality Score
0.634
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.34×ATR
4h clear 1.94×ATR
1d near 0.08×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
90.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 19:46
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4504
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 72.8%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 38.3%
4h 85.0%
24h 65.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.0% +0.04%
4h 85.0% +0.93%
24h 65.0% +0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.115
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 19:46 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6150
Score SMA
0.7374
Rank
#32 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6220
Rank Norm SMA
0.8343
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7341 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.20% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 3.6211% · dist_ema21: 18.571%
Force Relative 25% 0.6341 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.40% · rs_3d: -7.06% · beta_24h: 0.973
Volume 20% 0.4590 rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: 0.276 · trend: 72.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9628 ADX: 55.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6339
Score SMA
0.5940
Rank
#7 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8590
Rank Norm SMA
0.6222
Calculé le
30/09/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6611 r1h: 3.374% · r4h: 0.883% · r1d: 6.31% · r3d: -2.25% · ema21_slope: 0.3051% · dist_ema21: 2.544%
Force Relative 25% 0.7126 rs_1h: 3.452% · rs_4h: 1.172% · rs_1d: 6.18% · rs_3d: -1.69% · beta_24h: 1.057
Volume 20% 0.2710 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.119 · trend: -6.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6884 ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5591
Score SMA
0.6391
Rank
#19 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8682
Rank Norm SMA
0.7087
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5964 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.424% · r1d: 5.06% · r3d: -8.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1306% · dist_ema21: 2.433%
Force Relative 25% 0.5926 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.789% · rs_1d: 5.03% · rs_3d: -6.97% · beta_24h: 1.812
Volume 20% 0.4218 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.231 · trend: 37.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6862 ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4471 ATR%: 4.659% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.246% (0.0112)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.134% 0.5R -0.220% 0.1R 9.7× 12
2h +2.134% 0.5R -0.220% 0.1R 9.7× 24
4h +2.794% 0.7R -0.709% 0.2R 3.9× 48
8h +5.565% 1.3R -0.709% 0.2R 7.9× 96
12h ★ +5.565% 1.3R -3.150% 0.7R 1.8× 144
24h +5.565% 1.3R -8.730% 2.1R 0.6× 288
36h +5.565% 1.3R -9.409% 2.2R 0.6× 432
48h +5.565% 1.3R -13.669% 3.2R 0.4× 576
72h +5.565% 1.3R -13.669% 3.2R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 397 min MAE in 1517 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.1ATR 0.57 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.49 bull_high +1.54% -0.30 30/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.2ATR — 0.35 range_medium -0.11% +0.57 30/09 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.59 range_low -0.17% +0.06 30/09 19:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#177584
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.592 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid 15b 1.5ATR — near 0.1ATR 0.99 93% ↑ +0.82 value -4.47 inside #97270 0.57 bull_high +12.90% +1.00
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
4h
#185864
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.721 expansion_after_compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early 6b 0.5ATR — — 1.06 87% ↓ -0.27 above_value -1.02 — #100900 0.49 bull_high +1.54% -0.30
30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:16
1h anchor
#187067
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b 0.7ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.63 56% ↑ +0.53 above_value -0.41 — #101445 0.35 range_medium -0.11% +0.57
30/09 18:00
upd 30/09 19:10
15m
#187300
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.536 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% early 7b 0.3ATR — — 0.17 16% ↓ -0.52 above_value -0.41 — #101445 0.59 range_low -0.17% +0.06
30/09 19:30
upd 30/09 19:47
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 15b — 5.082×ATR p74 +1.485×ATR p70
4h ↑ up early 6b — 1.627×ATR p0 +0.538×ATR p30
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.028×ATR p0 +0.722×ATR p43
15m ↑ up early 7b — 2.117×ATR p38 +0.264×ATR p21

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8265
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.61×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.25262555
  5. tp_price: 0.29159613
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.82654510230065
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-01T11:52:19.605097
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.82654510230065
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0223
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0435
  15. micro_price : 0.26434263
  16. spread_pct : 0.007566
  17. mid_price : 0.26435
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0062
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0096
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6995
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.26282
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.24388
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.25335
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790647200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790809200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.6144
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    46
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8265
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790805600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.26282
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8043
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.1298
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00724453
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8043
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1298

Signaux confirmants (7)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 19:52 0.26376000 -0.015%
2 20:03 0.26376000 -0.015%
3 20:18 0.26487000 +0.406%
4 20:30 0.26487000 +0.406%
5 20:41 0.26555000 +0.663%
6 20:52 0.26555000 +0.663%
7 21:03 0.26555000 +0.663%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6995ms Confidence avant OB : 83% → 83%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.022
avg 0.006 ± 0.010
OBI Top 10 -0.044

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2644
Micro Price
0.2643
Spread
0.0076%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2638 0.2526 0.2916 2.48 0.2145
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2638
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.2916

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.2638 = -0.0112

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2638 - 0.2916 = -0.0278

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0278 / -0.0112 = 2.4821

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
189.5091 100 718.4908 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0112

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0112 = -714.29

Taille de position USD = -714.29 x 0.2638 = -188.43

Donc, tu peux acheter -714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.2526

Avec un position size USD de -188.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -714.29 x -0.0112 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -714.29 x -0.0278 = 19.86

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.86$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -714.29
  • Taille de position USD -188.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.86
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4821

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
10.54 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.25 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
-2.78 $ -1.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1501 % 74.2 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2638 0.2526 0.2916 2.48 0.2145
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2638
  • Stop Loss: 0.2526
  • Take Profit: 0.2916

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2526 - 0.2638 = -0.0112

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2638 - 0.2916 = -0.0278

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0278 / -0.0112 = 2.4821

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.246% (0.0112)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.134% 0.5R -0.220% 0.1R 9.7× 12
2h +2.134% 0.5R -0.220% 0.1R 9.7× 24
4h +2.794% 0.7R -0.709% 0.2R 3.9× 48
8h +5.565% 1.3R -0.709% 0.2R 7.9× 96
12h ★ +5.565% 1.3R -3.150% 0.7R 1.8× 144
24h +5.565% 1.3R -8.730% 2.1R 0.6× 288
36h +5.565% 1.3R -9.409% 2.2R 0.6× 432
48h +5.565% 1.3R -13.669% 3.2R 0.4× 576
72h +5.565% 1.3R -13.669% 3.2R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 397 min MAE in 1517 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 19 hours ago

Commentaires

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