30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 294.57 STX at 0.371$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3434 (7.34 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3706$

Qty 294.5743 STX

Size 109.1575$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 109.17$

SL 0.3434 (-7.34%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +2.77% / +3.03$ MAE -0.48% MFE +4.95% 0.7R expires 30 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168372)
#2 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8632

Quality Score
0.754
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168372)
#2 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8632

Quality Score
0.754
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.34 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 19:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.6%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.5%
1h 39.3%
4h 83.6%
24h 63.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 31.2% -0.08%
4h 83.6% +0.93%
24h 63.9% +0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.115
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7538
Score SMA
0.5547
Rank
#2 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8632
Rank Norm SMA
0.4936
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8295 r1h: -0.966% · r4h: 2.788% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 0.7315% · dist_ema21: 7.575%
Force Relative 25% 0.7326 rs_1h: -0.875% · rs_4h: 2.764% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 0.545
Volume 20% 0.4260 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.159 · trend: 150.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8912 ADX: 46.9 (trend) · Chop: 16.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.577% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8445
Score SMA
0.6059
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5650
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8008 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.788% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0844% · dist_ema21: 12.201%
Force Relative 25% 0.8941 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.764% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 2.095
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.84× · zscore_50: 3.353 · trend: 265.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6848 ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 26.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7742 ATR%: 3.678% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.339% (0.0272)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.954% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.954% 0.7R -0.483% 0.1R 10.3× 24
3h ★ +4.954% 0.7R -0.483% 0.1R 10.3× 36
4h +5.696% 0.8R -0.483% 0.1R 11.8× 48
8h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 96
12h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 144
24h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 288
48h +13.179% 1.8R -5.289% 0.7R 2.5× 576
72h +13.179% 1.8R -5.289% 0.7R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.38 bull_high +1.53% +0.75 30/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
choppy 49% late — — 0.33 range_medium -0.21% +0.93 30/09 19:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.41 range_low -0.17% +0.38 30/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#187443
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.541 expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 43% late 11b 3.1ATR — — 4.84 100% ↑ +0.48 above_value +5.97 inside #101571 0.38 bull_high +1.53% +0.75
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:13
1h anchor
#187442
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.577 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
choppy 49% late 4b 2.2ATR — — 0.60 90% ↑ +0.99 above_value +5.97 — #101571 0.33 range_medium -0.21% +0.93
30/09 19:00
upd 30/09 20:13
15m
#187352
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.720 compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% early 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.10 75% ↓ -0.74 above_value +6.27 — #101417 0.41 range_low -0.17% +0.38
30/09 19:45
upd 30/09 20:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up late 11b — 4.99×ATR p85 +3.12×ATR p94
1h ↑ up late 4b — 2.183×ATR p42 +2.155×ATR p87
15m ↓ down early 4b — 2.087×ATR p26 +0.921×ATR p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.34340217
  2. atr: 0.00905261
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T03:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.8395
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3706 0.3434 0.3279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3706
  • Stop Loss: 0.3434
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3434 - 0.3706 = -0.0272

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3706 - = 0.3706

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3706 / -0.0272 = -13.625

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
109.1575 100 294.5743 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0272

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0272 = -294.12

Taille de position USD = -294.12 x 0.3706 = -109

Donc, tu peux acheter -294.12 avec un stoploss a 0.3434

Avec un position size USD de -109$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -294.12 x -0.0272 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -294.12 x 0.3706 = -109

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -109$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -294.12
  • Taille de position USD -109
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -109
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -13.625

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 109.17 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.34 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
3.03 $ 2.77
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.483 % 6.58 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3706 0.3434 0.3279
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3706
  • Stop Loss: 0.3434
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3434 - 0.3706 = -0.0272

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3706 - = 0.3706

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3706 / -0.0272 = -13.625

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.339% (0.0272)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +4.954% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.954% 0.7R -0.483% 0.1R 10.3× 24
3h ★ +4.954% 0.7R -0.483% 0.1R 10.3× 36
4h +5.696% 0.8R -0.483% 0.1R 11.8× 48
8h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 96
12h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 144
24h +13.179% 1.8R -0.483% 0.1R 27.3× 288
48h +13.179% 1.8R -5.289% 0.7R 2.5× 576
72h +13.179% 1.8R -5.289% 0.7R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.