Long Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 64.66 ZRO at 1.725$ per unit. Take profit: 1.7678 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.601 (7.17 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 20:15:15
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 20:15
→ 02:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1.7247$
Qty 64.6603 ZRO
Size 111.5197$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.7678 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.79$
SL 1.601 (-7.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.35
Status
loss
PnL
-1.37%
/ -1.53$
MAE -2.52%
MFE +1.56%
0.2R
expires
01 Oct 02:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 168382)
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00
score du 30/09/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7789
Quality Score
0.611
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
32.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00
30/09 20:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 168382)
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 20:00
score du 30/09/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7789
Quality Score
0.611
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#8 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.93×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
32.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 20:00
30/09 20:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4505
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
71.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.5% |
| 1h | 39.3% |
| 4h | 83.6% |
| 24h | 63.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.2% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 83.6% | +0.93% |
| 24h | 63.9% | +0.59% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.115
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 20:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7901
Score SMA
0.7408
Rank
#7
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9268
Rank Norm SMA
0.8193
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9408 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.78% · r3d: 4.48% · ema21_slope: 2.7927% · dist_ema21: 24.959% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8774 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.58% · rs_3d: 5.42% · beta_24h: 0.107 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7696 | rvol_20: 2.16× · zscore_50: 1.554 · trend: 108.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8971 | ADX: 47.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.123% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6113
Score SMA
0.5950
Rank
#8
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7789
Rank Norm SMA
0.6325
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6983 | r1h: -1.122% · r4h: 4.650% · r1d: 4.56% · r3d: 6.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0015% · dist_ema21: 1.174% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6694 | rs_1h: -1.032% · rs_4h: 4.626% · rs_1d: 4.57% · rs_3d: 7.06% · beta_24h: 1.481 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2404 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.540 · trend: 7.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5439 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.990% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6646
Score SMA
0.6239
Rank
#4
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7627
Rank Norm SMA
0.6806
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8445 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.650% · r1d: 4.56% · r3d: 6.08% · ema21_slope: 0.4336% · dist_ema21: 5.586% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8196 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.626% · rs_1d: 4.57% · rs_3d: 7.06% · beta_24h: 0.907 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4962 | rvol_20: 1.26× · zscore_50: 0.439 · trend: 58.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6498 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.265% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.172%
(0.1237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.823% | 0.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -1.913% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.255% | 0.0R | -2.522% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.560% | 0.2R | -2.522% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.560% | 0.2R | -3.937% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.560% | 0.2R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.289% | 1.3R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +16.391% | 2.3R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +24.619% | 3.4R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 4.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1189 min
MAE in 589 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.29 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.70 | 30/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.29 | 30/09 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.43 | range_low | -0.17% | +0.40 | 30/09 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#177506
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.676 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 14b 1.9ATR | — | — | 2.16 | 98% | ↑ +0.93 | above_value | +2.40 | — | #97251 | 0.43 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
4h
#187463
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.806 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.8ATR | — | — | 1.26 | 95% | ↑ +0.41 | above_value | +3.30 | — | #101581 | 0.29 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.70 |
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #187462
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.617 | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early 3b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.39 | 49% | ↓ -0.25 | above_value | +3.30 | — | #101581 | 0.26 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.29 |
30/09 19:00
upd 30/09 20:14
|
|
15m
#187362
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.745 | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 5b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.79 | 61% | ↑ +0.67 | above_value | +4.32 | — | #101427 | 0.43 | range_low | -0.17% | +0.40 |
30/09 19:45
upd 30/09 20:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.933×ATR | p62 | +1.948×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.297×ATR | p0 | +0.835×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.68×ATR | p11 | +0.394×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.489×ATR | p36 | +0.746×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.60097654
- tp_price: 1.7678175
- atr: 0.04948939
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T06:15:15+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 77
- score: 0.7103
- delta_2h: 0.0354
- extension_atr: -0.01
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7823
- confidence: 0.921
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7247 | 1.601 | 1.7678 | 0.35 | 1.7914 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.7247
- Stop Loss: 1.601
- Take Profit: 1.7678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.601 - 1.7247 = -0.1237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7247 - 1.7678 = -0.0431
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0431 / -0.1237 = 0.3484
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111.5197 | 100 | 64.6603 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1237
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1237 = -64.67
Taille de position USD = -64.67 x 1.7247 = -111.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -64.67 avec un stoploss a 1.601
Avec un position size USD de -111.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -64.67 x -0.1237 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -64.67 x -0.0431 = 2.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.79$
Résumé
- Taille de position -64.67
- Taille de position USD -111.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.79
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3484
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.79 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.53 $ | -1.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5222 % | 35.17 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7247 | 1.601 | 1.7678 | 0.35 | 1.7914 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.7247
- Stop Loss: 1.601
- Take Profit: 1.7678
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.601 - 1.7247 = -0.1237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7247 - 1.7678 = -0.0431
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0431 / -0.1237 = 0.3484
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.172%
(0.1237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.823% | 0.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.162% | 0.0R | -1.913% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.255% | 0.0R | -2.522% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.560% | 0.2R | -2.522% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.560% | 0.2R | -3.937% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.560% | 0.2R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.289% | 1.3R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +16.391% | 2.3R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 2.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +24.619% | 3.4R | -6.001% | 0.8R | 4.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1189 min
MAE in 589 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.