Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 226.64 RUNE at 0.801$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8209 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7656 (4.41 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 21:15:05
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 21:15
→ 03:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.8009$
Qty 226.6377 RUNE
Size 181.5051$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8209 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.53$
SL 0.7656 (-4.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.57
Status
loss
PnL
-0.08%
/ -0.15$
MAE -2.19%
MFE +2.15%
0.5R
expires
01 Oct 03:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 168609)
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 21:00
score du 30/09/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9455
Quality Score
0.600
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 21:00
30/09 21:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 168609)
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 21:00
score du 30/09/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9455
Quality Score
0.600
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 21:00
30/09 21:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4509
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
60.2%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 33.9% |
| 1h | 27.4% |
| 4h | 62.9% |
| 24h | 54.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.2% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 79.0% | +0.43% |
| 24h | 53.2% | +0.38% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.126
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 21:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7872
Score SMA
0.7447
Rank
#4
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9600
Rank Norm SMA
0.8557
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 2.6439% · dist_ema21: 25.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8832 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 1.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6987 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 1.338 · trend: 162.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9251 | ADX: 51.0 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.5996
Score SMA
0.5996
Rank
#5
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9455
Rank Norm SMA
0.6358
Calculé le
30/09/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6621 | r1h: -0.433% · r4h: -0.356% · r1d: 6.58% · r3d: 5.86% · ema21_slope: 0.2802% · dist_ema21: 0.968% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6208 | rs_1h: -0.289% · rs_4h: -0.145% · rs_1d: 6.49% · rs_3d: 6.57% · beta_24h: 1.631 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1695 | rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -42.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7460 | ADX: 36.2 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6372
Score SMA
0.6713
Rank
#11
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9202
Rank Norm SMA
0.8235
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7710 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.532% · r1d: 6.52% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 0.3472% · dist_ema21: 5.191% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7688 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.508% · rs_1d: 6.54% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 2.771 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2527 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.411 · trend: 10.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6569 | ADX: 37.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6461 | ATR%: 4.062% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.408%
(0.0353)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.863% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.863% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -3.802% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -11.648% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -11.648% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1224 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.65 | 30/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.35% | +0.49 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | compression | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.57 | range_low | -0.30% | +0.02 | 30/09 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187596
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.569 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 3b 2.5ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 1.81 | 97% | ↑ +0.92 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:21
|
|
4h
#187461
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.641 | compression | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 15b 1.2ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.45 | 82% | ↔ +0.12 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.53% | +0.65 |
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #188033
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.827 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 7b 0.4ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.08 | 22% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | +0.51 | — | #101811 | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.35% | +0.49 |
30/09 20:00
upd 30/09 21:09
|
|
15m
#187959
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | 0.612 | compression | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 9b -1.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.12 | 19% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | +0.71 | — | #101580 | 0.57 | range_low | -0.30% | +0.02 |
30/09 20:45
upd 30/09 21:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.841×ATR | p0 | +2.535×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 2.919×ATR | p30 | +1.15×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.87×ATR | p63 | +0.439×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.01×ATR | p8 | -1.055×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.76556137
- tp_price: 0.8208815
- atr: 0.01411945
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T07:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 76
- score: 0.6621
- delta_2h: 0.0218
- extension_atr: 0.64
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9487
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:15 | 0.80086000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 22:15 | 0.80035000 | -0.069% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8009 | 0.7656 | 0.8209 | 0.57 | 0.6387 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8009
- Stop Loss: 0.7656
- Take Profit: 0.8209
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7656 - 0.8009 = -0.0353
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8009 - 0.8209 = -0.02
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.02 / -0.0353 = 0.5666
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 181.5051 | 100 | 226.6377 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0353
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0353 = -226.63
Taille de position USD = -226.63 x 0.8009 = -181.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -226.63 avec un stoploss a 0.7656
Avec un position size USD de -181.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -226.63 x -0.0353 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -226.63 x -0.02 = 4.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.53$
Résumé
- Taille de position -226.63
- Taille de position USD -181.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.53
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5666
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.15 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1938 % | 49.77 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8009 | 0.7656 | 0.8209 | 0.57 | 0.6387 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8009
- Stop Loss: 0.7656
- Take Profit: 0.8209
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7656 - 0.8009 = -0.0353
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8009 - 0.8209 = -0.02
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.02 / -0.0353 = 0.5666
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.408%
(0.0353)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.194% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.863% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -2.863% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -3.802% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -11.648% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.154% | 0.5R | -11.648% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 1224 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.