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Short Trade on 2Z

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30 Sep 2026 at 23:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2211.07 2Z at 0.0581$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06175 (6.23 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 23:15 → 02:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05813$

Qty 2211.0686 2Z

Size 128.5361$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 128.53$

SL 0.06175 (-6.23%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.03% / -1.32$ MAE -2.10% MFE +0.80% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168805)
#29 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3039

Quality Score
0.523
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168805)
#29 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3039

Quality Score
0.523
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#29 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#29 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.23 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.78×ATR
4h clear 0.72×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 23:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 22:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4517
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 60.2%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.6%
1h 74.2%
4h 56.5%
24h 59.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.0% +0.02%
4h 67.7% +0.13%
24h 51.6% +0.29%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.158
Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.5708
Rank
#29 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3039
Rank Norm SMA
0.5628
Calculé le
30/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2048 r1h: -0.769% · r4h: -1.902% · r1d: -12.18% · r3d: -6.62% · ema21_slope: -0.4235% · dist_ema21: -5.197%
Force Relative 25% 0.2543 rs_1h: -0.728% · rs_4h: -1.644% · rs_1d: -12.33% · rs_3d: -6.74% · beta_24h: 0.918
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.51× · zscore_50: 5.478 · trend: 170.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7943 ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4483
Score SMA
0.6485
Rank
#51 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3311
Rank Norm SMA
0.7121
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4333 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.774% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0586% · dist_ema21: -6.857%
Force Relative 25% 0.3971 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.798% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 2.654
Volume 20% 0.4532 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.478 · trend: 20.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6087 ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3712 ATR%: 4.887% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.227% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.093% 0.0R -2.095% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.802% 0.1R -3.193% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +2.596% 0.4R -3.193% 0.5R 0.8× 144
24h +7.285% 1.2R -3.193% 0.5R 2.3× 288
48h +23.616% 3.8R -3.217% 0.5R 7.3× 576
72h +23.707% 3.8R -3.217% 0.5R 7.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 804 min MAE in 379 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.33 bull_high +1.53% -0.73 30/09 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.8ATR — 0.33 range_medium -0.36% -0.74 30/09 22:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.44 range_low -0.27% -0.05 30/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#187604
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.426 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% late 10b -1.7ATR — — 1.29 94% ↓ -0.43 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.33 bull_high +1.53% -0.73
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:21
1h anchor
#188859
 ↔ neutral range range strong fading 0.316 normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 45% late 24b -2.3ATR near -0.8ATR — 5.51 100% ↑ +0.86 below_value -6.72 — #102165 0.33 range_medium -0.36% -0.74
30/09 22:00
upd 30/09 23:11
15m
#188779
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.505 normal bear_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid 2b -2.0ATR — — 0.33 73% ↑ +0.50 below_value -7.58 — #102009 0.44 range_low -0.27% -0.05
30/09 22:45
upd 30/09 23:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 10b — 3.449×ATR p32 -1.687×ATR p82
1h ↓ down late 24b — 6.432×ATR p98 -2.274×ATR p91
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 2.185×ATR p19 -1.989×ATR p78

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06175116
  2. atr: 0.00120605
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T06:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.1712
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05813 0.06175 0.0308
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05813
  • Stop Loss: 0.06175
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06175 - 0.05813 = 0.00362

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05813 - = 0.05813

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05813 / 0.00362 = 16.058

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
128.5361 100 2211.0686 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00362

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00362 = 2209.94

Taille de position USD = 2209.94 x 0.05813 = 128.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 2209.94 avec un stoploss a 0.06175

Avec un position size USD de 128.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2209.94 x 0.00362 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2209.94 x 0.05813 = 128.46

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 128.46$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2209.94
  • Taille de position USD 128.46
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 128.46
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.058

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 128.53 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.32 $ -1.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0953 % 33.65 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05813 0.06175 0.0308
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05813
  • Stop Loss: 0.06175
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06175 - 0.05813 = 0.00362

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05813 - = 0.05813

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05813 / 0.00362 = 16.058

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.227% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.093% 0.0R -2.095% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.802% 0.1R -2.095% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +0.802% 0.1R -3.193% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +2.596% 0.4R -3.193% 0.5R 0.8× 144
24h +7.285% 1.2R -3.193% 0.5R 2.3× 288
48h +23.616% 3.8R -3.217% 0.5R 7.3× 576
72h +23.707% 3.8R -3.217% 0.5R 7.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 804 min MAE in 379 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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