Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.29 AAVE at 165.66$ per unit. Take profit: 169.8015 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 159.4663 (3.74 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 00:15:06
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 06:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 165.66$
Qty 1.2916 AAVE
Size 213.9719$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 169.8015 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.35$
SL 159.4663 (-3.74%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.67
Status
loss
PnL
-0.82%
/ -1.76$
MAE -1.60%
MFE +1.96%
0.5R
expires
01 Oct 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 168835)
#9 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 00:00
score du 01/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5324
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
48.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 00:00
01/10 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 168835)
#9 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 00:00
score du 01/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5324
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
48.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 00:00
01/10 00:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4521
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
69.9%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.8% |
| 1h | 57.4% |
| 4h | 68.9% |
| 24h | 75.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.7% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 72.1% | +0.31% |
| 24h | 72.1% | +0.93% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.143
Universe :
61
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 00:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7003
Score SMA
0.6541
Rank
#13
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8400
Rank Norm SMA
0.5326
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7769 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 1.2265% · dist_ema21: 11.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6815 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.43% · rs_3d: 4.11% · beta_24h: 1.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8793 | rvol_20: 2.72× · zscore_50: 1.867 · trend: 111.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8065 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5764
Score SMA
0.5697
Rank
#9
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5324
Rank Norm SMA
0.5748
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7550 | r1h: 1.897% · r4h: 4.062% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: -0.0247% · dist_ema21: 3.029% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7745 | rs_1h: 1.578% · rs_4h: 3.912% · rs_1d: 3.48% · rs_3d: 10.06% · beta_24h: 1.171 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3630 | rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: 0.196 · trend: -26.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4833 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.537% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7081
Score SMA
0.6266
Rank
#4
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9069
Rank Norm SMA
0.6556
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9085 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.062% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: 10.59% · ema21_slope: 0.4805% · dist_ema21: 4.646% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8338 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.912% · rs_1d: 3.48% · rs_3d: 10.06% · beta_24h: 2.886 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3407 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.018 · trend: 30.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7352 | ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8766 | ATR%: 3.370% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.739%
(6.1937)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.757% | 0.5R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 72.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.799% | 0.5R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 74.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.244% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.600% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.600% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.224% | 0.9R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.588% | 2.0R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.323% | 3.6R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.323% | 3.6R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1274 min
MAE in 534 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.7
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.68 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.04% | +0.35 | 30/09 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.49 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.37 | 30/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187572
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.562 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 14b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 2.72 | 96% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -2.36 | — | #101575 | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
|
|
4h
#189224
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.586 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 9b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.70 | 88% | ↑ +0.52 | above_value | +0.24 | — | #102273 | 0.55 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.68 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #189223
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.471 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 8b 2.1ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 1.24 | 92% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.24 | — | #102273 | 0.55 | range_medium | -0.04% | +0.35 |
30/09 23:00
upd 01/10 00:13
|
|
15m
#189128
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.346 | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 6b 3.1ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 3.36 | 83% | ↑ +0.84 | value | -1.01 | — | #102117 | 0.49 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.37 |
30/09 23:45
upd 01/10 00:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 4.252×ATR | p62 | +1.306×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 1.831×ATR | p0 | +1.107×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.285×ATR | p83 | +2.119×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.724×ATR | p77 | +3.066×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 159.46628876
- tp_price: 169.8015
- atr: 2.47748449
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T10:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 5
- total: 77
- score: 0.6847
- delta_2h: 0.0937
- extension_atr: 1.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5258
- confidence: 0.997
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:15 | 165.66000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:15 | 166.60000000 | +0.567% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165.66 | 159.4663 | 169.8015 | 0.67 | 137.19 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 165.66
- Stop Loss: 159.4663
- Take Profit: 169.8015
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 159.4663 - 165.66 = -6.1937
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 165.66 - 169.8015 = -4.1415
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1415 / -6.1937 = 0.6687
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.9719 | 100 | 1.2916 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.1937
Taille de position = 8 / -6.1937 = -1.29
Taille de position USD = -1.29 x 165.66 = -213.7
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.29 avec un stoploss a 159.4663
Avec un position size USD de -213.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.29 x -6.1937 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.29 x -4.1415 = 5.34
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.34$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.29
- Taille de position USD -213.7
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 5.34
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6687
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.35 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.76 $ | -0.82 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5997 % | 42.79 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165.66 | 159.4663 | 169.8015 | 0.67 | 137.19 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 165.66
- Stop Loss: 159.4663
- Take Profit: 169.8015
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 159.4663 - 165.66 = -6.1937
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 165.66 - 169.8015 = -4.1415
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.1415 / -6.1937 = 0.6687
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.739%
(6.1937)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.757% | 0.5R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 72.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.799% | 0.5R | -0.024% | 0.0R | 74.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.244% | 0.3R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.600% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.956% | 0.5R | -1.600% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.224% | 0.9R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.588% | 2.0R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 3.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.323% | 3.6R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.323% | 3.6R | -2.010% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1274 min
MAE in 534 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.