Long Trade on TRUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 77.37 TRUMP at 2.158$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4163 (11.98 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0544 (4.79 %)
Long Trade on TRUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 77.37 TRUMP at 2.158$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4163 (11.98 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0544 (4.79 %)
Position
Entry 2.1578$
Qty 77.3708 TRUMP
Size 166.9508$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4163 (+11.98%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.0544 (-4.79%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6170
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6170
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 27.9% |
| 1h | 31.2% |
| 4h | 85.3% |
| 24h | 75.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.5% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 72.1% | +0.64% |
| 24h | 63.9% | +1.28% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5229 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: -3.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0390% · dist_ema21: -1.181% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4396 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.33% · rs_3d: -2.42% · beta_24h: 1.511 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1817 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.418 · trend: -60.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3598 | ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 74.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.610% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6487 | r1h: -3.109% · r4h: 6.164% · r1d: 6.00% · r3d: 6.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0863% · dist_ema21: 4.707% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6217 | rs_1h: -3.427% · rs_4h: 6.013% · rs_1d: 5.44% · rs_3d: 6.44% · beta_24h: 0.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 6.73× · zscore_50: 4.997 · trend: 337.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6360 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6964 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.164% · r1d: 6.00% · r3d: 6.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0246% · dist_ema21: 5.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8165 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 6.013% · rs_1d: 5.44% · rs_3d: 6.44% · beta_24h: 1.953 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9122 | rvol_20: 5.67× · zscore_50: 2.004 · trend: 83.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6269 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 39.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8631 | ATR%: 3.411% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -1.084% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.094% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -8.356% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -8.356% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.31 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.31 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.30 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.04% | +0.54 | 30/09 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.49 | 30/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187714
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.536 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 32b -0.2ATR | — | — | 0.56 | 54% | ↔ +0.13 | value | -1.31 | — | #101611 | 0.47 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.31 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
|
|
4h
#189313
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.403 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 12b 1.6ATR | — | near -0.4ATR | 5.67 | 96% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | +1.58 | — | #102310 | 0.31 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.30 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor #189311
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.667 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 1b 2.1ATR | — | — | 6.73 | 99% | ↑ +0.42 | above_value | +1.58 | — | #102310 | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.04% | +0.54 |
30/09 23:00
upd 01/10 00:17
|
|
15m
#189165
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.866 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 4b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 88% | ↑ +0.96 | above_value | +3.30 | — | #102154 | 0.44 | range_low | +0.05% | +0.49 |
30/09 23:45
upd 01/10 00:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.747×ATR | p50 | -0.152×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.35×ATR | p43 | +1.623×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.602×ATR | p3 | +2.057×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.92×ATR | p67 | +1.706×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.10725
2.0105
2.058875
1790690400
1790827200
2.1629
39
0.7952
1790820000
2.10725
0.9231
2
1.1301
0
5
5
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:20 | 2.15780000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:31 | 2.15780000 | 0% |
| 3 | 00:42 | 2.16400000 | +0.287% |
| 4 | 00:52 | 2.16400000 | +0.287% |
| 5 | 01:03 | 2.16400000 | +0.287% |
| 6 | 01:14 | 2.14840000 | -0.436% |
| 7 | 01:25 | 2.14840000 | -0.436% |
| 8 | 01:36 | 2.14840000 | -0.436% |
| 9 | 01:47 | 2.14870000 | -0.422% |
| 10 | 01:57 | 2.14870000 | -0.422% |
| 11 | 02:11 | 2.15340000 | -0.204% |
| 12 | 02:23 | 2.15340000 | -0.204% |
| 13 | 02:34 | 2.15340000 | -0.204% |
| 14 | 02:45 | 2.16390000 | +0.283% |
| 15 | 02:55 | 2.16390000 | +0.283% |
| 16 | 03:07 | 2.16390000 | +0.283% |
| 17 | 03:18 | 2.14410000 | -0.635% |
| 18 | 03:30 | 2.14410000 | -0.635% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1578 | 2.0544 | 2.4163 | 2.5 | 1.6775 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0544 - 2.1578 = -0.1034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1578 - 2.4163 = -0.2585
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2585 / -0.1034 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166.9508 | 100 | 77.3708 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1034 = -77.37
Taille de position USD = -77.37 x 2.1578 = -166.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -77.37 avec un stoploss a 2.0544
Avec un position size USD de -166.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -77.37 x -0.1034 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -77.37 x -0.2585 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.98 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9773 % | 103.87 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1578 | 2.0544 | 2.4163 | 2.5 | 1.6775 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0544 - 2.1578 = -0.1034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.1578 - 2.4163 = -0.2585
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2585 / -0.1034 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4163
[entry_price] => 2.1578
[stop_loss] => 2.04406
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4163
[entry_price] => 2.1578
[stop_loss] => 2.03372
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4163
[entry_price] => 2.1578
[stop_loss] => 2.02338
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -1.071% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.482% | 0.1R | -1.084% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.094% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.635% | 0.1R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -6.428% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -8.356% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.614% | 0.6R | -8.356% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
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