01 Oct 2026 at 01:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 24.21 NEAR at 5.453$ per unit. Take profit: 5.589 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 5.1223 (6.06 %)

NEAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 01:15 → 06:05 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 5.4527$

Qty 24.2141 NEAR

Size 132.0322$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 5.589 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.3$

SL 5.1223 (-6.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.41

Status loss PnL -6.06% / -8$ MAE -7.10% MFE +1.44% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 07:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169001)
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8038

Quality Score
0.591
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
342.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 01:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169001)
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8038

Quality Score
0.591
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.06 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.06 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.20×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
342.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 01:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4525
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.1%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.7%
1h 36.7%
4h 75.0%
24h 75.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 88.3% +0.06%
4h 63.3% +0.59%
24h 63.3% +1.39%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.144
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 01:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7848
Score SMA
0.7851
Rank
#5 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9467
Rank Norm SMA
0.8897
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9179 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.36% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: 4.9749% · dist_ema21: 32.072%
Force Relative 25% 0.8676 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 0.05% · beta_24h: 1.624
Volume 20% 0.7124 rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.952 · trend: 128.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 1.0000 ADX: 61.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.227% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5910
Score SMA
0.5837
Rank
#11 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8038
Rank Norm SMA
0.6406
Calculé le
01/10/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7492 r1h: 0.608% · r4h: 2.580% · r1d: 9.87% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2172% · dist_ema21: 2.910%
Force Relative 25% 0.6722 rs_1h: 0.177% · rs_4h: 1.851% · rs_1d: 8.75% · rs_3d: 2.03% · beta_24h: 1.310
Volume 20% 0.1286 rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -1.102 · trend: -48.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4831 ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 65.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6074
Score SMA
0.5917
Rank
#15 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8212
Rank Norm SMA
0.6055
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7987 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.004% · r1d: 10.54% · r3d: 3.32% · ema21_slope: 0.2502% · dist_ema21: 6.077%
Force Relative 25% 0.7909 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.853% · rs_1d: 9.99% · rs_3d: 2.80% · beta_24h: 1.933
Volume 20% 0.1982 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.915 · trend: -5.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6365 ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.3495 ATR%: 4.952% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.059% (0.3304)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.436% 0.2R -0.240% 0.0R 6.0× 12
2h +1.436% 0.2R -0.453% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +1.436% 0.2R -4.766% 0.8R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.436% 0.2R -7.096% 1.2R 0.2× 72
8h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 96
12h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 144
24h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 288
48h +1.436% 0.2R -15.862% 2.6R 0.1× 576
72h +1.436% 0.2R -15.862% 2.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 469 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.68
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.53 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.40 bull_high +1.65% +0.04 30/09 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.2ATR 0.30 range_medium +0.39% +0.50 01/10 00:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% late — near -0.6ATR 0.43 range_low +0.45% +0.10 01/10 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187631
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.732 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 46% late 17b 2.0ATR — — 1.64 99% ↑ +0.90 above_value +2.82 — #101587 0.53 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:22
4h
#189248
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.509 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid 12b 1.2ATR — — 0.48 67% ↓ -0.16 above_value +3.31 — #102285 0.40 bull_high +1.65% +0.04
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:14
1h anchor
#189686
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.576 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid 2b 1.1ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.30 11% ↓ -0.67 above_value +3.56 — #102519 0.30 range_medium +0.39% +0.50
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 01:10
15m
#189611
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.488 normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% late 2b 1.6ATR — near -0.6ATR 1.13 38% ↔ +0.07 above_value +3.31 — #102285 0.43 range_low +0.45% +0.10
01/10 00:45
upd 01/10 01:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 17b — 6.239×ATR p87 +1.988×ATR p84
4h ↑ up mid 12b — 3.192×ATR p46 +1.22×ATR p69
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 1.815×ATR p19 +1.127×ATR p68
15m ↑ up late 2b — 1.316×ATR p6 +1.58×ATR p84

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 5.12231393
  2. tp_price: 5.5890175
  3. atr: 0.13215443
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T11:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7492
  4. delta_2h: 0.0544
  5. extension_atr: 1.19
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8071
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:15 5.45270000 0%
2 02:15 5.50360000 +0.933%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.4527 5.1223 5.589 0.41 4.4965
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.4527
  • Stop Loss: 5.1223
  • Take Profit: 5.589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.1223 - 5.4527 = -0.3304

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.4527 - 5.589 = -0.1363

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1363 / -0.3304 = 0.4125

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
132.0322 100 24.2141 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3304

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3304 = -24.21

Taille de position USD = -24.21 x 5.4527 = -132.01

Donc, tu peux acheter -24.21 avec un stoploss a 5.1223

Avec un position size USD de -132.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -24.21 x -0.3304 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -24.21 x -0.1363 = 3.3

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.3$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -24.21
  • Taille de position USD -132.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.3
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4125

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.3 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.06 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -6.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.3198 % 104.3 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5.4527 5.1223 5.589 0.41 4.4965
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5.4527
  • Stop Loss: 5.1223
  • Take Profit: 5.589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.1223 - 5.4527 = -0.3304

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5.4527 - 5.589 = -0.1363

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1363 / -0.3304 = 0.4125

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5.589
            [entry_price] => 5.4527
            [stop_loss] => 5.08926
            [rr_ratio] => 0.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.059% (0.3304)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.436% 0.2R -0.240% 0.0R 6.0× 12
2h +1.436% 0.2R -0.453% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +1.436% 0.2R -4.766% 0.8R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.436% 0.2R -7.096% 1.2R 0.2× 72
8h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 96
12h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 144
24h +1.436% 0.2R -13.005% 2.2R 0.1× 288
48h +1.436% 0.2R -15.862% 2.6R 0.1× 576
72h +1.436% 0.2R -15.862% 2.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 469 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.