Short Trade on LDO

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01 Oct 2026 at 02:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 277.13 LDO at 0.449$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4784 (6.43 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 02:15 → 05:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.4495$

Qty 277.1268 LDO

Size 124.5824$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 124.57$

SL 0.4784 (-6.43%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status win PnL +0.02% / +0.025$ MAE -0.55% MFE +1.23% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 05:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169060)

#76 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3485

Quality Score

0.408

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

6.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169060)

#76 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3485

Quality Score

0.408

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 76 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.72×ATR
4h	near	-0.98×ATR
1d	clear	3.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

6.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 01:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4529

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 79.5%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	51.7%
1h	73.3%
4h	86.7%
24h	73.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	55.0%	+0.00%
4h	71.7%	+1.42%
24h	48.3%	+1.04%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.215

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6131

Score SMA

0.6928

Rank

#32 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5867

Rank Norm SMA

0.6916

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7463	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.93% · r3d: -7.52% · ema21_slope: 1.3198% · dist_ema21: 7.713%
Force Relative	25%	0.6361	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -6.54% · beta_24h: 1.490
Volume	20%	0.5868	rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.903 · trend: 79.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7525	ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 39.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.4080

Score SMA

0.5868

Rank

#76 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3485

Rank Norm SMA

0.6117

Calculé le

01/10/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3462	r1h: 0.089% · r4h: -0.621% · r1d: -4.80% · r3d: -4.46% · ema21_slope: -0.2077% · dist_ema21: -1.473%
Force Relative	25%	0.3395	rs_1h: -0.130% · rs_4h: -1.552% · rs_1d: -5.93% · rs_3d: -5.83% · beta_24h: 1.082
Volume	20%	0.2688	rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.593 · trend: 31.27%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5010	ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4815

Score SMA

0.6043

Rank

#55 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3714

Rank Norm SMA

0.6073

Calculé le

01/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4429	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.728% · r1d: -5.70% · r3d: -7.29% · ema21_slope: 0.0274% · dist_ema21: -3.808%
Force Relative	25%	0.3893	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.879% · rs_1d: -6.26% · rs_3d: -7.82% · beta_24h: 2.356
Volume	20%	0.6711	rvol_20: 2.16× · zscore_50: 1.158 · trend: 45.72%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5035	ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4154	ATR%: 4.754% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.429% (0.0289)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.191%	0.0R	-0.554%	0.1R	0.4×	12
2h	+1.226%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.2×	24
3h ★	+1.226%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.2×	36
4h	+1.553%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.8×	48
8h	+2.352%	0.4R	-0.554%	0.1R	4.3×	96
12h	+3.535%	0.6R	-0.554%	0.1R	6.4×	144
24h	+4.118%	0.6R	-0.730%	0.1R	5.6×	288
48h	+5.580%	0.9R	-6.158%	1.0R	0.9×	576
72h	+5.580%	0.9R	-6.158%	1.0R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 929 min MAE in 1434 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.54

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.65	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.86	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 43%	early	near -1.0ATR	—	0.51	bull_high	+1.65%	-0.70	30/09 20:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.46	range_medium	+0.59%	-0.61	01/10 01:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	normal	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	near 0.1ATR	0.42	range_low	+0.62%	-0.33	01/10 01:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187548	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.635	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.46	94%	↑ +0.88	above_value	-2.94	—	#101569	0.65	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.86	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:18
4h #189212	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.426	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b -0.8ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	2.16	99%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-3.81	—	#102267	0.51	bull_high	+1.65%	-0.70	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 00:13
1h anchor #190059	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.552	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.32	42%	↔ +0.05	below_value	-3.39	—	#102656	0.46	range_medium	+0.59%	-0.61	01/10 01:00 upd 01/10 02:10
15m #189985	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.239	normal	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early 11b -0.1ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.49	72%	↓ -0.21	below_value	-3.32	—	#102501	0.42	range_low	+0.62%	-0.33	01/10 01:45 upd 01/10 02:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	3.258×ATR	p32	+0.717×ATR	p34
4h	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.283×ATR	p13	-0.819×ATR	p52
1h	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.502×ATR	p2	-0.675×ATR	p32
15m	↓ down	early	11b	—	0×ATR	p0	-0.085×ATR	p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.47841765
atr: 0.00962255
expires_at: 2026-10-01T09:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 77
score: 0.3398
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4495	0.4784			0.3618

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4495
Stop Loss: 0.4784
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4784 - 0.4495 = 0.0289
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4495 - = 0.4495
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4495 / 0.0289 = 15.5536

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
124.5824	100	277.1268	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0289

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0289 = 276.82

Taille de position USD = 276.82 x 0.4495 = 124.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 276.82 avec un stoploss a 0.4784

Avec un position size USD de 124.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 276.82 x 0.0289 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 276.82 x 0.4495 = 124.43

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 124.43$

Résumé

Taille de position 276.82
Taille de position USD 124.43
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 124.43
Risk-Reward Ratio 15.5536

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	124.57 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.43 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
0.025 $	0.02

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5539 %	8.62 %	14

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4495	0.4784			0.3618

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4495
Stop Loss: 0.4784
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4784 - 0.4495 = 0.0289
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4495 - = 0.4495
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4495 / 0.0289 = 15.5536

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.429% (0.0289)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.191%	0.0R	-0.554%	0.1R	0.4×	12
2h	+1.226%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.2×	24
3h ★	+1.226%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.2×	36
4h	+1.553%	0.2R	-0.554%	0.1R	2.8×	48
8h	+2.352%	0.4R	-0.554%	0.1R	4.3×	96
12h	+3.535%	0.6R	-0.554%	0.1R	6.4×	144
24h	+4.118%	0.6R	-0.730%	0.1R	5.6×	288
48h	+5.580%	0.9R	-6.158%	1.0R	0.9×	576
72h	+5.580%	0.9R	-6.158%	1.0R	0.9×	864

⏱ MFE in 929 min MAE in 1434 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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