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Long Trade on SPX

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01 Oct 2026 at 02:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SPX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 429.99 SPX at 0.459$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4708 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4407 (4.05 %)

SPX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 02:15 → 03:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.4593$

Qty 429.9862 SPX

Size 197.484$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4708 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.94$

SL 0.4407 (-4.05%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.62

Status loss PnL -4.05% / -8$ MAE -6.08% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 08:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169101)
#5 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8958

Quality Score
0.648
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169101)
#5 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8958

Quality Score
0.648
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.70×ATR
4h near -0.78×ATR
1d clear 4.07×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 01:00

Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4529
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.5%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 73.3%
4h 86.7%
24h 73.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 55.0% +0.00%
4h 71.7% +1.42%
24h 48.3% +1.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.215
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3678
Score SMA
0.3037
Rank
#75 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0133
Rank Norm SMA
0.0054
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4034 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.09% · r3d: 0.05% · ema21_slope: -0.5326% · dist_ema21: -4.281%
Force Relative 25% 0.5154 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 1.934
Volume 20% 0.2110 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.552 · trend: -17.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5049 ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6475
Score SMA
0.4905
Rank
#5 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8958
Rank Norm SMA
0.3377
Calculé le
01/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7978 r1h: 1.750% · r4h: 3.963% · r1d: 9.04% · r3d: 7.78% · ema21_slope: 0.2081% · dist_ema21: 4.187%
Force Relative 25% 0.7794 rs_1h: 1.532% · rs_4h: 3.032% · rs_1d: 7.91% · rs_3d: 6.41% · beta_24h: 1.668
Volume 20% 0.1836 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.605 · trend: -35.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6916 ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 48.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.735% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5533
Score SMA
0.3795
Rank
#26 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6355
Rank Norm SMA
0.0815
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5577 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.870% · r1d: 7.06% · r3d: 6.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0789% · dist_ema21: 4.849%
Force Relative 25% 0.7193 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.719% · rs_1d: 6.50% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 2.592
Volume 20% 0.1613 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.581 · trend: -55.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6289 ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7955 ATR%: 3.614% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.050% (0.0186)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.581% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.317% 1.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.462% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.462% 1.6R 0.0× 288
48h +0.248% 0.1R -10.699% 2.6R 0.0× 576
72h +0.248% 0.1R -10.699% 2.6R 0.0× 864

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.73 bull_high +12.59% -0.90 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.8ATR 0.63 bull_high +1.65% +0.21 30/09 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.58 range_medium +0.59% +0.60 01/10 01:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.67 range_low +0.62% +0.30 01/10 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187708
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.550 compression bull_high
46%
noisy_chop 39% mid 26b -0.5ATR — — 0.53 46% ↑ +0.32 above_value -0.13 — #101609 0.73 bull_high +12.59% -0.90
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
4h
#189307
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.479 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid 12b 1.4ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.41 15% ↓ -0.27 value +0.88 — #102308 0.63 bull_high +1.65% +0.21
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:17
1h anchor
#190100
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.509 expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% late 10b 2.3ATR — — 0.53 28% ↓ -0.52 above_value +1.27 — #102697 0.58 range_medium +0.59% +0.60
01/10 01:00
upd 01/10 02:12
15m
#190026
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.548 normal bull_medium
62%
noisy_chop 50% late 14b 3.1ATR — — 1.59 76% ↑ +0.66 value +0.45 — #102542 0.67 range_low +0.62% +0.30
01/10 01:45
upd 01/10 02:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 26b — 5.226×ATR p61 -0.454×ATR p31
4h ↑ up mid 12b — 3.75×ATR p65 +1.371×ATR p73
1h ↑ up late 10b — 3.844×ATR p85 +2.324×ATR p94
15m ↑ up late 14b — 6.733×ATR p100 +3.142×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.44067475
  2. tp_price: 0.470762
  3. atr: 0.0074421
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7766
  4. delta_2h: 0.0596
  5. extension_atr: 2.06
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8992
  9. confidence: 0.997

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4593 0.4407 0.4708 0.62 0.357
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4593
  • Stop Loss: 0.4407
  • Take Profit: 0.4708

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4407 - 0.4593 = -0.0186

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4593 - 0.4708 = -0.0115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0115 / -0.0186 = 0.6183

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
197.484 100 429.9862 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0186

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0186 = -430.11

Taille de position USD = -430.11 x 0.4593 = -197.55

Donc, tu peux acheter -430.11 avec un stoploss a 0.4407

Avec un position size USD de -197.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -430.11 x -0.0186 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -430.11 x -0.0115 = 4.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -430.11
  • Taille de position USD -197.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6183

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.05 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.1644 % 127.53 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4593 0.4407 0.4708 0.62 0.357
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4593
  • Stop Loss: 0.4407
  • Take Profit: 0.4708

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4407 - 0.4593 = -0.0186

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4593 - 0.4708 = -0.0115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0115 / -0.0186 = 0.6183

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4708
            [entry_price] => 0.4593
            [stop_loss] => 0.43884
            [rr_ratio] => 0.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4708
            [entry_price] => 0.4593
            [stop_loss] => 0.43698
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4708
            [entry_price] => 0.4593
            [stop_loss] => 0.43512
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 08:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4708
            [entry_price] => 0.4593
            [stop_loss] => 0.4314
            [rr_ratio] => 0.41
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.050% (0.0186)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.581% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.317% 1.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -6.077% 1.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.462% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -6.462% 1.6R 0.0× 288
48h +0.248% 0.1R -10.699% 2.6R 0.0× 576
72h +0.248% 0.1R -10.699% 2.6R 0.0× 864

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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