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Long Trade on PUMP

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01 Oct 2026 at 03:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 22308.98 PUMP at 0.00585$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005997 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005492 (6.14 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 03:15 → 06:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.005851$

Qty 22308.9794 PUMP

Size 130.5298$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005997 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.26$

SL 0.005492 (-6.14%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.41

Status loss PnL -6.14% / -8.01$ MAE -6.60% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 09:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169184)
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7426

Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
128.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169184)
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7426

Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 76 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
128.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4533
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 67.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 66.7%
1h 40.0%
4h 73.3%
24h 86.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 60.0% +0.03%
4h 53.3% +0.91%
24h 61.7% +2.33%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.214
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 03:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7457
Score SMA
0.6211
Rank
#11 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8667
Rank Norm SMA
0.5018
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9250 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: 14.91% · ema21_slope: 1.4160% · dist_ema21: 30.779%
Force Relative 25% 0.8692 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 15.89% · beta_24h: 1.130
Volume 20% 0.6586 rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 0.793 · trend: 94.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7948 ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.558% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6656
Score SMA
0.6168
Rank
#6 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7426
Rank Norm SMA
0.6546
Calculé le
01/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6711 r1h: -0.357% · r4h: 2.320% · r1d: 3.64% · r3d: 18.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0858% · dist_ema21: 1.025%
Force Relative 25% 0.6810 rs_1h: -0.140% · rs_4h: 1.568% · rs_1d: 2.33% · rs_3d: 17.24% · beta_24h: 0.903
Volume 20% 0.2410 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.396 · trend: -49.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4404 ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.583% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5640
Score SMA
0.6187
Rank
#25 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7954
Rank Norm SMA
0.5925
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7183 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.781% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: 14.12% · ema21_slope: 1.2417% · dist_ema21: 6.380%
Force Relative 25% 0.6782 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.931% · rs_1d: 0.07% · rs_3d: 13.60% · beta_24h: 1.245
Volume 20% 0.2108 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.583 · trend: -12.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7604 ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2269 ATR%: 5.319% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.136% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.187% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.965% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.597% 1.1R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.597% 1.1R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -8.050% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.872% 0.1R -8.084% 1.3R 0.1× 144
24h +2.752% 0.5R -8.084% 1.3R 0.3× 288
48h +6.050% 1.0R -12.921% 2.1R 0.5× 576
72h +12.579% 2.1R -12.921% 2.1R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1319 min MAE in 494 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.27 bull_high +1.65% +0.94 30/09 20:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.37 range_medium +0.37% +0.15 01/10 02:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -0.2ATR 0.30 range_low +0.36% +0.11 01/10 02:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187732
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.689 expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 43% late 14b 2.5ATR — — 1.83 96% ↑ +0.59 value +0.98 inside #101617 0.50 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#189331
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.534 volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid 12b 1.0ATR — — 0.26 45% ↓ -0.40 above_value -0.41 — #102316 0.27 bull_high +1.65% +0.94
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:18
1h anchor
#190493
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.566 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 36% early 3b 0.4ATR — — 0.92 68% ↓ -0.64 above_value +0.64 — #102859 0.37 range_medium +0.37% +0.15
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:11
15m
#190416
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.711 expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 35% mid 1b 0.3ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.85 24% ↔ +0.10 above_value +0.69 — #102705 0.30 range_low +0.36% +0.11
01/10 02:45
upd 01/10 03:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 14b — 4.487×ATR p70 +2.466×ATR p95
4h ↑ up mid 12b — 3.549×ATR p67 +0.996×ATR p56
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.115×ATR p2 +0.444×ATR p30
15m ↓ down mid 1b — 3.178×ATR p67 +0.348×ATR p26

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0054924
  2. tp_price: 0.00599727
  3. atr: 0.00014344
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T13:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7994
  4. delta_2h: 0.1695
  5. extension_atr: 0.26
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7593
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005851 0.005492 0.005997 0.41 0.004252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005851
  • Stop Loss: 0.005492
  • Take Profit: 0.005997

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005492 - 0.005851 = -0.000359

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005851 - 0.005997 = -0.000146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000146 / -0.000359 = 0.4067

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
130.5298 100 22308.9794 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000359

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000359 = -22284.12

Taille de position USD = -22284.12 x 0.005851 = -130.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -22284.12 avec un stoploss a 0.005492

Avec un position size USD de -130.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -22284.12 x -0.000359 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -22284.12 x -0.000146 = 3.25

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.25$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -22284.12
  • Taille de position USD -130.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.25
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4067

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.26 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.14 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -6.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.2041 % 101.11 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005851 0.005492 0.005997 0.41 0.004252
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005851
  • Stop Loss: 0.005492
  • Take Profit: 0.005997

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005492 - 0.005851 = -0.000359

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005851 - 0.005997 = -0.000146

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000146 / -0.000359 = 0.4067

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.136% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.187% 0.7R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.965% 1.0R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.597% 1.1R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.597% 1.1R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -8.050% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.872% 0.1R -8.084% 1.3R 0.1× 144
24h +2.752% 0.5R -8.084% 1.3R 0.3× 288
48h +6.050% 1.0R -12.921% 2.1R 0.5× 576
72h +12.579% 2.1R -12.921% 2.1R 1.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1319 min MAE in 494 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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