Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 1833.86 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4505 (1.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4374 (1 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 1833.86 SPX at 0.442$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4505 (1.97 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4374 (1 %)
Position
Entry 0.4418$
Qty 1833.8613 SPX
Size 810.1266$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4505 (+1.97%)
TP $ 15.95$
SL 0.4374 (-1%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8992
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8992
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.07×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 02:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.561631 15m : 0.683705 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 40.0% |
| 1h | 48.3% |
| 4h | 68.3% |
| 24h | 73.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.0% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 50.0% | +0.40% |
| 24h | 56.7% | +1.37% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4034 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.09% · r3d: 0.05% · ema21_slope: -0.5326% · dist_ema21: -4.281% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5154 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 1.934 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2110 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.552 · trend: -17.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5049 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6709 | r1h: -0.904% · r4h: 1.301% · r1d: 8.06% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.2203% · dist_ema21: 2.942% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6190 | rs_1h: -0.686% · rs_4h: 0.549% · rs_1d: 6.75% · rs_3d: 6.20% · beta_24h: 1.735 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1762 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: -40.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7067 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.710% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5577 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.870% · r1d: 7.06% · r3d: 6.99% · ema21_slope: -0.0789% · dist_ema21: 4.849% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7193 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.719% · rs_1d: 6.50% · rs_3d: 6.46% · beta_24h: 2.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1613 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.581 · trend: -55.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6289 | ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7955 | ATR%: 3.614% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -1.566% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -1.569% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.763% | 0.8R | -2.356% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.238% | 1.2R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.655% | 2.7R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.219% | 4.2R | -7.162% | 7.2R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.219% | 4.2R | -7.162% | 7.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.51 | 01/10 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.28 | 01/10 03:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187708
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.550 | compression | bull_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 26b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.53 | 46% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -0.13 | — | #101609 | 0.73 | bull_high | +12.59% | -0.90 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
|
|
4h
#189307
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.479 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 12b 1.4ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.41 | 15% | ↓ -0.27 | value | +0.88 | — | #102308 | 0.63 | bull_high | +1.65% | +0.21 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:17
|
|
1h
anchor #190485
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.505 | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 11b 1.7ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 27% | ↓ -0.62 | value | +0.93 | — | #102851 | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.37% | +0.51 |
01/10 02:00
upd 01/10 03:11
|
|
15m
#190563
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.736 | normal | bull_medium |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 5b 1.4ATR | — | — | 0.43 | 36% | ↓ -0.22 | value | +0.93 | — | #102851 | 0.67 | range_low | +0.27% | +0.28 |
01/10 03:00
upd 01/10 03:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 5.226×ATR | p61 | -0.454×ATR | p31 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.75×ATR | p65 | +1.371×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.402×ATR | p74 | +1.721×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.616×ATR | p3 | +1.42×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83865.6
-0.00658951
83313
0.561631
83745.1
0.00112113
83839
0.683705
83811.7
0.00302166
84065
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187
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0.2479
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0.4717
0.477
0.3519
0.4374
0.6947
0.809
0.2137
0.1323
1
1.8091
3.1699
0.35
0.65
-1
12
1
0.5043
0.5459
2.5529
0.55
1.1137
2.6528
3.1699
0.3693
0.1866
0.22
0.1581
0.5395
0.6209
0.8244
0.809
-2.2473
9.5201
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:29 | 0.44176000 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 03:42 | 0.44082000 | -0.222% |
| 3 | 03:52 | 0.43981000 | -0.45% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 01:25:00 | 0.44723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 02:20:00 | 0.44021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 03:40:00 | 0.45449 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 04:10:00 | 0.45427 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 04:30:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:45:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:50:00 | 0.45451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 05:55:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 06:45:00 | 0.45859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:25:00 | 0.43558 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 0.43055 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 12:15:00 | 0.42572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:15:00 | 0.45041 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 16:15:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:45:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 00:30:00 | 0.43973 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 02:15:00 | 0.44021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 04:45:00 | 0.45043 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:45:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 07:15:00 | 0.45204 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 03:00:00 | 0.41818 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.43197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 0.40761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.3923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 0.42184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.4044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 0.41803 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 16:00:00 | 0.45284 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 0.42972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 05:00:00 | 0.46239 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4418 | 0.4374 | 0.4505 | 1.98 | 0.3749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4374 - 0.4418 = -0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4418 - 0.4505 = -0.0087
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0044 = 1.9773
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 810.1266 | 100 | 1833.8613 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0044 = -1818.18
Taille de position USD = -1818.18 x 0.4418 = -803.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.4374
Avec un position size USD de -803.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.0087 = 15.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.97 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.07 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3083 % | 131.37 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4418 | 0.4374 | 0.4505 | 1.98 | 0.3749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4374 - 0.4418 = -0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4418 - 0.4505 = -0.0087
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0087 / -0.0044 = 1.9773
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(
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[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4505
[entry_price] => 0.4418
[stop_loss] => 0.43608
[rr_ratio] => 1.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 07:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4505
[entry_price] => 0.4418
[stop_loss] => 0.4352
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 08:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -1.566% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -1.569% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.763% | 0.8R | -2.356% | 2.4R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.763% | 0.8R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.238% | 1.2R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.655% | 2.7R | -2.757% | 2.8R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.219% | 4.2R | -7.162% | 7.2R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.219% | 4.2R | -7.162% | 7.2R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 5 days ago
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