Long Trade on MON

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01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2642.15 MON at 0.0325$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02948 (9.32 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 08:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03251$

Qty 2642.1475 MON

Size 85.8909$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 85.9$

SL 0.02948 (-9.32%)

SL $ 8.01$

Status win PnL +2.51% / +2.16$ MAE -3.28% MFE +3.71% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169423)

#4 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9886

Quality Score

0.694

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

30.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169423)

#4 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9886

Quality Score

0.694

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#4 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.32 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#4 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.32 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.82×ATR
4h	near	-1.94×ATR
1d	near	-0.15×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

30.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 18.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	72.9%
1h	28.8%
4h	6.8%
24h	42.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	67.8%	+0.05%
4h	33.9%	-1.70%
24h	40.7%	-0.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.169

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7630

Score SMA

0.5745

Rank

#7 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9200

Rank Norm SMA

0.3854

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9653	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.7925% · dist_ema21: 21.245%
Force Relative	25%	0.9257	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.7071	rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.322 · trend: 84.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6704	ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.6940

Score SMA

0.5924

Rank

#4 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9886

Rank Norm SMA

0.6072

Calculé le

01/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7501	r1h: 0.140% · r4h: -1.078% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 13.17% · ema21_slope: 0.8754% · dist_ema21: 3.848%
Force Relative	25%	0.7186	rs_1h: -0.036% · rs_4h: -0.413% · rs_1d: 18.92% · rs_3d: 12.44% · beta_24h: 2.163
Volume	20%	0.3973	rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: 0.040 · trend: 85.53%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8737	ADX: 44.8 (trend) · Chop: 27.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.9167	ATR%: 3.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.7773

Score SMA

0.5963

Rank

#3 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9870

Rank Norm SMA

0.5268

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7985	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.831% · r1d: 18.27% · r3d: 14.53% · ema21_slope: 0.3777% · dist_ema21: 11.945%
Force Relative	25%	0.8369	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.419% · rs_1d: 18.12% · rs_3d: 13.97% · beta_24h: 3.256
Volume	20%	0.9350	rvol_20: 2.59× · zscore_50: 3.049 · trend: 156.12%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6940	ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 34.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3747	ATR%: 4.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.320% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.282%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.282%	0.4R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+3.713%	0.4R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.1×	36
4h	+3.713%	0.4R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.1×	48
8h	+4.977%	0.5R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+8.560%	0.9R	-3.282%	0.4R	2.6×	144
24h	+8.560%	0.9R	-3.282%	0.4R	2.6×	288
48h	+10.529%	1.1R	-5.903%	0.6R	1.8×	576
72h	+10.529%	1.1R	-5.903%	0.6R	1.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 634 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.77

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near -0.2ATR	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.98	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near -1.9ATR	0.50	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.89	01/10 00:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	early	near -0.8ATR	—	0.56	range_medium	-0.29%	+0.90	01/10 04:00
15m	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.53	range_low	-0.27%	-0.16	01/10 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187753	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.714	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 45%	late 15b 2.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	2.00	91%	↑ +0.71	above_value	+4.21	—	#101624	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.98	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #190984	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.474	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 45%	late 6b 2.2ATR	—	near -1.9ATR	2.59	100%	↔ +0.11	above_value	+4.90	—	#103022	0.50	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.89	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor #191361	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.499	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	early 1b 1.0ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.59	85%	↑ +0.60	above_value	+3.81	—	#103259	0.56	range_medium	-0.29%	+0.90	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 05:11
15m #191281	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.621	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 6b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.22	52%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+4.90	—	#103022	0.53	range_low	-0.27%	-0.16	01/10 04:45 upd 01/10 05:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	15b	—	4.16×ATR	p61	+2.039×ATR	p94
4h	↑ up	late	6b	—	3.615×ATR	p59	+2.17×ATR	p93
1h	↓ down	early	1b	—	2.318×ATR	p33	+1.016×ATR	p55
15m	↓ down	mid	6b	—	3.861×ATR	p79	-0.803×ATR	p36

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.02948016
atr: 0.00100928
expires_at: 2026-10-01T12:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 78
score: 0.7426
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03251	0.02948			0.02163

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03251
Stop Loss: 0.02948
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02948 - 0.03251 = -0.00303
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03251 - = 0.03251
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03251 / -0.00303 = -10.7294

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
85.8909	85.8909	2642.1475	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00303

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00303 = -2640.26

Taille de position USD = -2640.26 x 0.03251 = -85.83

Donc, tu peux acheter -2640.26 avec un stoploss a 0.02948

Avec un position size USD de -85.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2640.26 x -0.00303 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2640.26 x 0.03251 = -85.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -85.83$

Résumé

Taille de position -2640.26
Taille de position USD -85.83
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -85.83
Risk-Reward Ratio -10.7294

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	85.9 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.32 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
2.16 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.2821 %	35.21 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03251	0.02948			0.02163

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03251
Stop Loss: 0.02948
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02948 - 0.03251 = -0.00303
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03251 - = 0.03251
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.03251 / -0.00303 = -10.7294

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.320% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.282%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.282%	0.4R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+3.713%	0.4R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.1×	36
4h	+3.713%	0.4R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.1×	48
8h	+4.977%	0.5R	-3.282%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+8.560%	0.9R	-3.282%	0.4R	2.6×	144
24h	+8.560%	0.9R	-3.282%	0.4R	2.6×	288
48h	+10.529%	1.1R	-5.903%	0.6R	1.8×	576
72h	+10.529%	1.1R	-5.903%	0.6R	1.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 634 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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