Short Trade on DASH

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01 Oct 2026 at 05:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4.22 DASH at 59.923$ per unit. Take profit: 58.4249 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 61.8199 (3.17 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 05:15 → 09:25 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 59.923$

Qty 4.2173 DASH

Size 252.715$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 58.4249 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.32$

SL 61.8199 (-3.17%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.79

Status win PnL +2.50% / +6.32$ MAE -0.53% MFE +3.07% 1.0R expires 01 Oct 11:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169431)

#70 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1332

Quality Score

0.409

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169431)

#70 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1332

Quality Score

0.409

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#70 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.17 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#70 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.17 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.52×ATR
4h	near	0.08×ATR
1d	clear	1.61×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 05:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4541

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 18.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	72.9%
1h	28.8%
4h	6.8%
24h	42.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	67.8%	+0.05%
4h	33.9%	-1.70%
24h	40.7%	-0.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.169

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5025

Score SMA

0.6026

Rank

#65 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1467

Rank Norm SMA

0.3821

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7169	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.37% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: 1.0448% · dist_ema21: 0.634%
Force Relative	25%	0.5640	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -10.73% · beta_24h: 1.415
Volume	20%	0.2123	rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -15.05%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6932	ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.463% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.4089

Score SMA

0.5318

Rank

#70 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1332

Rank Norm SMA

0.4265

Calculé le

01/10/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3731	r1h: 0.226% · r4h: -1.125% · r1d: -1.87% · r3d: -8.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0867% · dist_ema21: -1.235%
Force Relative	25%	0.3865	rs_1h: 0.050% · rs_4h: -0.460% · rs_1d: -2.49% · rs_3d: -8.99% · beta_24h: 1.208
Volume	20%	0.3691	rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.030 · trend: -21.02%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3625	ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 73.5 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3794

Score SMA

0.5279

Rank

#69 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0913

Rank Norm SMA

0.3620

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3223	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.543% · r1d: -1.79% · r3d: -8.62% · ema21_slope: -0.3726% · dist_ema21: -3.935%
Force Relative	25%	0.3695	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.131% · rs_1d: -1.94% · rs_3d: -9.18% · beta_24h: 2.850
Volume	20%	0.2092	rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.424 · trend: -66.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4744	ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 64.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7733	ATR%: 3.680% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.166% (1.8969)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.974%	0.6R	-0.531%	0.2R	3.7×	12
2h	+1.974%	0.6R	-0.531%	0.2R	3.7×	24
4h	+2.472%	0.8R	-0.531%	0.2R	4.7×	48
6h ★	+3.071%	1.0R	-0.531%	0.2R	5.8×	72
8h	+3.331%	1.1R	-0.531%	0.2R	6.3×	96
12h	+3.331%	1.1R	-0.531%	0.2R	6.3×	144
24h	+3.331%	1.1R	-1.001%	0.3R	3.3×	288
48h	+7.451%	2.4R	-1.126%	0.4R	6.6×	576
72h	+7.451%	2.4R	-1.126%	0.4R	6.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 459 min MAE in 1214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.25	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 43%	late	near 0.1ATR	—	0.43	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.86	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.47	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.27	01/10 04:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.70	range_low	-0.27%	-0.13	01/10 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187774	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.722	normal	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 39%	early 15b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.38	69%	↑ +0.19	below_value	-12.24	—	#101631	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.25	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:27
4h #191008	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.656	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 43%	late 26b -1.2ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.73	28%	↓ -0.46	below_value	-14.59	—	#103030	0.43	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.86	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:19
1h anchor #191369	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.539	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -1.0ATR	—	—	1.30	41%	↓ -0.22	below_value	-15.02	—	#103267	0.47	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.27	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 05:11
15m #191288	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.394	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 5b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.05	3%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-14.59	—	#103030	0.70	range_low	-0.27%	-0.13	01/10 04:45 upd 01/10 05:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	15b	—	1.722×ATR	p0	+0.056×ATR	p2
4h	↓ down	late	26b	—	6.423×ATR	p88	-1.189×ATR	p64
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.41×ATR	p2	-1.043×ATR	p57
15m	↓ down	mid	5b	—	0.838×ATR	p3	-1.07×ATR	p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 61.8199354
tp_price: 58.424925
atr: 0.75877416
expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 73
total: 78
score: 0.3428
delta_2h: -0.0798
extension_atr: -0.69
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.13
confidence: 0.935

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
59.923	61.8199	58.4249	0.79	54.753

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 59.923
Stop Loss: 61.8199
Take Profit: 58.4249

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 61.8199 - 59.923 = 1.8969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 59.923 - 58.4249 = 1.4981
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4981 / 1.8969 = 0.7898

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
252.715	100	4.2173	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.8969

Taille de position = 8 / 1.8969 = 4.22

Taille de position USD = 4.22 x 59.923 = 252.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.22 avec un stoploss a 61.8199

Avec un position size USD de 252.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.22 x 1.8969 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.22 x 1.4981 = 6.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.32$

Résumé

Taille de position 4.22
Taille de position USD 252.88
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.32
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7898

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	6.32 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.17 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
6.32 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5307 %	16.76 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
59.923	61.8199	58.4249	0.79	54.753

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 59.923
Stop Loss: 61.8199
Take Profit: 58.4249

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 61.8199 - 59.923 = 1.8969
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 59.923 - 58.4249 = 1.4981
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4981 / 1.8969 = 0.7898

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.166% (1.8969)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.974%	0.6R	-0.531%	0.2R	3.7×	12
2h	+1.974%	0.6R	-0.531%	0.2R	3.7×	24
4h	+2.472%	0.8R	-0.531%	0.2R	4.7×	48
6h ★	+3.071%	1.0R	-0.531%	0.2R	5.8×	72
8h	+3.331%	1.1R	-0.531%	0.2R	6.3×	96
12h	+3.331%	1.1R	-0.531%	0.2R	6.3×	144
24h	+3.331%	1.1R	-1.001%	0.3R	3.3×	288
48h	+7.451%	2.4R	-1.126%	0.4R	6.6×	576
72h	+7.451%	2.4R	-1.126%	0.4R	6.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 459 min MAE in 1214 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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