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Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 06:15:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3452.64 MEGA at 0.0457$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0469 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04344 (5.05 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 06:15 → 07:20 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.04575$

Qty 3452.6363 MEGA

Size 157.9685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0469 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.97$

SL 0.04344 (-5.05%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.51% / +3.97$ MAE -1.27% MFE +16.89% 3.4R expires 01 Oct 12:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169503)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6242

Quality Score
0.778
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 06:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169503)
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6242

Quality Score
0.778
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.34×ATR
4h near -0.33×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 05:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4545
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 11.7%
1h 65.0%
4h 10.0%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 25.0% -0.16%
4h 25.0% -1.33%
24h 38.3% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.138
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 06:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.7783
Score SMA
0.6080
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6242
Rank Norm SMA
0.6671
Calculé le
01/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7748 r1h: 1.456% · r4h: 2.276% · r1d: 6.97% · r3d: 12.89% · ema21_slope: 0.2991% · dist_ema21: 4.634%
Force Relative 25% 0.7918 rs_1h: 1.206% · rs_4h: 2.909% · rs_1d: 6.78% · rs_3d: 11.54% · beta_24h: 1.492
Volume 20% 0.5763 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.786 · trend: 147.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7829 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7774
Score SMA
0.6627
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8228
Rank Norm SMA
0.7022
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6856 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.641% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0312% · dist_ema21: 5.277%
Force Relative 25% 0.7298 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.053% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 10.94% · beta_24h: 2.399
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.51× · zscore_50: 4.778 · trend: 146.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6802 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8725 ATR%: 3.383% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.049% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.714% 0.3R -1.266% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +4.118% 0.8R -1.266% 0.3R 3.3× 24
4h +5.156% 1.0R -1.266% 0.3R 4.1× 48
6h ★ +16.894% 3.4R -1.266% 0.3R 13.4× 72
8h +21.410% 4.2R -1.266% 0.3R 16.9× 96
12h +21.963% 4.4R -1.266% 0.3R 17.4× 144
24h +22.986% 4.6R -1.266% 0.3R 18.2× 288
48h +22.986% 4.6R -1.346% 0.3R 17.1× 576
72h +22.986% 4.6R -1.346% 0.3R 17.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 859 min MAE in 29 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 5.94
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -0.3ATR 0.46 bull_high +1.21% +0.41 01/10 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% late — near 0.3ATR 0.48 range_medium -0.04% +0.57 01/10 05:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.51 range_low +0.11% +0.36 01/10 05:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h
#190990
 ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.543 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 44% mid 2b 1.5ATR — near -0.3ATR 5.51 98% ↑ +0.42 above_value +3.25 — #103024 0.46 bull_high +1.21% +0.41
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:18
1h anchor
#191758
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.721 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% late 1b 2.1ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.27 94% ↑ +0.82 value +0.71 — #103419 0.48 range_medium -0.04% +0.57
01/10 05:00
upd 01/10 06:13
15m
#191601
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.678 expansion_after_compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 46% early 5b 0.9ATR — — 0.63 89% ↔ +0.14 above_value -0.30 — #103261 0.51 range_low +0.11% +0.36
01/10 05:30
upd 01/10 05:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up mid 2b — 2.571×ATR p23 +1.522×ATR p73
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.104×ATR p0 +2.122×ATR p94
15m ↑ up early 5b — 1.972×ATR p7 +0.949×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04343593
  2. tp_price: 0.04689682
  3. atr: 0.00092683
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T16:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.8083
  4. delta_2h: 0.1924
  5. extension_atr: 1.71
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6242
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04575 0.04344 0.0469 0.5 0.04987
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04575
  • Stop Loss: 0.04344
  • Take Profit: 0.0469

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04344 - 0.04575 = -0.00231

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04575 - 0.0469 = -0.00115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00115 / -0.00231 = 0.4978

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
157.9685 100 3452.6363 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00231

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00231 = -3463.2

Taille de position USD = -3463.2 x 0.04575 = -158.44

Donc, tu peux acheter -3463.2 avec un stoploss a 0.04344

Avec un position size USD de -158.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3463.2 x -0.00231 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3463.2 x -0.00115 = 3.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3463.2
  • Taille de position USD -158.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4978

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.05 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.97 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2656 % 25.07 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04575 0.04344 0.0469 0.5 0.04987
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04575
  • Stop Loss: 0.04344
  • Take Profit: 0.0469

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04344 - 0.04575 = -0.00231

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04575 - 0.0469 = -0.00115

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00115 / -0.00231 = 0.4978

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05037
            [stop_loss] => 0.04344
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 15:25:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.051525
            [stop_loss] => 0.04344
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05268
            [stop_loss] => 0.04344
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 16:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.049% (0.0023)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.714% 0.3R -1.266% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +4.118% 0.8R -1.266% 0.3R 3.3× 24
4h +5.156% 1.0R -1.266% 0.3R 4.1× 48
6h ★ +16.894% 3.4R -1.266% 0.3R 13.4× 72
8h +21.410% 4.2R -1.266% 0.3R 16.9× 96
12h +21.963% 4.4R -1.266% 0.3R 17.4× 144
24h +22.986% 4.6R -1.266% 0.3R 18.2× 288
48h +22.986% 4.6R -1.346% 0.3R 17.1× 576
72h +22.986% 4.6R -1.346% 0.3R 17.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 859 min MAE in 29 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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