Short Trade on CHIP

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01 Oct 2026 at 07:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4421.26 CHIP at 0.0422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04117 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04404 (4.29 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 07:15 → 10:50 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.04223$

Qty 4421.2574 CHIP

Size 186.7053$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04117 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.69$

SL 0.04404 (-4.29%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.59

Status win PnL +2.51% / +4.69$ MAE -1.13% MFE +2.68% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 13:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169588)

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2117

Quality Score

0.366

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169588)

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2117

Quality Score

0.366

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#76 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.90×ATR
4h	near	-0.70×ATR
1d	clear	2.46×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 07:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4549

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.8%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	35.5%
1h	22.6%
4h	3.2%
24h	24.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	41.9%	-0.07%
4h	9.7%	-2.22%
24h	25.8%	-1.63%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.184

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 07:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4160

Score SMA

0.4970

Rank

#73 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0400

Rank Norm SMA

0.1583

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6122	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -7.18% · ema21_slope: 0.3920% · dist_ema21: -3.299%
Force Relative	25%	0.4710	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.71% · rs_3d: -6.20% · beta_24h: 2.694
Volume	20%	0.1933	rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -37.50%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5065	ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.949% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 07:00

Score brut

0.3662

Score SMA

0.5281

Rank

#76 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2117

Rank Norm SMA

0.4235

Calculé le

01/10/2026 07:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3136	r1h: -0.267% · r4h: -3.456% · r1d: -4.61% · r3d: -3.85% · ema21_slope: -0.0988% · dist_ema21: -2.163%
Force Relative	25%	0.3114	rs_1h: -0.487% · rs_4h: -3.257% · rs_1d: -4.68% · rs_3d: -5.04% · beta_24h: 1.800
Volume	20%	0.1932	rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.439 · trend: -36.29%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4449	ADX: 15.0 (weak) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3610

Score SMA

0.4706

Rank

#74 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1115

Rank Norm SMA

0.2213

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3365	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.131% · r1d: -3.19% · r3d: -2.68% · ema21_slope: -0.2274% · dist_ema21: -3.550%
Force Relative	25%	0.4044	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.719% · rs_1d: -3.35% · rs_3d: -3.24% · beta_24h: 2.956
Volume	20%	0.2085	rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.614 · trend: -32.02%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3712	ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.6153	ATR%: 4.154% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.286% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.298%	0.1R	-1.134%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+2.392%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.1×	24
4h	+2.681%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.4×	48
6h ★	+2.681%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.4×	72
8h	+2.681%	0.6R	-2.463%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+2.681%	0.6R	-2.463%	0.6R	1.1×	144
24h	+2.681%	0.6R	-7.076%	1.7R	0.4×	288
48h	+2.681%	0.6R	-8.726%	2.0R	0.3×	576
72h	+2.681%	0.6R	-8.726%	2.0R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 234 min MAE in 1409 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.38

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	—	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.90	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	early	near -0.7ATR	—	0.37	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.61	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.39	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.43	01/10 06:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.63	range_low	+0.20%	-0.30	01/10 06:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187777	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.654	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	early 14b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.65	57%	↓ -0.19	below_value	-6.64	—	#101632	—	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.90	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:27
4h #191011	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.521	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	early 4b -0.9ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.66	15%	↔ +0.01	below_value	-7.58	—	#103031	0.37	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.61	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:19
1h anchor #192160	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.532	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 4b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.53	34%	↓ -0.32	below_value	-8.62	—	#103584	0.39	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.43	01/10 06:00 upd 01/10 07:12
15m #192079	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.405	expansion	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.17	12%	↓ -0.37	below_value	-8.04	—	#103426	0.63	range_low	+0.20%	-0.30	01/10 06:45 upd 01/10 07:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	1.456×ATR	p0	-0.265×ATR	p13
4h	↓ down	early	4b	—	2.123×ATR	p9	-0.932×ATR	p53
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.354×ATR	p43	-1.488×ATR	p76
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.603×ATR	p0	-1.387×ATR	p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04403844
tp_price: 0.04117328
atr: 0.00072378
expires_at: 2026-10-01T17:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 79
score: 0.2995
delta_2h: -0.0827
extension_atr: -1.55
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2133
confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04223	0.04404	0.04117	0.59	0.0545

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04223
Stop Loss: 0.04404
Take Profit: 0.04117

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04404 - 0.04223 = 0.00181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04223 - 0.04117 = 0.00106
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00181 = 0.5856

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
186.7053	100	4421.2574	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00181

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00181 = 4419.89

Taille de position USD = 4419.89 x 0.04223 = 186.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 4419.89 avec un stoploss a 0.04404

Avec un position size USD de 186.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4419.89 x 0.00181 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4419.89 x 0.00106 = 4.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.69$

Résumé

Taille de position 4419.89
Taille de position USD 186.65
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.69
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5856

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.69 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.29 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.69 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1343 %	26.46 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04223	0.04404	0.04117	0.59	0.0545

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04223
Stop Loss: 0.04404
Take Profit: 0.04117

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04404 - 0.04223 = 0.00181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04223 - 0.04117 = 0.00106
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00106 / 0.00181 = 0.5856

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.286% (0.0018)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.298%	0.1R	-1.134%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+2.392%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.1×	24
4h	+2.681%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.4×	48
6h ★	+2.681%	0.6R	-1.134%	0.3R	2.4×	72
8h	+2.681%	0.6R	-2.463%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+2.681%	0.6R	-2.463%	0.6R	1.1×	144
24h	+2.681%	0.6R	-7.076%	1.7R	0.4×	288
48h	+2.681%	0.6R	-8.726%	2.0R	0.3×	576
72h	+2.681%	0.6R	-8.726%	2.0R	0.3×	864

⏱ MFE in 234 min MAE in 1409 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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