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Short Trade on NIL

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01 Oct 2026 at 08:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1081.72 NIL at 0.084$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09145 (8.8 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 08:15 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.08405$

Qty 1081.7155 NIL

Size 90.9182$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 90.92$

SL 0.09145 (-8.8%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +2.73% / +2.48$ MAE -1.69% MFE +3.90% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169647)
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1345

Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169647)
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1345

Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.86×ATR
4h near -0.55×ATR
1d clear 2.67×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 08:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 06:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4553
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.9%
1h 17.2%
4h 31.3%
24h 23.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 46.9% +0.07%
4h 17.2% -0.59%
24h 25.0% -1.71%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.136
Universe : 64 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5682
Score SMA
0.6423
Rank
#44 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4267
Rank Norm SMA
0.5305
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7143 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.39% · r3d: -12.95% · ema21_slope: 6.4017% · dist_ema21: 12.954%
Force Relative 25% 0.5253 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 10.40% · rs_3d: -11.97% · beta_24h: 0.660
Volume 20% 0.4418 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.369 · trend: 70.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8950 ADX: 47.4 (trend) · Chop: 11.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.229% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3522
Score SMA
0.4289
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1345
Rank Norm SMA
0.1832
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3361 r1h: 0.335% · r4h: -1.773% · r1d: -12.94% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.0743% · dist_ema21: -2.136%
Force Relative 25% 0.3118 rs_1h: 0.397% · rs_4h: -2.358% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -3.67% · beta_24h: 0.226
Volume 20% 0.1557 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.665 · trend: -72.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4082 ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.2281
Score SMA
0.4308
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2027
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2618 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.773% · r1d: -12.94% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: -0.4996% · dist_ema21: -4.742%
Force Relative 25% 0.1703 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.358% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -3.67% · beta_24h: 5.113
Volume 20% 0.1462 rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.807 · trend: -61.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4801 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.993% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.804% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.692% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 24
3h ★ +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 36
4h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 48
8h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 96
12h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 144
24h +5.043% 0.6R -1.692% 0.2R 3.0× 288
48h +8.171% 0.9R -1.778% 0.2R 4.6× 576
72h +8.171% 0.9R -6.682% 0.8R 1.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1204 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.94
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.30 bull_high +12.59% +1.00 29/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.6ATR — 0.13 bull_high +1.21% -0.87 01/10 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.11 range_medium +0.18% -0.77 01/10 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% early near -0.9ATR — 0.10 range_low +0.12% -0.19 01/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187723
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.827 volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 45% early 6b 0.5ATR — — 0.86 93% ↑ +0.99 below_value -14.87 — #101614 0.30 bull_high +12.59% +1.00
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
4h
#190954
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.491 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.5ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.22 58% ↓ -0.22 below_value -11.91 — #103012 0.13 bull_high +1.21% -0.87
01/10 00:00
upd 01/10 04:17
1h anchor
#192141
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.469 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% early 1b -1.1ATR — — 0.37 6% ↓ -0.53 below_value -12.17 — #103565 0.11 range_medium +0.18% -0.77
01/10 06:00
upd 01/10 07:11
15m
#192462
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.393 normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% early 7b -1.1ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.67 24% ↓ -0.18 below_value -12.17 — #103565 0.10 range_low +0.12% -0.19
01/10 07:45
upd 01/10 08:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 4.016×ATR p46 +0.47×ATR p38
4h ↓ down early 4b — 1.994×ATR p3 -0.513×ATR p29
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.68×ATR p12 -1.079×ATR p51
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.209×ATR p0 -1.053×ATR p49

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09144566
  2. atr: 0.00246522
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T15:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.3105
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08405 0.09145 0.0802
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08405
  • Stop Loss: 0.09145
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09145 - 0.08405 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08405 - = 0.08405

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08405 / 0.0074 = 11.3581

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
90.9182 90.9182 1081.7155 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0074

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0074 = 1081.08

Taille de position USD = 1081.08 x 0.08405 = 90.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 1081.08 avec un stoploss a 0.09145

Avec un position size USD de 90.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.0074 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1081.08 x 0.08405 = 90.86

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 90.86$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1081.08
  • Taille de position USD 90.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 90.86
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.3581

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 90.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.8 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.48 $ 2.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6919 % 19.22 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08405 0.09145 0.0802
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08405
  • Stop Loss: 0.09145
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09145 - 0.08405 = 0.0074

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08405 - = 0.08405

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.08405 / 0.0074 = 11.3581

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.804% (0.0074)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.692% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 24
3h ★ +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 36
4h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 48
8h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 96
12h +3.897% 0.4R -1.692% 0.2R 2.3× 144
24h +5.043% 0.6R -1.692% 0.2R 3.0× 288
48h +8.171% 0.9R -1.778% 0.2R 4.6× 576
72h +8.171% 0.9R -6.682% 0.8R 1.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1204 min MAE in 44 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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