Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 794.98 LDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3475 (2.96 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 794.98 LDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3475 (2.96 %)
Position
Entry 0.3375$
Qty 794.9797 LDO
Size 268.2818$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 268.31$
SL 0.3475 (-2.96%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2260
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2260
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 7.30×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2678 | r1h: 0.033% · r4h: -1.665% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -6.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2963% · dist_ema21: -3.146% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3488 | rs_1h: -0.138% · rs_4h: -1.898% · rs_1d: -4.96% · rs_3d: -5.26% · beta_24h: 1.020 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2170 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.356 · trend: -19.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8330 | ADX: 40.0 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.093% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.619% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.619% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.996% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +2.003% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.57% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.93% | -0.71 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.43% | -0.52 | 31/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.51% | -0.24 | 31/07 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.911×ATR | p6 | -0.695×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.476×ATR | p80 | -1.629×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 34b | — | 11.001×ATR | p100 | -1.278×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.146×ATR | p0 | -0.963×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3375 | 0.3475 | 0.3718 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3475 - 0.3375 = 0.01
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3375 - = 0.3375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3375 / 0.01 = 33.75
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268.2818 | 100 | 794.9797 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.01 = 800
Taille de position USD = 800 x 0.3375 = 270
Donc, tu peux acheter 800 avec un stoploss a 0.3475
Avec un position size USD de 270$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 800 x 0.01 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 800 x 0.3375 = 270
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 270$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 268.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.96 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.5 $ | 0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3375 | 0.3475 | 0.3718 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3475 - 0.3375 = 0.01
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3375 - = 0.3375
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3375 / 0.01 = 33.75
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.619% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.619% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.996% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +2.003% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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