Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 849.64 LDO at 0.335$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.344 (2.81 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 849.64 LDO at 0.335$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.344 (2.81 %)
Position
Entry 0.3346$
Qty 849.6438 LDO
Size 284.2653$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 284.29$
SL 0.344 (-2.81%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1033
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1033
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 7.49×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2747 | r1h: -0.496% · r4h: -1.061% · r1d: -8.69% · r3d: -8.10% · ema21_slope: -0.2877% · dist_ema21: -3.244% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3254 | rs_1h: -0.355% · rs_4h: -1.131% · rs_1d: -6.60% · rs_3d: -6.45% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2010 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.299 · trend: -36.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7879 | ADX: 45.0 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.154% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.154% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.300% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +1.411% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.411% | 0.5R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.521% | 1.3R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.57% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.71% | -0.64 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
choppy 56% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.44% | -0.58 | 01/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.28 | 01/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.911×ATR | p6 | -0.695×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.85×ATR | p80 | -1.462×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 12.958×ATR | p100 | -1.614×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.165×ATR | p31 | -1.323×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3346 | 0.344 | 0.3735 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.344 - 0.3346 = 0.0094
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3346 - = 0.3346
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3346 / 0.0094 = 35.5957
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284.2653 | 100 | 849.6438 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0094 = 851.06
Taille de position USD = 851.06 x 0.3346 = 284.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 851.06 avec un stoploss a 0.344
Avec un position size USD de 284.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0094 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 851.06 x 0.3346 = 284.76
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 284.76$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 284.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.81 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.61 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3346 | 0.344 | 0.3735 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.344 - 0.3346 = 0.0094
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3346 - = 0.3346
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3346 / 0.0094 = 35.5957
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.154% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.154% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.300% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +1.411% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.411% | 0.5R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.521% | 1.3R | -0.744% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.