Long Trade on ORDI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 35.3 ORDI at 3.57$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6597 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.3438 (6.35 %)
Long Trade on ORDI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 35.3 ORDI at 3.57$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6597 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.3438 (6.35 %)
Position
Entry 3.5704$
Qty 35.2977 ORDI
Size 126.027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 3.6597 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.15$
SL 3.3438 (-6.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.39
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8475
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8475
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 02:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8280 | r1h: 1.707% · r4h: 1.515% · r1d: 10.62% · r3d: 5.49% · ema21_slope: 0.4406% · dist_ema21: 1.656% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7893 | rs_1h: 1.659% · rs_4h: 1.522% · rs_1d: 12.43% · rs_3d: 7.61% · beta_24h: -0.826 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3242 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: 0.065 · trend: 39.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8356 | ADX: 41.7 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.670% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.252% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.627% | 0.4R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.49% | +0.06 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bear_high | -1.87% | +0.61 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.30 | bear_low | -1.33% | +0.79 | 01/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 53% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.06 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.52 | 01/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.161×ATR | p0 | +0.05×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.334×ATR | p18 | +0.568×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.126×ATR | p0 | +0.036×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.392×ATR | p0 | +0.174×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 3.57040000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 3.55450000 | -0.445% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5704 | 3.3438 | 3.6597 | 0.39 | 3.571 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.3438 - 3.5704 = -0.2266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.5704 - 3.6597 = -0.0893
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0893 / -0.2266 = 0.3941
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.027 | 100 | 35.2977 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2266 = -35.3
Taille de position USD = -35.3 x 3.5704 = -126.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -35.3 avec un stoploss a 3.3438
Avec un position size USD de -126.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -35.3 x -0.2266 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -35.3 x -0.0893 = 3.15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.15 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7197 % | 27.1 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5704 | 3.3438 | 3.6597 | 0.39 | 3.571 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.3438 - 3.5704 = -0.2266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.5704 - 3.6597 = -0.0893
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0893 / -0.2266 = 0.3941
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.252% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.627% | 0.4R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.736% | 0.9R | -1.720% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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