01 Aug 2026 at 05:14:42 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 2687.12 ADA at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.18 (4.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1696 (1.68 %)

ADA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 05:14 → 17:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1725$

Qty 2687.1156 ADA

Size 463.6349$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.18 (+4.35%)

TP $ 20.15$

SL 0.1696 (-1.68%)

SL $ 7.79$

RR 2.59

Status win PnL +0.69% / +3.2$ MAE -1.66% MFE +2.37% 1.4R expires 01 Aug 17:14 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55440)
#6 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7505

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 05:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55440)
#6 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7505

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.68 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.42×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 11.50×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 05:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1209
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

-1

Tactical range

—

transition

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.51
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 05:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5775
Score SMA
0.5417
Rank
#6 / 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7505
Rank Norm SMA
0.7676
Calculé le
01/08/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5923 r1h: 0.865% · r4h: 0.948% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: 5.11% · ema21_slope: 0.0221% · dist_ema21: 1.507%
Force Relative 25% 0.6390 rs_1h: 0.778% · rs_4h: 0.948% · rs_1d: 2.17% · rs_3d: 7.16% · beta_24h: 0.871
Volume 20% 0.3089 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.047 · trend: -31.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5218 ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.950% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.681% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.730% 0.4R -0.516% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +0.730% 0.4R -0.719% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.664% 1.0R -0.719% 0.4R 2.3× 48
8h +2.365% 1.4R -0.719% 0.4R 3.3× 96
12h ★ +2.365% 1.4R -1.664% 1.0R 1.4× 144
24h +8.794% 5.2R -1.664% 1.0R 5.3× 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.7
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.81 bear_high -6.49% +0.55 31/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong balanced normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.68 bear_high -1.73% +0.54 01/08 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 48% late — near 0.4ATR 0.66 bear_low -1.22% +0.28 01/08 04:00
15m ↑ up range bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_medium_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -1.5ATR 0.33 range_low -0.28% +0.14 01/08 04:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 1.25×ATR p0 +0.444×ATR p46
4h ↓ down early 11b — 1.362×ATR p0 +0.473×ATR p47
1h ↑ up late 9b — 2.99×ATR p65 +1.322×ATR p88
15m ↑ up late 3b — 2.742×ATR p33 +1.528×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8831
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.69×ATR dur=27b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.16956283
  5. tp_price: 0.17998293
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.88308030837324
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-01T21:14:34.458550
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.88308030837324
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0674
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0177
  15. micro_price : 0.17285148
  16. spread_pct : 0.05787
  17. mid_price : 0.17285
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.172
  19. bid_wall_size : 14478069.6
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.174
  22. ask_wall_size : 8970465.6
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0699
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0022
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7010
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.1718
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.167635
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1697175
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785481200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785574800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.6928
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    27
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8831
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785571200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.1718
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8889
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.4784
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    4
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    4
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00154671
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
27
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4784

Signaux confirmants (26)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 05:14 0.17254000 +0.023%
2 05:20 0.17352000 +0.591%
3 05:26 0.17352000 +0.591%
4 05:33 0.17352000 +0.591%
5 05:38 0.17203000 -0.272%
6 05:44 0.17203000 -0.272%
7 05:50 0.17213000 -0.214%
8 05:56 0.17213000 -0.214%
9 06:03 0.17213000 -0.214%
10 06:08 0.17204000 -0.267%
11 06:14 0.17204000 -0.267%
12 06:20 0.17202000 -0.278%
13 06:26 0.17202000 -0.278%
14 06:32 0.17202000 -0.278%
15 06:38 0.17204000 -0.267%
16 06:44 0.17204000 -0.267%
17 08:08 0.17284000 +0.197%
18 08:14 0.17284000 +0.197%
19 08:20 0.17286000 +0.209%
20 08:26 0.17286000 +0.209%
21 08:32 0.17286000 +0.209%
22 08:38 0.17304000 +0.313%
23 08:44 0.17304000 +0.313%
24 09:20 0.17499000 +1.443%
25 09:26 0.17499000 +1.443%
26 09:32 0.17499000 +1.443%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7010ms Confidence avant OB : 88% → 88%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.067
avg 0.070 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.018

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1729
Micro Price
0.1729
Spread
0.0579%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1720
Size
14,478,069.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1740
Size
8,970,465.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1725 0.1696 0.18 2.59 0.2047
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1725
  • Stop Loss: 0.1696
  • Take Profit: 0.18

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1725 = -0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1725 - 0.18 = -0.0075

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0075 / -0.0029 = 2.5862

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
463.6349 100 2687.1156 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0029

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0029 = -2758.62

Taille de position USD = -2758.62 x 0.1725 = -475.86

Donc, tu peux acheter -2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.1696

Avec un position size USD de -475.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2758.62 x -0.0029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2758.62 x -0.0075 = 20.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.69$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2758.62
  • Taille de position USD -475.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.69
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5862

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.35 % 20.15 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.68 % 7.79 $
PNL PNL %
3.2 $ 0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6638 % 98.97 % 28
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1725 0.1696 0.18 2.59 0.2047
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1725
  • Stop Loss: 0.1696
  • Take Profit: 0.18

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1725 = -0.0029

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1725 - 0.18 = -0.0075

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0075 / -0.0029 = 2.5862

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.681% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.730% 0.4R -0.516% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +0.730% 0.4R -0.719% 0.4R 1.0× 24
4h +1.664% 1.0R -0.719% 0.4R 2.3× 48
8h +2.365% 1.4R -0.719% 0.4R 3.3× 96
12h ★ +2.365% 1.4R -1.664% 1.0R 1.4× 144
24h +8.794% 5.2R -1.664% 1.0R 5.3× 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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