Long Trade on ORDI

Previous Trade Next Trade

01 Aug 2026 at 08:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ORDI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 36.22 ORDI at 3.743$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8365 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.522 (5.9 %)

ORDI LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 08:10 → 14:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.7429$

Qty 36.2193 ORDI

Size 135.5654$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 3.8365 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.39$

SL 3.522 (-5.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -3.25% / -4.41$ MAE -3.79% MFE +0.81% 0.1R expires 01 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55562)

#1 / 41 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9717

Quality Score

0.753

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 08:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55562)

#1 / 41 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9717

Quality Score

0.753

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#1 / 41 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 41 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.84×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 08:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 07:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1212

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bear —	expansion -1
Tactical	range —	transition 0
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.60

Transition risk : 0.40

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.51

Snapshot évalué : 01/08 08:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/08/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.7526

Score SMA

0.6011

Rank

#1 / 41

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9717

Rank Norm SMA

0.7833

Calculé le

01/08/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8566	r1h: 1.978% · r4h: 4.882% · r1d: 14.93% · r3d: 9.79% · ema21_slope: 0.2617% · dist_ema21: 4.929%
Force Relative	25%	0.9068	rs_1h: 1.940% · rs_4h: 4.839% · rs_1d: 16.07% · rs_3d: 12.02% · beta_24h: -0.825
Volume	20%	0.2768	rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: -3.06%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7572	ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.515% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.902% (0.2209)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.812%	0.1R	-1.520%	0.3R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.812%	0.1R	-2.415%	0.4R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.812%	0.1R	-3.246%	0.6R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.812%	0.1R	-3.786%	0.6R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.812%	0.1R	-5.683%	1.0R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.812%	0.1R	-5.683%	1.0R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.38

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	0.44	bear_high	-6.49%	+0.06	31/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.37	bear_high	-1.78%	+0.80	01/08 04:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.29	bear_low	-1.19%	+0.68	01/08 07:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	near 0.5ATR	0.05	range_low	-0.27%	+0.27	01/08 07:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.161×ATR	p0	+0.05×ATR	p10
4h	↓ down	mid	2b	—	1.565×ATR	p3	+0.974×ATR	p82
1h	↑ up	mid	8b	—	2.87×ATR	p54	+1.02×ATR	p77
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.924×ATR	p25	+0.916×ATR	p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 3.52202357
tp_price: 3.8364725
atr: 0.08835057
expires_at: 2026-08-01T18:10:07+00:00

Details

rank: 1
total: 41
score: 0.8566
delta_2h: 0.1115
extension_atr: 2.03
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9717
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	08:10	3.74290000	0%
2	09:10	3.73000000	-0.345%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.7429	3.522	3.8365	0.42	3.6143

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.7429
Stop Loss: 3.522
Take Profit: 3.8365

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.522 - 3.7429 = -0.2209
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.7429 - 3.8365 = -0.0936
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0936 / -0.2209 = 0.4237

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
135.5654	100	36.2193	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.2209

Taille de position = 8 / -0.2209 = -36.22

Taille de position USD = -36.22 x 3.7429 = -135.57

Donc, tu peux acheter -36.22 avec un stoploss a 3.522

Avec un position size USD de -135.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -36.22 x -0.2209 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -36.22 x -0.0936 = 3.39

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.39$

Résumé

Taille de position -36.22
Taille de position USD -135.57
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.39
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4237

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.39 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.9 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-4.41 $	-3.25

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.7858 %	64.15 %	10

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.7429	3.522	3.8365	0.42	3.6143

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.7429
Stop Loss: 3.522
Take Profit: 3.8365

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.522 - 3.7429 = -0.2209
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.7429 - 3.8365 = -0.0936
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0936 / -0.2209 = 0.4237

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.902% (0.2209)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.812%	0.1R	-1.520%	0.3R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.812%	0.1R	-2.415%	0.4R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.812%	0.1R	-3.246%	0.6R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.812%	0.1R	-3.786%	0.6R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.812%	0.1R	-5.683%	1.0R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.812%	0.1R	-5.683%	1.0R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.