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Long Trade on ADA

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01 Aug 2026 at 09:38:19 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1439.68 ADA at 0.175$ per unit. Take profit: 0.189 (7.94 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1696 (3.14 %)

ADA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 09:38 → 21:35 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1751$

Qty 1439.6801 ADA

Size 252.1024$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.189 (+7.94%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.1696 (-3.14%)

SL $ 7.92$

RR 2.53

Status win PnL +0.43% / +1.08$ MAE -3.12% MFE +1.22% 0.4R expires 01 Aug 21:38 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55601)
#5 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8107

Quality Score
0.550
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 09:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55601)
#5 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8107

Quality Score
0.550
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 41 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.05×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 10.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 09:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 09:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.5496
Score SMA
0.5471
Rank
#5 / 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8107
Rank Norm SMA
0.7739
Calculé le
01/08/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5785 r1h: 0.017% · r4h: 0.400% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 5.61% · ema21_slope: 0.0847% · dist_ema21: 1.376%
Force Relative 25% 0.6121 rs_1h: -0.019% · rs_4h: 0.454% · rs_1d: 3.31% · rs_3d: 7.45% · beta_24h: 0.831
Volume 20% 0.1739 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.704 · trend: -34.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5880 ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.905% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.141% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.657% 0.2R -1.234% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.657% 0.2R -1.422% 0.5R 0.5× 24
4h +0.657% 0.2R -1.890% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +0.657% 0.2R -3.124% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +1.216% 0.4R -3.124% 1.0R 0.4× 144
24h +9.623% 3.1R -3.124% 1.0R 3.1× 288

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.61
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.81 bear_high -6.36% +0.64 31/07 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.68 bear_high -1.67% +0.69 01/08 08:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -1.1ATR 0.66 bear_low -1.10% +0.24 01/08 09:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_medium
64%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.31 range_low -0.23% +0.11 01/08 09:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 10b — 0.93×ATR p0 +0.684×ATR p65
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.556×ATR p17 +1.038×ATR p79
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.27×ATR p37 +1.532×ATR p93
15m ↑ up mid 12b — 4.19×ATR p70 +0.891×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7554
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.54×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.16955321
  5. tp_price: 0.18900197
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.75541830664738
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-02T01:38:12.114815
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.75541830664738
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.025
  10. obi_top10 : 0.055
  11. micro_price : 0.17596711
  12. spread_pct : 0.05685
  13. mid_price : 0.17595
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.17
  15. bid_wall_size : 5658455
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.179
  18. ask_wall_size : 4860901.6
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0258
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.001
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6993
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.1718
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.167635
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.1697175
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785481200
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785589200
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.5352
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    31
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7554
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785571200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.1718
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7742
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    5
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    2.0148
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    5
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00164287
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.7742
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
2.0148

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 09:38 0.17511000 +0.006%
2 09:44 0.17511000 +0.006%
3 09:50 0.17611000 +0.577%
4 09:56 0.17611000 +0.577%
5 10:03 0.17611000 +0.577%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6993ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.025
avg 0.026 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.055

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1760
Micro Price
0.1760
Spread
0.0569%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1700
Size
5,658,455.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1790
Size
4,860,901.60

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1751 0.1696 0.189 2.53 0.2046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1751
  • Stop Loss: 0.1696
  • Take Profit: 0.189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1751 = -0.0055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.189 = -0.0139

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0139 / -0.0055 = 2.5273

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
252.1024 100 1439.6801 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0055

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0055 = -1454.55

Taille de position USD = -1454.55 x 0.1751 = -254.69

Donc, tu peux acheter -1454.55 avec un stoploss a 0.1696

Avec un position size USD de -254.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1454.55 x -0.0055 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1454.55 x -0.0139 = 20.22

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.22$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1454.55
  • Taille de position USD -254.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.22
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5273

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.94 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.14 % 7.92 $
PNL PNL %
1.08 $ 0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.1239 % 99.45 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1751 0.1696 0.189 2.53 0.2046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1751
  • Stop Loss: 0.1696
  • Take Profit: 0.189

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1696 - 0.1751 = -0.0055

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.189 = -0.0139

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0139 / -0.0055 = 2.5273

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.141% (0.0055)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.657% 0.2R -1.234% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.657% 0.2R -1.422% 0.5R 0.5× 24
4h +0.657% 0.2R -1.890% 0.6R 0.4× 48
8h +0.657% 0.2R -3.124% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +1.216% 0.4R -3.124% 1.0R 0.4× 144
24h +9.623% 3.1R -3.124% 1.0R 3.1× 288

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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