Long Trade on PUMP

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01 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 78508.34 PUMP at 0.00215$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002208 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002052 (4.74 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 10:10 → 14:30 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.002154$

Qty 78508.3415 PUMP

Size 169.107$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002208 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.24$

SL 0.002052 (-4.74%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.53

Status loss PnL -4.74% / -8.01$ MAE -5.25% MFE +0.05% 0.0R expires 01 Aug 16:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55655)

#4 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9461

Quality Score

0.637

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

31.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 10:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55655)

#4 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9461

Quality Score

0.637

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#4 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.74 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#4 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+5 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.74 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	-0.39×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

31.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 10:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1214

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	bear —	expansion -1
Tactical	range —	transition 0
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.60

Transition risk : 0.40

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.51

Snapshot évalué : 01/08 10:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/08/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.6374

Score SMA

0.6932

Rank

#4 / 40

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9461

Rank Norm SMA

0.9746

Calculé le

01/08/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6861	r1h: -0.047% · r4h: -1.560% · r1d: 6.50% · r3d: 13.97% · ema21_slope: 0.2955% · dist_ema21: 0.326%
Force Relative	25%	0.6769	rs_1h: -0.009% · rs_4h: -1.595% · rs_1d: 6.84% · rs_3d: 16.42% · beta_24h: -1.930
Volume	20%	0.2720	rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.198 · trend: -22.69%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7199	ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.008% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.735% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.046%	0.0R	-1.903%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.046%	0.0R	-2.275%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.046%	0.0R	-3.528%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.046%	0.0R	-5.246%	1.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.046%	0.0R	-5.246%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+6.082%	1.3R	-5.246%	1.1R	1.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.02

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	mid	—	near -0.4ATR	0.60	bear_high	-6.36%	+1.00	31/07 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.51	bear_high	-1.67%	+0.92	01/08 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	early	—	—	0.29	bear_low	-1.15%	+0.13	01/08 09:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	0.25	range_low	-0.24%	-0.16	01/08 09:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	18b	—	4.575×ATR	p65	+0.79×ATR	p75
4h	↑ up	mid	16b	—	4.14×ATR	p63	+0.313×ATR	p29
1h	↓ down	early	9b	—	1.996×ATR	p32	-0.006×ATR	p2
15m	↑ up	early	5b	—	0.993×ATR	p0	-0.164×ATR	p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.0020521
tp_price: 0.00220785
atr: 4.076E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-01T20:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 42
score: 0.6861
delta_2h: 0.0213
extension_atr: 0.28
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9461
confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002154	0.002052	0.002208	0.53	0.004087

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002154
Stop Loss: 0.002052
Take Profit: 0.002208

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002052 - 0.002154 = -0.000102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002154 - 0.002208 = -5.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -0.000102 = 0.5294

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
169.107	100	78508.3415	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000102

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000102 = -78431.37

Taille de position USD = -78431.37 x 0.002154 = -168.94

Donc, tu peux acheter -78431.37 avec un stoploss a 0.002052

Avec un position size USD de -168.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -78431.37 x -0.000102 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -78431.37 x -5.4E-5 = 4.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.24$

Résumé

Taille de position -78431.37
Taille de position USD -168.94
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.24
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5294

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.24 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.74 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-4.74

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.7818 %	100.98 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002154	0.002052	0.002208	0.53	0.004087

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002154
Stop Loss: 0.002052
Take Profit: 0.002208

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002052 - 0.002154 = -0.000102
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002154 - 0.002208 = -5.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -0.000102 = 0.5294

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.002208
            [entry_price] => 0.002154
            [stop_loss] => 0.0020418
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-01 18:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.735% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.046%	0.0R	-1.903%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.046%	0.0R	-2.275%	0.5R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.046%	0.0R	-3.528%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.046%	0.0R	-5.246%	1.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.046%	0.0R	-5.246%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+6.082%	1.3R	-5.246%	1.1R	1.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

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