Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.87 XMR at 358.34$ per unit. Take profit: 360.3739 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 357.323 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.87 XMR at 358.34$ per unit. Take profit: 360.3739 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 357.323 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 358.34$
Qty 7.8666 XMR
Size 2818.9264$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 360.3739 (+0.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 357.323 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8246
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8246
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 01/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.180794 15m : 0.105407 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5173 | r1h: -0.751% · r4h: -1.076% · r1d: 2.41% · r3d: 2.03% · ema21_slope: 0.1046% · dist_ema21: -0.484% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4932 | rs_1h: -0.817% · rs_4h: -1.174% · rs_1d: 1.75% · rs_3d: 3.58% · beta_24h: 0.153 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1181 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -1.324 · trend: -45.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5928 | ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 57.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.688% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.762% | 2.7R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.300% | 4.6R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.529% | 5.4R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 9.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.655% | 5.8R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 9.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.970% | 6.9R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 11.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.36% | +0.83 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.32 | bear_high | -1.66% | +0.53 | 01/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | bear_low | -1.07% | +0.22 | 01/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.16% | -0.13 | 01/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 0.743×ATR | p0 | +0.545×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.631×ATR | p32 | +0.303×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.827×ATR | p54 | -1.028×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.389×ATR | p35 | -0.93×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63055.8
0.000525334
63089
0.180794
62963.6
0.00199019
63089
0.105407
63622.6
-0.00838772
63089
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367.34
191
0.5107
0.6577
0.3204
0.273
0.3592
1
0.191
0.522
0.6218
0.06
0.6415
0.7064
-0.0132
0.0462
0.3333
-1.2103
-0.1366
0.45
0.55
1
8
1
0.454
0.5505
5.7344
0.6
2.2946
4.702
-0.1366
0.3232
0.1991
0.1
-0.3017
0.4904
0.5702
0.6798
0.7064
-4.155
9.9985
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:09 | 358.34000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 358.08000000 | -0.073% |
| 3 | 11:21 | 358.43000000 | +0.025% |
| 4 | 11:27 | 357.85000000 | -0.137% |
| 5 | 11:34 | 357.96000000 | -0.106% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 09:25:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:05:00 | 362.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 10:50:00 | 363.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 11:15:00 | 362.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:45:00 | 363.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 12:55:00 | 362.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:15:00 | 359.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 362.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 14:50:00 | 357.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 20:30:00 | 351.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:30:00 | 367.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:15:00 | 364.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:45:00 | 364.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 362.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:45:00 | 363.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:15:00 | 359.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 357.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 357.96 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358.34 | 357.323 | 360.3739 | 2 | 585.53 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.323 - 358.34 = -1.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 358.34 - 360.3739 = -2.0339
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0339 / -1.017 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2818.9264 | 100 | 7.8666 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.017 = -7.87
Taille de position USD = -7.87 x 358.34 = -2820.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.87 avec un stoploss a 357.323
Avec un position size USD de -2820.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.87 x -1.017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.87 x -2.0339 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1674 % | 58.99 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358.34 | 357.323 | 360.3739 | 2 | 585.53 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 357.323 - 358.34 = -1.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 358.34 - 360.3739 = -2.0339
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.0339 / -1.017 = 1.9999
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.762% | 2.7R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 4.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.300% | 4.6R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.529% | 5.4R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 9.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.655% | 5.8R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 9.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.970% | 6.9R | -0.167% | 0.6R | 11.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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