Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 846.29 LDO at 0.333$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3425 (2.82 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 846.29 LDO at 0.333$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3425 (2.82 %)
Position
Entry 0.3331$
Qty 846.2895 LDO
Size 281.8906$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 281.9$
SL 0.3425 (-2.82%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1716
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1716
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 7.58×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.69×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 10:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3047 | r1h: -1.145% · r4h: 0.501% · r1d: -4.92% · r3d: -7.17% · ema21_slope: -0.2551% · dist_ema21: -1.620% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3413 | rs_1h: -1.212% · rs_4h: 0.402% · rs_1d: -5.58% · rs_3d: -5.62% · beta_24h: 0.872 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1481 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.778 · trend: -67.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7876 | ADX: 48.0 (trend) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.992% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 26.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.732% | 1.0R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 32.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.086% | 1.1R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 36.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.36% | +0.74 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.66% | -0.59 | 01/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bear_low | -1.07% | -0.42 | 01/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.16% | +0.10 | 01/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.234×ATR | p28 | -1.018×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 5.065×ATR | p78 | -0.945×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.014×ATR | p0 | -0.415×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.22×ATR | p30 | -0.237×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3331 | 0.3425 | 0.3737 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3425 - 0.3331 = 0.0094
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3331 - = 0.3331
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3331 / 0.0094 = 35.4362
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281.8906 | 100 | 846.2895 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0094 = 851.06
Taille de position USD = 851.06 x 0.3331 = 283.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 851.06 avec un stoploss a 0.3425
Avec un position size USD de 283.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 851.06 x 0.0094 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 851.06 x 0.3331 = 283.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 283.49$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 281.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.82 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.37 $ | 2.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0841 % | 2.98 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3331 | 0.3425 | 0.3737 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3425 - 0.3331 = 0.0094
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3331 - = 0.3331
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3331 / 0.0094 = 35.4362
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.258% | 0.8R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 26.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.732% | 1.0R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 32.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.086% | 1.1R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 36.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.134% | 1.5R | -0.084% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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