Long Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 104.59 KAITO at 1.146$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3374 (16.68 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0697 (6.67 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)
With 104.59 KAITO at 1.146$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3374 (16.68 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0697 (6.67 %)
Position
Entry 1.1462$
Qty 104.5855 KAITO
Size 119.8759$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.3374 (+16.68%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.0697 (-6.67%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4435
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4435
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 01/08 11:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5189 | r1h: -2.859% · r4h: 2.620% · r1d: 3.91% · r3d: -11.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0998% · dist_ema21: 2.175% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3986 | rs_1h: -2.728% · rs_4h: 2.669% · rs_1d: 3.41% · rs_3d: -10.32% · beta_24h: 1.731 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7729 | rvol_20: 3.69× · zscore_50: 0.698 · trend: 44.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5469 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.663% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.579% | 0.2R | -1.457% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.36% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.05 | bear_high | -1.63% | -0.46 | 01/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | -0.08 | bear_low | -1.15% | +0.24 | 01/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.25% | +0.11 | 01/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.036×ATR | p0 | -0.012×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.427×ATR | p16 | +0.491×ATR | p51 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.988×ATR | p24 | -0.041×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.451×ATR | p81 | -1.509×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.1666
148
0.6045
0.6382
0.2975
0.2233
0.3583
1
0.2422
0.5441
0.6267
0.6812
0.6488
0.3661
0.0757
0.0103
0.6667
0.7064
0.3946
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.5535
0.6739
3.5614
0.55
2.0759
3.8133
0.3946
0.3232
0.3136
0.58
0.1998
0.5266
0.4923
0.4697
0.3661
-7.281
4.2058
1
0
0
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1.0736
1.1666
1.1666
1.0736
1.1184
1.0736
1.096
0.826
1.1781
1.1116
1.14485
0.811
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1462 | 1.0697 | 1.3374 | 2.5 | 0.2598 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0697 - 1.1462 = -0.0765
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1462 - 1.3374 = -0.1912
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1912 / -0.0765 = 2.4993
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.8759 | 100 | 104.5855 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0765 = -104.58
Taille de position USD = -104.58 x 1.1462 = -119.87
Donc, tu peux acheter -104.58 avec un stoploss a 1.0697
Avec un position size USD de -119.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -104.58 x -0.0765 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -104.58 x -0.1912 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 16.68 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -6.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.7266 % | 100.79 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1462 | 1.0697 | 1.3374 | 2.5 | 0.2598 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0697 - 1.1462 = -0.0765
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1462 - 1.3374 = -0.1912
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1912 / -0.0765 = 2.4993
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.579% | 0.2R | -1.457% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.393% | 1.3R | -1.937% | 0.3R | 4.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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