Long Trade on kSHIB (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 34791.68 kSHIB at 0.00498$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005102 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004748 (4.62 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 13:10:03
hyperliquid
kSHIB
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 13:10
→ 15:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.004978$
Qty 34791.6848 kSHIB
Size 173.193$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.005102 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.31$
SL 0.004748 (-4.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.54
Status
loss
PnL
-2.15%
/ -3.72$
MAE -3.52%
MFE +0.28%
0.1R
expires
01 Aug 15:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=15 > threshold=10/35
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55755)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9362
Quality Score
0.817
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 13:00
01/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55755)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9362
Quality Score
0.817
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.62 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 4.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 13:00
01/08 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/08 12:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1217
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.8166
Score SMA
0.6191
Rank
#1
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9362
Rank Norm SMA
0.8830
Calculé le
01/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7091 | r1h: 0.059% · r4h: 2.454% · r1d: 7.74% · r3d: 8.02% · ema21_slope: 0.2184% · dist_ema21: 3.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7335 | rs_1h: 0.126% · rs_4h: 2.660% · rs_1d: 7.59% · rs_3d: 9.35% · beta_24h: 0.927 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.40× · zscore_50: 3.727 · trend: 192.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8034 | ADX: 45.6 (trend) · Chop: 47.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.812% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.620%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -1.989% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.516% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.516% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 26 |
| 4h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.723% | 0.2R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.36% | +0.93 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.82% | +0.73 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.25 | bear_low | -1.24% | +0.63 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | +0.32 | 01/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.078×ATR | p11 | +0.746×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 3.954×ATR | p63 | +1.471×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.969×ATR | p66 | +1.092×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.386×ATR | p3 | +1.098×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004978 | 0.004748 | 0.005102 | 0.54 | 0.004979 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004978
- Stop Loss: 0.004748
- Take Profit: 0.005102
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004748 - 0.004978 = -0.00023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004978 - 0.005102 = -0.000124
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000124 / -0.00023 = 0.5391
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173.193 | 100 | 34791.6848 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00023
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00023 = -34782.61
Taille de position USD = -34782.61 x 0.004978 = -173.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -34782.61 avec un stoploss a 0.004748
Avec un position size USD de -173.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.00023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -34782.61 x -0.000124 = 4.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.31$
Résumé
- Taille de position -34782.61
- Taille de position USD -173.15
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.31
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5391
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.31 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.72 $ | -2.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5155 % | 76.09 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004978 | 0.004748 | 0.005102 | 0.54 | 0.004979 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004978
- Stop Loss: 0.004748
- Take Profit: 0.005102
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004748 - 0.004978 = -0.00023
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004978 - 0.005102 = -0.000124
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000124 / -0.00023 = 0.5391
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
2.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.620%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -1.989% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.516% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 2.2h ★ | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.516% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 26 |
| 4h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.281% | 0.1R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.723% | 0.2R | -3.696% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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