Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3.86 AAVE at 91.806$ per unit. Take profit: 89.5109 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 93.876 (2.25 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 13:10:04
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 13:10
→ 14:45
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 91.806$
Qty 3.8647 AAVE
Size 354.8057$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 89.5109 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.87$
SL 93.876 (-2.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.11
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +8.87$
MAE -0.01%
MFE +3.07%
1.4R
expires
01 Aug 19:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55752)
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1834
Quality Score
0.442
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
18.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 13:00
01/08 13:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55752)
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
score du 01/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1834
Quality Score
0.442
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
18.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 13:00
01/08 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 12:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1217
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 13:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4424
Score SMA
0.4635
Rank
#34
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1834
Rank Norm SMA
0.2557
Calculé le
01/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3496 | r1h: -0.328% · r4h: 0.481% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -6.99% · ema21_slope: -0.2034% · dist_ema21: -0.977% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3921 | rs_1h: -0.261% · rs_4h: 0.687% · rs_1d: -5.13% · rs_3d: -5.66% · beta_24h: 1.229 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1782 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.327 · trend: -56.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6922 | ADX: 45.4 (trend) · Chop: 61.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.952% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.255%
(2.0700)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 0.5R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 105.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.835% | 1.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 289.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.963% | 0.4R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.7ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.36% | -0.45 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.82% | -0.40 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | 0.53 | bear_low | -1.24% | -0.36 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | +0.06 | 01/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 0.679×ATR | p0 | -0.768×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.84×ATR | p74 | -0.849×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.744×ATR | p10 | -0.063×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.122×ATR | p3 | -0.075×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 93.8760004
- tp_price: 89.51085
- atr: 0.82800016
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T23:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 39
- total: 41
- score: 0.3496
- delta_2h: -0.0432
- extension_atr: -0.83
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1834
- confidence: 0.95
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:10 | 91.80600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:10 | 91.06100000 | -0.811% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.806 | 93.876 | 89.5109 | 1.11 | 146.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.806
- Stop Loss: 93.876
- Take Profit: 89.5109
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 93.876 - 91.806 = 2.07
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.806 - 89.5109 = 2.2951
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2951 / 2.07 = 1.1087
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 354.8057 | 100 | 3.8647 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.07
Taille de position = 8 / 2.07 = 3.86
Taille de position USD = 3.86 x 91.806 = 354.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.86 avec un stoploss a 93.876
Avec un position size USD de 354.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.86 x 2.07 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.86 x 2.2951 = 8.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3.86
- Taille de position USD 354.37
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 8.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1087
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.87 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0098 % | 0.43 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.806 | 93.876 | 89.5109 | 1.11 | 146.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.806
- Stop Loss: 93.876
- Take Profit: 89.5109
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 93.876 - 91.806 = 2.07
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.806 - 89.5109 = 2.2951
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2951 / 2.07 = 1.1087
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.255%
(2.0700)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.037% | 0.5R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 105.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.835% | 1.3R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 289.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.010% | 0.0R | 313.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.068% | 1.4R | -0.963% | 0.4R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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