Long Trade on ORDI (CatchTheWave)
With 266.36 ORDI at 3.609$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6692 (1.67 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5791 (0.83 %)
Long Trade on ORDI (CatchTheWave)
With 266.36 ORDI at 3.609$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6692 (1.67 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5791 (0.83 %)
Position
Entry 3.6091$
Qty 266.3612 ORDI
Size 961.3243$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 3.6692 (+1.67%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 3.5791 (-0.83%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9481
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9481
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.085991 15m : -0.073277 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6279 | r1h: -0.366% · r4h: -2.505% · r1d: 5.10% · r3d: 9.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2283% · dist_ema21: 0.941% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5895 | rs_1h: -0.300% · rs_4h: -2.299% · rs_1d: 4.95% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 0.426 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2827 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.081 · trend: 7.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7135 | ADX: 38.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.480% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.446% | 0.5R | -1.638% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.446% | 0.5R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.446% | 0.5R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.762% | 2.1R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.291% | 2.8R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.36% | +0.64 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bear_high | -1.78% | +0.78 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.28 | bear_low | -1.33% | +0.23 | 01/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.01 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.10 | 01/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 1.222×ATR | p0 | +0.86×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.604×ATR | p3 | +0.776×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.401×ATR | p0 | +0.184×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.36×ATR | p0 | -0.031×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62995.7
-0.00331324
62787
0.085991
62981.6
-0.00405852
62726
-0.073277
63571.2
-0.0126506
62767
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3.7752
194
0.7025
0.5609
0.3576
0.2171
0.4725
0.9136
0.4966
0.507
0.6271
0.5657
0.5569
0.7454
0.0759
0.0821
1
0.4704
1.7249
0.4
0.6
1
16
1
0.5658
0.3743
5.2373
0.55
0.9136
3.4959
1.7249
0.6312
0.3728
0.6
0.0086
0.4802
0.4242
0.7985
0.7454
-2.0746
6.075
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 13:15:00 | 3.7591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:45:00 | 3.6525 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:50:00 | 3.6808 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:15:00 | 3.6331 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 15:35:00 | 3.6937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:50:00 | 3.6214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:15:00 | 3.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:50:00 | 3.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 17:05:00 | 3.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 17:40:00 | 3.6091 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:15:00 | 3.5425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 01:00:00 | 3.8065 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:30:00 | 3.4443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:30:00 | 3.5989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 06:00:00 | 3.4891 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 3.5732 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 08:45:00 | 3.509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:00:00 | 3.7752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:15:00 | 3.7028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 16:45:00 | 3.6141 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 3.3692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 3.2021 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 3.3283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 3.2251 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 3.1218 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 3.2971 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 05:00:00 | 3.179 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 01:00:00 | 3.8065 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:00:00 | 3.4443 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:00:00 | 3.7752 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6091 | 3.5791 | 3.6692 | 2 | 3.797 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5791 - 3.6091 = -0.03
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.6091 - 3.6692 = -0.0601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0601 / -0.03 = 2.0033
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 961.3243 | 100 | 266.3612 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.03 = -266.67
Taille de position USD = -266.67 x 3.6091 = -962.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -266.67 avec un stoploss a 3.5791
Avec un position size USD de -962.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -266.67 x -0.03 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -266.67 x -0.0601 = 16.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.67 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.83 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6375 % | 197 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.6091 | 3.5791 | 3.6692 | 2 | 3.797 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.5791 - 3.6091 = -0.03
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.6091 - 3.6692 = -0.0601
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0601 / -0.03 = 2.0033
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.446% | 0.5R | -1.638% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.446% | 0.5R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.446% | 0.5R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.762% | 2.1R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.291% | 2.8R | -2.186% | 2.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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