Long Trade on KAITO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 61.37 KAITO at 1.232$ per unit. Take profit: 1.558 (26.45 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1017 (10.58 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 14:09:20
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 14:09
→ 02:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.2321$
Qty 61.366 KAITO
Size 75.609$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.558 (+26.45%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.1017 (-10.58%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-5.38%
/ -4.07$
MAE -6.00%
MFE +0.50%
0.1R
expires
02 Aug 02:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55801)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6402
Quality Score
0.766
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:02
01/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55801)
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6402
Quality Score
0.766
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 35
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:02
01/08 14:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1218
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 14:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7657
Score SMA
0.4593
Rank
#1
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6402
Rank Norm SMA
0.2788
Calculé le
01/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6870 | r1h: 6.379% · r4h: 9.416% · r1d: 9.58% · r3d: -9.79% · ema21_slope: 0.1995% · dist_ema21: 8.976% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8124 | rs_1h: 6.535% · rs_4h: 9.819% · rs_1d: 10.25% · rs_3d: -7.51% · beta_24h: -0.123 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7884 | rvol_20: 3.76× · zscore_50: 0.896 · trend: 46.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6590 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 31.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.937% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -10.584%
(0.1304)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -2.224% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -2.402% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -4.310% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -4.513% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.503% | 0.1R | -5.998% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -14.341% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -6.36% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.05 | bear_high | -1.78% | -0.65 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | -0.09 | bear_low | -1.45% | +0.85 | 01/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.54% | +0.77 | 01/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.036×ATR | p0 | -0.012×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.427×ATR | p11 | +0.442×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.217×ATR | p65 | +1.762×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 5.81×ATR | p94 | +1.829×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.826
- reason: up_bo width=2.43×ATR dur=51b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.10173461
- tp_price: 1.55801348
- atr:
- score: 0.82597990165873
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T06:09:13.059113
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82597990165873
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0055
- obi_top10 : -0.0064
- micro_price : 1.23756366
- spread_pct : 0.05657
- mid_price : 1.23775
- bid_wall_price : 1.23
- bid_wall_size : 102858.72
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.25
- ask_wall_size : 73753.44
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0374
- obi_top5_std : 0.0342
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7032
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.1473
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.0631
- balance_zone_mid:
1.1052
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785427200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785607200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4297
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
51
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.826
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785603600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.1473
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8235
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4471
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03465394 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.8235
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4471
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:09 | 1.23210000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:15 | 1.23210000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:21 | 1.21870000 | -1.088% |
| 4 | 14:27 | 1.21870000 | -1.088% |
| 5 | 14:33 | 1.21870000 | -1.088% |
| 6 | 14:39 | 1.22190000 | -0.828% |
| 7 | 14:45 | 1.22190000 | -0.828% |
| 8 | 14:51 | 1.21510000 | -1.38% |
| 9 | 14:57 | 1.21510000 | -1.38% |
| 10 | 15:04 | 1.21510000 | -1.38% |
| 11 | 15:09 | 1.22070000 | -0.925% |
| 12 | 15:15 | 1.22070000 | -0.925% |
| 13 | 15:21 | 1.22180000 | -0.836% |
| 14 | 15:27 | 1.22180000 | -0.836% |
| 15 | 15:33 | 1.22180000 | -0.836% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7032ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.006
avg -0.037
± 0.034
OBI Top 10
-0.006
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2378
Micro Price
1.2376
Spread
0.0566%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.2300
Size
102,858.72
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.2500
Size
73,753.44
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2321 | 1.1017 | 1.558 | 2.5 | 0.2684 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2321
- Stop Loss: 1.1017
- Take Profit: 1.558
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1017 - 1.2321 = -0.1304
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2321 - 1.558 = -0.3259
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3259 / -0.1304 = 2.4992
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75.609 | 75.609 | 61.366 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1304
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1304 = -61.35
Taille de position USD = -61.35 x 1.2321 = -75.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -61.35 avec un stoploss a 1.1017
Avec un position size USD de -75.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -61.35 x -0.1304 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -61.35 x -0.3259 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -61.35
- Taille de position USD -75.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4992
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 26.45 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.07 $ | -5.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.9979 % | 56.67 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2321 | 1.1017 | 1.558 | 2.5 | 0.2684 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.2321
- Stop Loss: 1.1017
- Take Profit: 1.558
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1017 - 1.2321 = -0.1304
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2321 - 1.558 = -0.3259
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3259 / -0.1304 = 2.4992
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -10.584%
(0.1304)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -2.224% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -2.402% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -4.310% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -4.513% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.503% | 0.1R | -5.998% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.503% | 0.1R | -14.341% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.