Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 974.6 LDO at 0.325$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3169 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3333 (2.52 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 14:10:06
hyperliquid
LDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 14:10
→ 14:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.3251$
Qty 974.5983 LDO
Size 316.8127$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3169 (+2.52%)
TP $ 7.99$
SL 0.3333 (-2.52%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1
Status
win
PnL
+0.95%
/ +3.02$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +1.77%
0.7R
expires
01 Aug 14:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=9 <= threshold=25/35
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55783)
#9 / 35
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3233
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:00
01/08 14:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55783)
#9 / 35
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
score du 01/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3233
Quality Score
0.570
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 35
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 35
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 6.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.69×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 14:00
01/08 14:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/08 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1218
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 14:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5699
Score SMA
0.4571
Rank
#9
/ 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3233
Rank Norm SMA
0.2309
Calculé le
01/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2525 | r1h: 0.197% · r4h: -3.334% · r1d: -6.42% · r3d: -9.72% · ema21_slope: -0.2500% · dist_ema21: -2.910% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3197 | rs_1h: 0.353% · rs_4h: -2.932% · rs_1d: -5.75% · rs_3d: -7.44% · beta_24h: 0.663 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9430 | rvol_20: 3.77× · zscore_50: 2.145 · trend: 126.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8378 | ADX: 48.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.522%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -2.273% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -2.532% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.36% | +0.74 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.82% | -0.72 | 01/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low | -1.45% | -0.50 | 01/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.54% | -0.22 | 01/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.234×ATR | p28 | -1.018×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 6.2×ATR | p95 | -1.485×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.261×ATR | p55 | -1.419×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 8.436×ATR | p100 | -1.308×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.33327851
- tp_price: 0.31694325
- atr: 0.0032834
- expires_at: 2026-08-02T00:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 38
- total: 38
- score: 0.2525
- delta_2h: -0.0522
- extension_atr: -2.78
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3233
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3251 | 0.3333 | 0.3169 | 1 | 0.387 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3251
- Stop Loss: 0.3333
- Take Profit: 0.3169
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3333 - 0.3251 = 0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3251 - 0.3169 = 0.0082
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0082 / 0.0082 = 1
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316.8127 | 100 | 974.5983 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0082
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0082 = 975.61
Taille de position USD = 975.61 x 0.3251 = 317.17
Donc, tu peux acheter 975.61 avec un stoploss a 0.3333
Avec un position size USD de 317.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 975.61 x 0.0082 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 975.61 x 0.0082 = 8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 975.61
- Taille de position USD 317.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.02 $ | 0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3251 | 0.3333 | 0.3169 | 1 | 0.387 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3251
- Stop Loss: 0.3333
- Take Profit: 0.3169
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3333 - 0.3251 = 0.0082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3251 - 0.3169 = 0.0082
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0082 / 0.0082 = 1
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.522%
(0.0082)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.775% | 0.7R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -2.273% | 0.9R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.775% | 0.7R | -2.532% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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