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Short Trade on LDO

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01 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 836.7 LDO at 0.322$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3311 (2.95 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3216$

Qty 836.6976 LDO

Size 269.0568$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 269.08$

SL 0.3311 (-2.95%)

SL $ 7.95$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.41% / -3.79$ MAE -2.71% MFE +0.20% 0.1R expires 01 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55888)
#30 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3563

Quality Score
0.466
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#30 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#30 / 35 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 6.22×ATR
1d clear 2.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

01/08 17:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1221
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range range — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical bear transition — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.51
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4661
Score SMA
0.4572
Rank
#30 / 35
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3563
Rank Norm SMA
0.2167
Calculé le
01/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2772 r1h: -0.343% · r4h: -0.959% · r1d: -6.95% · r3d: -8.73% · ema21_slope: -0.2504% · dist_ema21: -3.061%
Force Relative 25% 0.3313 rs_1h: -0.449% · rs_4h: -0.457% · rs_1d: -6.39% · rs_3d: -7.27% · beta_24h: 0.798
Volume 20% 0.3040 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.643 · trend: 60.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9285 ADX: 51.4 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.059% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.954% (0.0095)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.199% 0.1R -1.350% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.199% 0.1R -1.350% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.199% 0.1R -2.711% 0.9R 0.1× 36
4h +0.199% 0.1R -2.736% 0.9R 0.1× 48
8h +0.199% 0.1R -3.647% 1.2R 0.1× 96
12h +0.199% 0.1R -3.647% 1.2R 0.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.71 bear_high -6.90% +0.59 31/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.45 bear_high -2.39% -0.68 01/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 48% mid — — 0.41 bear_low -1.69% -0.49 01/08 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 44% early — — — range_low -0.68% -0.21 01/08 16:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 9b — 3.628×ATR p33 -1.357×ATR p93
4h ↓ down late 13b — 6.739×ATR p97 -1.609×ATR p93
1h ↓ down mid 7b — 4.398×ATR p74 -1.303×ATR p80
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.811×ATR p7 -0.373×ATR p37

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.3311314
  2. atr: 0.00318713
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-02T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 35
  2. total: 36
  3. score: 0.2772
  4. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3216 0.3311 0.3898
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3216
  • Stop Loss: 0.3311
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3311 - 0.3216 = 0.0095

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3216 - = 0.3216

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3216 / 0.0095 = 33.8526

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
269.0568 100 836.6976 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0095

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0095 = 842.11

Taille de position USD = 842.11 x 0.3216 = 270.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 842.11 avec un stoploss a 0.3311

Avec un position size USD de 270.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 842.11 x 0.0095 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 842.11 x 0.3216 = 270.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 270.82$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 842.11
  • Taille de position USD 270.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 270.82
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 33.8526

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 269.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.95 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
-3.79 $ -1.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4148 % 47.89 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3216 0.3311 0.3898
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3216
  • Stop Loss: 0.3311
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3311 - 0.3216 = 0.0095

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3216 - = 0.3216

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3216 / 0.0095 = 33.8526

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3216
            [stop_loss] => 0.33205
            [rr_ratio] => 30.78
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 02:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.3216
            [stop_loss] => 0.333
            [rr_ratio] => 28.21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-02 02:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -2.954% (0.0095)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.199% 0.1R -1.350% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.199% 0.1R -1.350% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.199% 0.1R -2.711% 0.9R 0.1× 36
4h +0.199% 0.1R -2.736% 0.9R 0.1× 48
8h +0.199% 0.1R -3.647% 1.2R 0.1× 96
12h +0.199% 0.1R -3.647% 1.2R 0.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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