Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.45 XMR at 361.44$ per unit. Take profit: 362.9714 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 360.6743 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 10.45 XMR at 361.44$ per unit. Take profit: 362.9714 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 360.6743 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 361.44$
Qty 10.4477 XMR
Size 3776.2191$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 362.9714 (+0.42%)
TP $ 16$
SL 360.6743 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6145
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 01/08 17:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.006108 15m : 0.004686 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 01/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5312 | r1h: -0.446% · r4h: 0.086% · r1d: 1.74% · r3d: 3.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0270% · dist_ema21: 0.034% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5572 | rs_1h: -0.551% · rs_4h: 0.588% · rs_1d: 2.30% · rs_3d: 4.70% · beta_24h: -0.203 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0959 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -1.561 · trend: -50.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5991 | ADX: 23.7 (weak) · Chop: 50.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.768% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.407% | 1.9R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.783% | 3.7R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.985% | 4.7R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 7.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.190% | 5.6R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 8.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.262% | 6.0R | -0.628% | 3.0R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -6.90% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.32 | bear_high | -2.10% | +0.48 | 01/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.31 | bear_low | -1.35% | +0.03 | 01/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.23 | range_low | -0.33% | +0.03 | 01/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 0.7×ATR | p0 | +0.578×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.897×ATR | p39 | +0.353×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.757×ATR | p4 | -0.042×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.911×ATR | p18 | -0.415×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62749.6
0.000722943
62795
-0.006108
62886
-0.00144829
62795
0.004686
63533.1
-0.012028
62769
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[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.129311790686
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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357.74
193
0.603
0.5979
0.3333
0.2264
0.4208
0.6162
0.2451
0.5427
0.6304
0.3348
0.5258
0.8121
0.045
0.0548
0.6667
-0.022
0.8538
0.5
0.5
1
14
1
0.5472
0.4565
5.7344
0.55
0.6162
3.5335
0.8538
0.2931
0.2126
0.28
-0.0498
0.4211
0.5568
0.3424
0.8121
-2.3163
10.0138
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:51 | 361.44000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:57 | 361.16000000 | -0.077% |
| 3 | 18:04 | 360.98000000 | -0.127% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 17:05:00 | 360.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:10:00 | 363.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:30:00 | 361 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:15:00 | 359.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:30:00 | 364.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:45:00 | 364.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:55:00 | 364.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:45:00 | 361.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 21:30:00 | 363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 21:50:00 | 361.44 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:45:00 | 364.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 09:15:00 | 366.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 362.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:45:00 | 363.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:15:00 | 359.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 15:15:00 | 357.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:15:00 | 359.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:30:00 | 364.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 21:30:00 | 361.56 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 347.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 358.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 367.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:00:00 | 357.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 364.27 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361.44 | 360.6743 | 362.9714 | 2 | 613.82 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 360.6743 - 361.44 = -0.76569999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 361.44 - 362.9714 = -1.5314
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5314 / -0.76569999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3776.2191 | 100 | 10.4477 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.76569999999998 = -10.45
Taille de position USD = -10.45 x 361.44 = -3777.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.45 avec un stoploss a 360.6743
Avec un position size USD de -3777.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.45 x -0.76569999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.45 x -1.5314 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1411 % | 66.62 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361.44 | 360.6743 | 362.9714 | 2 | 613.82 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 360.6743 - 361.44 = -0.76569999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 361.44 - 362.9714 = -1.5314
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5314 / -0.76569999999998 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.407% | 1.9R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.783% | 3.7R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.985% | 4.7R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 7.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.190% | 5.6R | -0.141% | 0.7R | 8.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.262% | 6.0R | -0.628% | 3.0R | 2.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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