Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 869.17 LDO at 0.328$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3372 (2.8 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 869.17 LDO at 0.328$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3372 (2.8 %)
Position
Entry 0.328$
Qty 869.1741 LDO
Size 285.1152$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 285.09$
SL 0.3372 (-2.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3353
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 6.27×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 01/08 20:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3477 | r1h: 0.376% · r4h: 0.860% · r1d: -5.45% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: -0.2384% · dist_ema21: -1.317% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3933 | rs_1h: 0.385% · rs_4h: 0.388% · rs_1d: -5.36% · rs_3d: -7.66% · beta_24h: 1.079 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1770 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.679 · trend: -33.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9329 | ADX: 51.9 (trend) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.732% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.369% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.549% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.945% | 0.3R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.531% | 0.6R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.90% | +0.59 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.98% | -0.66 | 01/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bear_low | -1.25% | -0.27 | 01/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.25% | +0.11 | 01/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.628×ATR | p33 | -1.357×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 6.229×ATR | p95 | -1.303×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.034×ATR | p18 | +0.124×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.553×ATR | p66 | +0.397×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.328 | 0.3372 | 0.3945 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3372 - 0.328 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.328 - = 0.328
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.328 / 0.0092 = 35.6522
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285.1152 | 100 | 869.1741 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57
Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.328 = 285.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3372
Avec un position size USD de 285.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 869.57 x 0.328 = 285.22
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 285.22$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 285.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.71 $ | -1.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5488 % | 55.22 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.328 | 0.3372 | 0.3945 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3372 - 0.328 = 0.0092
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.328 - = 0.328
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.328 / 0.0092 = 35.6522
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.732% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.369% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.549% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.945% | 0.3R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.531% | 0.6R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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