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Long Trade on KAITO

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01 Aug 2026 at 22:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 111.24 KAITO at 1.217$ per unit. Take profit: 1.247 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1447 (5.91 %)

KAITO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 22:10 → 23:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.2166$

Qty 111.2353 KAITO

Size 135.3289$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.247 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.38$

SL 1.1447 (-5.91%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -1.98% / -2.68$ MAE -2.05% MFE +0.13% 0.0R expires 01 Aug 23:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/33

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56077)
#4 / 33 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9770

Quality Score
0.678
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 33 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 33 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.56×ATR
1d near 0.49×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

01/08 22:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/08 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1226
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — -1
Tactical bear expansion — -1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.49
Snapshot évalué : 01/08 22:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/08/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.6781
Score SMA
0.5394
Rank
#4 / 33
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9770
Rank Norm SMA
0.5774
Calculé le
01/08/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7770 r1h: 1.256% · r4h: 1.874% · r1d: 12.62% · r3d: 0.16% · ema21_slope: 0.5152% · dist_ema21: 4.671%
Force Relative 25% 0.7143 rs_1h: 0.953% · rs_4h: 1.541% · rs_1d: 12.53% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: -3.676
Volume 20% 0.3022 rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.158 · trend: 8.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7068 ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -5.910% (0.0719)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.132% 0.0R -1.997% 0.3R 0.1× 12
1.2h ★ +0.132% 0.0R -2.047% 0.4R 0.1× 13
2h +0.132% 0.0R -3.559% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.132% 0.0R -4.800% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.132% 0.0R -5.902% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.280% 0.1R -12.124% 2.1R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.05
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.5ATR 0.43 bear_high -6.42% +1.00 01/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.04 bear_high -1.81% -0.74 01/08 20:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 40% early — — -0.09 bear_low -0.89% +0.75 01/08 21:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.03 range_low +0.08% +0.19 01/08 21:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 1.233×ATR p0 +0.44×ATR p38
4h ↑ up mid 15b — 3.375×ATR p23 +0.884×ATR p77
1h ↓ down early 7b — 0.985×ATR p0 +0.557×ATR p55
15m ↑ up mid 14b — 3.163×ATR p50 +0.808×ATR p70

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.14468038
  2. tp_price: 1.247015
  3. atr: 0.02876785
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-02T08:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 35
  3. score: 0.777
  4. delta_2h: 0.1318
  5. extension_atr: 1.64
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.977
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.2166 1.1447 1.247 0.42 0.2731
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.2166
  • Stop Loss: 1.1447
  • Take Profit: 1.247

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1447 - 1.2166 = -0.0719

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.2166 - 1.247 = -0.0304

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0304 / -0.0719 = 0.4228

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
135.3289 100 111.2353 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0719

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0719 = -111.27

Taille de position USD = -111.27 x 1.2166 = -135.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -111.27 avec un stoploss a 1.1447

Avec un position size USD de -135.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -111.27 x -0.0719 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -111.27 x -0.0304 = 3.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.38$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -111.27
  • Taille de position USD -135.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.38
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4228

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.38 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.68 $ -1.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9974 % 33.8 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.2166 1.1447 1.247 0.42 0.2731
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.2166
  • Stop Loss: 1.1447
  • Take Profit: 1.247

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.1447 - 1.2166 = -0.0719

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.2166 - 1.247 = -0.0304

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0304 / -0.0719 = 0.4228

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -5.910% (0.0719)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.132% 0.0R -1.997% 0.3R 0.1× 12
1.2h ★ +0.132% 0.0R -2.047% 0.4R 0.1× 13
2h +0.132% 0.0R -3.559% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.132% 0.0R -4.800% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.132% 0.0R -5.902% 1.0R 0.0× 96
12h +0.280% 0.1R -12.124% 2.1R 0.0× 144

computed 2 months ago

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