Long Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 113.47 KAITO at 1.196$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2262 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1258 (5.89 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 23:10:07
hyperliquid
KAITO
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 23:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 1.1963$
Qty 113.4721 KAITO
Size 135.7466$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2262 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.39$
SL 1.1258 (-5.89%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.42
Status
loss
PnL
-0.32%
/ -0.43$
MAE -3.24%
MFE +0.08%
0.0R
expires
01 Aug 23:20
Exit
rank_decay: long rank=11 > threshold=10/33
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 56110)
#11 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 23:00
score du 01/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9380
Quality Score
0.643
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 23:02
01/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#11 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 33
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.49×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 01/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1227
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.49
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 23:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6431
Score SMA
0.5494
Rank
#11
/ 33
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9380
Rank Norm SMA
0.6061
Calculé le
01/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7263 | r1h: -0.298% · r4h: 1.474% · r1d: 11.93% · r3d: -0.86% · ema21_slope: 0.4903% · dist_ema21: 3.310% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6013 | rs_1h: -0.930% · rs_4h: 0.574% · rs_1d: 11.41% · rs_3d: 0.37% · beta_24h: -2.917 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3460 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.032 · trend: 7.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7043 | ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 39.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.505% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.893%
(0.0705)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -1.923% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -2.792% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.084% | 0.0R | -3.243% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.455% | 0.3R | -4.305% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.981% | 0.3R | -11.260% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.42% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.04 | bear_high | -0.87% | -0.76 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | -0.12 | range_low | -0.31% | +0.66 | 01/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | pullback | bull_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.06 | range_low | +0.60% | -0.02 | 01/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.233×ATR | p0 | +0.44×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.443×ATR | p23 | +0.962×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.554×ATR | p2 | +0.093×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.466×ATR | p3 | -0.244×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1963 | 1.1258 | 1.2262 | 0.42 | 0.2704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1963
- Stop Loss: 1.1258
- Take Profit: 1.2262
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1258 - 1.1963 = -0.0705
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1963 - 1.2262 = -0.0299
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0299 / -0.0705 = 0.4241
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135.7466 | 100 | 113.4721 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0705
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0705 = -113.48
Taille de position USD = -113.48 x 1.1963 = -135.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -113.48 avec un stoploss a 1.1258
Avec un position size USD de -135.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -113.48 x -0.0705 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -113.48 x -0.0299 = 3.39
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.39$
Résumé
- Taille de position -113.48
- Taille de position USD -135.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.39
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4241
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.43 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3176 % | 5.39 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1963 | 1.1258 | 1.2262 | 0.42 | 0.2704 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1963
- Stop Loss: 1.1258
- Take Profit: 1.2262
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1258 - 1.1963 = -0.0705
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1963 - 1.2262 = -0.0299
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0299 / -0.0705 = 0.4241
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -5.893%
(0.0705)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -1.923% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.084% | 0.0R | -2.792% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.084% | 0.0R | -3.243% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.455% | 0.3R | -4.305% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.981% | 0.3R | -11.260% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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