Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 852.16 KAITO at 1.164$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1824 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1542 (0.81 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 852.16 KAITO at 1.164$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1824 (1.62 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1542 (0.81 %)
Position
Entry 1.1636$
Qty 852.1553 KAITO
Size 991.5679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 1.1824 (+1.62%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 1.1542 (-0.81%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8242
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.49×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.056265 15m : 0.006801 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5913 | r1h: -1.162% · r4h: -2.370% · r1d: 6.91% · r3d: -2.51% · ema21_slope: 0.4497% · dist_ema21: 0.490% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4374 | rs_1h: -1.277% · rs_4h: -3.481% · rs_1d: 6.22% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: -2.645 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2619 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.197 · trend: -4.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6897 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.868% | 1.1R | -0.464% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.521% | 1.9R | -0.524% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.521% | 1.9R | -1.616% | 2.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.847% | 6.0R | -2.733% | 3.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.847% | 6.0R | -9.299% | 11.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -6.42% | +1.00 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.04 | bear_high | -0.86% | -0.48 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | -0.12 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.61 | 02/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +0.73% | -0.30 | 02/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.233×ATR | p0 | +0.44×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 3.143×ATR | p23 | +0.431×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.313×ATR | p29 | -0.348×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.718×ATR | p62 | -0.783×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63172.4
0.00458302
63462
0.056265
63030.5
0.00684433
63462
0.006801
63511
-0.000756219
63463
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1.2424
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0.9474
0.5271
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4.3693
0.6
1.9335
5.2275
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0.1559
0.3284
0.22
0.2095
0.5153
0.4475
0.8339
0.4947
-8.2952
8.1203
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:15 | 1.16360000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:21 | 1.16610000 | +0.215% |
| 3 | 01:27 | 1.16190000 | -0.146% |
| 4 | 01:33 | 1.16180000 | -0.155% |
| 5 | 01:39 | 1.16090000 | -0.232% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 22:40:00 | 1.2002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 23:05:00 | 1.1814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:05:00 | 1.2164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 00:35:00 | 1.1991 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:40:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:25:00 | 1.2182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 02:30:00 | 1.1923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:20:00 | 1.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:50:00 | 1.182 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:10:00 | 1.1629 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 08:45:00 | 1.0865 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 12:15:00 | 1.1246 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 13:30:00 | 1.1002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:45:00 | 1.1666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 15:30:00 | 1.0854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 22:15:00 | 1.1765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 01:30:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.1629 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 1.0552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 1.1781 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 1.0631 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:00:00 | 1.132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 1.0497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.1184 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 11:00:00 | 1.0736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.2424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 01:00:00 | 1.2219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 1.17 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1636 | 1.1542 | 1.1824 | 2 | 0.2743 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1542 - 1.1636 = -0.0094000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1636 - 1.1824 = -0.0188
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0094000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 991.5679 | 100 | 852.1553 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0094000000000001 = -851.06
Taille de position USD = -851.06 x 1.1636 = -990.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -851.06 avec un stoploss a 1.1542
Avec un position size USD de -990.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -851.06 x -0.0094000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -851.06 x -0.0188 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6157 % | 200.01 % | 26 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1636 | 1.1542 | 1.1824 | 2 | 0.2743 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1542 - 1.1636 = -0.0094000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1636 - 1.1824 = -0.0188
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0188 / -0.0094000000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.868% | 1.1R | -0.464% | 0.6R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.521% | 1.9R | -0.524% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.521% | 1.9R | -1.616% | 2.0R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.847% | 6.0R | -2.733% | 3.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.847% | 6.0R | -9.299% | 11.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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